Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>HUGE, rampaging, "Beautiful Skew"... is flat. Big swings in H/A ratios continue, this time on average with 2.1% H underperformance vs As which is -4.4% on average over two weeks.</li>
<li>Last week's short reco on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuyao-glass-industry-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:330:1" rel="noopener">Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK)</a> was up 2.3% on the week in Hs but Hs underperformed the As by 1.86%.</li>
<li>AH premia are in a widening phase. This may continue. New reco this week.</li>
</ul>


HUGE, rampaging, "Beautiful Skew"... is flat. Big swings in H/A ratios continue, this time on average with 2.1% H underperformance vs As which is -4.4% on average over two weeks.
Last week's short reco on Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK) was up 2.3% on the week in Hs but Hs underperformed the As by 1.86%.
AH premia are in a widening phase. This may continue. New reco this week.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 29 Aug 2025):  AH Premia Expand Again, Beautiful Skew Takes a Breather

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, China Life, HSTECH ETF.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, China Life, HSTECH ETF.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (August): $18bn Inflows

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 22nd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Xiaomi, TraHK HSI ETF, ZTE, Anta, Cathay Pacific Airways, HSCEI ETF.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 22nd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Xiaomi, TraHK HSI ETF, ZTE, Anta, Cathay Pacific Airways, HSCEI ETF.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Xiaomi, ZTE, Anta, Cathay Pacific Airways

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Dah Sing saw its Macau and China credit costs rise by 4x in 1H25 YoY</li>
<li>Headline total provision rise of 34% YoY gives a flattering view of credit metrics</li>
<li>Loan migration from benign to worse overdue loan buckets is dramatic, not visible in headlines</li>
</ul>


Dah Sing saw its Macau and China credit costs rise by 4x in 1H25 YoY
Headline total provision rise of 34% YoY gives a flattering view of credit metrics
Loan migration from benign to worse overdue loan buckets is dramatic, not visible in headlines


HK Banks - Dah Sing's Credit Costs in Macau and China Rose 4x YoY in 1H25

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ChatGPT said: HDFC Bank is now held by 71% of active EM funds — an all-time high, with steady inflows and just one exit in six months.</li>
<li>Aggressive Growth funds show strongest conviction, with multiple holders above a 7% weight.</li>
<li>Post-Merger, HDFC has widened its lead over ICICI and regional peers, cementing its role as EM managers’ core financials exposure.</li>
</ul>


ChatGPT said: HDFC Bank is now held by 71% of active EM funds — an all-time high, with steady inflows and just one exit in six months.
Aggressive Growth funds show strongest conviction, with multiple holders above a 7% weight.
Post-Merger, HDFC has widened its lead over ICICI and regional peers, cementing its role as EM managers’ core financials exposure.


HDFC Bank Limited:  Record Ownership and Dominance Among EM Financials

China

China Construction Bank Corporation provides banking services. The Company offers deposits, loans, fund management, foreign exchange, and other services. China Construction Bank provides its services to individuals, enterprises, and other clients.

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China Construction Bank (601939 CH)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 29 Aug 2025): AH Premia Expand Again, Beautiful Skew Takes a Breather

Short version this week. Excellent Pair Alpha last week as Hs underperformed As by 2% but we were up on the week. AH premia up 4.4% in 2 weeks. I...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (August): $18bn Inflows

We estimate inflows into HK via southbound trade were $18bn in August, at four month high. We highlight inflows for Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Xiaomi, ZTE, Anta, Cathay Pacific Airways

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 22nd and highlight short interest changes in Xiaomi, TraHK HSI ETF,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Banks - Dah Sing's Credit Costs in Macau and China Rose 4x YoY in 1H25

Dah Sing Financial shows 4x growth YoY in its Macau and China credit costs. This is not clearly visible, or its Overdue Loan migration, in headline...

Daniel Tabbush

HDFC Bank Limited: Record Ownership and Dominance Among EM Financials

HDFC Bank has become the core EM financials holding, owned by 71% of funds at record highs. Post-merger strength and Aggressive Growth conviction...

Steven Holden

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