HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The best-of-the-breed constituents are those that outperformed HSI YTD, rallied more than the Index in the Apr-May rebound, and retreated less than the Index in the May-Jun retreat. </li>
<li>Only 4 out of the 82 HSI members made it - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-hongqiao-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1909:1" rel="noopener">China Hongqiao (1378 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank (939 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas International (316 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Their fundamentals look to stay strong, while both valuation and dividend yield appear to remain undemanding despite share price strengths. </li>
</ul>


The best-of-the-breed constituents are those that outperformed HSI YTD, rallied more than the Index in the Apr-May rebound, and retreated less than the Index in the May-Jun retreat. 
Only 4 out of the 82 HSI members made it - China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Tencent (700 HK), China Construction Bank (939 HK), and Orient Overseas International (316 HK). 
Their fundamentals look to stay strong, while both valuation and dividend yield appear to remain undemanding despite share price strengths. 


HK Strategy: What Are the Best-Of-The-Breed Stocks?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The changes to the Hang Seng family of indices were announced post market close on 21 August - final capping will use closing prices from the close on 1 September.</li>
<li>There are 2 adds for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, no constituent changes <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, 1 change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, 5 changes for the HSIII, and 1 change for the HSBIO.</li>
<li>There are 61 adds and 15 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index and that should lead to 54 additions to Southbound Stock Connect from the open on 7 September.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the Hang Seng family of indices were announced post market close on 21 August - final capping will use closing prices from the close on 1 September.
There are 2 adds for the HSI, no constituent changes HSCEI, 1 change for the HSTECH, 5 changes for the HSIII, and 1 change for the HSBIO.
There are 61 adds and 15 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index and that should lead to 54 additions to Southbound Stock Connect from the open on 7 September.


Hang Seng Indexes: US$3.2bn of Flows Post Capping + Stock Connect Changes (Sep 2026)

<ul>
<li>Surging by 19.4% since the trough on 19-Apr, the HSI is now only 3.2% shy away from the psychological resistance of 20,000. We look at some potential profit-taking names. </li>
<li>Heavy-Weights like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> are among the best-performing ones YTD and since the trough. Hence they are more exposed, particularly for Meituan.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> are another two on the list. Their valuations are no longer inexpensive relative to 3-year earnings CAGR.</li>
</ul>


Surging by 19.4% since the trough on 19-Apr, the HSI is now only 3.2% shy away from the psychological resistance of 20,000. We look at some potential profit-taking names. 
Heavy-Weights like Meituan (3690 HK) and Tencent (700 HK) are among the best-performing ones YTD and since the trough. Hence they are more exposed, particularly for Meituan.

Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK) and ENN Energy (2688 HK) are another two on the list. Their valuations are no longer inexpensive relative to 3-year earnings CAGR.


HK Strategy: To Sell or Not to Sell, that Is the Question

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Property / Cover Story: Will China’s latest policy call-to-arms turn the ailing property market around?</li>
<li>
<p>Corruption /Exclusive: Two ChemChina ex-leaders during Syngenta deal hit with corruption probe</p>
</li>
<li>Audit /Accounting: firms in China required to store audit data on mainland under new rules</li>
</ul>


Property / Cover Story: Will China’s latest policy call-to-arms turn the ailing property market around?

Corruption /Exclusive: Two ChemChina ex-leaders during Syngenta deal hit with corruption probe

Audit /Accounting: firms in China required to store audit data on mainland under new rules


CX Daily: Will China’s Latest Policy Call-to-arms Turn The Ailing Property Market Around? 

<ul>
<li>Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> are massive laggards YTD.</li>
<li>As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. </li>
</ul>


Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.

Li Auto (2015 HK), Link REIT (823 HK), China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK), Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) are massive laggards YTD.
As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. 


HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

China

China Construction Bank Corporation provides banking services. The Company offers deposits, loans, fund management, foreign exchange, and other services. China Construction Bank provides its services to individuals, enterprises, and other clients.

Price Gauge
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China Construction Bank (601939 CH)

HK Strategy: What Are the Best-Of-The-Breed Stocks?

Only 4 HSI members have outperformed YTD, in the Apr-May rally, and in the May-Jun retreat: China Hongqiao, Tencent, China Construction Bank, and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hang Seng Indexes: US$3.2bn of Flows Post Capping + Stock Connect Changes (Sep 2026)

The Sep rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII indices will use 1 Sep closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the four indices...

Brian Freitas

HK Strategy: To Sell or Not to Sell, that Is the Question

HSI surges by 19.4% nearing the 20,000 resistance, potential profit-taking names include Meituan, Tencent, Haidilao, and ENN Energy due to strong...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CX Daily: Will China’s Latest Policy Call-to-arms Turn The Ailing Property Market Around?

Property / Cover Story: Will China’s latest policy call-to-arms turn the ailing property market around? Every move taken by China to tackle its...

Caixin Global

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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HK Strategy: What Are the Best-Of-The-Breed Stocks?

​Only 4 HSI members have outperformed YTD, in the Apr-May rally, and in the May-Jun retreat: China Hongqiao, Tencent, China Construction Bank, and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hang Seng Indexes: US$3.2bn of Flows Post Capping + Stock Connect Changes (Sep 2026)

The Sep rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII indices will use 1 Sep closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the four indices...

Brian Freitas

HK Strategy: To Sell or Not to Sell, that Is the Question

​HSI surges by 19.4% nearing the 20,000 resistance, potential profit-taking names include Meituan, Tencent, Haidilao, and ENN Energy due to strong...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CX Daily: Will China’s Latest Policy Call-to-arms Turn The Ailing Property Market Around?

Property / Cover Story: Will China’s latest policy call-to-arms turn the ailing property market around? Every move taken by China to tackle its...

Caixin Global

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Only 4 HSI members have outperformed YTD, in the Apr-May rally, and in the May-Jun retreat: China Hongqiao, Tencent, China Construction Bank, and...

HSI surges by 19.4% nearing the 20,000 resistance, potential profit-taking names include Meituan, Tencent, Haidilao, and ENN Energy due to strong...