Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The US$10.23bn net inflow through the Southbound Stock Connect in June marked a near-doubling from the May slump (US$5.85 bn), though it's still lower than the 15-month average (US$12.1 bn).</li>
<li>Investors bought high dividend yield SOEs heavily (e.g. China Construction Bank), and sold Tencent, Xiaomi, Alibaba. Healthcare companies - Innovent Biologics and CSPC Pharma were bought, underscoring investors' defensive stance.</li>
<li>Investors' dividend yield fascination seems unabated.  Some technology stocks (Tencent) do not seem overbought. Despite large buying, EV and ecommerce heavyweights (Meituan) are declining. Investors' appetite in them could slump.</li>
</ul>


The US$10.23bn net inflow through the Southbound Stock Connect in June marked a near-doubling from the May slump (US$5.85 bn), though it's still lower than the 15-month average (US$12.1 bn).
Investors bought high dividend yield SOEs heavily (e.g. China Construction Bank), and sold Tencent, Xiaomi, Alibaba. Healthcare companies - Innovent Biologics and CSPC Pharma were bought, underscoring investors' defensive stance.
Investors' dividend yield fascination seems unabated.  Some technology stocks (Tencent) do not seem overbought. Despite large buying, EV and ecommerce heavyweights (Meituan) are declining. Investors' appetite in them could slump.


Asian Equities: Southbound Monthly - June Acceleration; Old Getting Sold, Dividends the New Darling

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> ended on 30 June, the results will be announced on 22 August and will be implemented on 5 September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK)</a> could be added to the index while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK)</a> could be deleted from the index.</li>
<li>There is a possibility of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK)</a> being added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> as well.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the HSCEI INDEX ended on 30 June, the results will be announced on 22 August and will be implemented on 5 September.

Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) could be added to the index while J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK) could be deleted from the index.
There is a possibility of Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) being added to the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) as well.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Pop Mart (9992 HK) Could Replace J&T Global (1519 HK)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes up to US$17+bn a day this past 5-day week. Net buying strong at +US$700mm a day.</li>
<li>Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, FINANCIALS stood out, dramatically. Again. Neither INFO TECH nor Tencent were the big sells this week.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers. Technical issue delayed this week's Monitor.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes up to US$17+bn a day this past 5-day week. Net buying strong at +US$700mm a day.
Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, FINANCIALS stood out, dramatically. Again. Neither INFO TECH nor Tencent were the big sells this week.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers. Technical issue delayed this week's Monitor.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 4 July 2025); Volumes Up, Net Buying Up, Banks Bought, SOEs Sold

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 4th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CCB, Innovent Biologics, SMIC, CMB, Giant Biogene, Xiaomi, Tencent, Alibaba, BOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 4th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for CCB, Innovent Biologics, SMIC, CMB, Giant Biogene, Xiaomi, Tencent, Alibaba, BOC.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jul 4th): CCB, Innovent Biologics, SMIC, CMB, Giant Biogene, Xiaomi

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl, Zijin Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl, Zijin Mining.


HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Jun): Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl

China

China Construction Bank Corporation provides banking services. The Company offers deposits, loans, fund management, foreign exchange, and other services. China Construction Bank provides its services to individuals, enterprises, and other clients.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Construction Bank (601939 CH)

Asian Equities: Southbound Monthly - June Acceleration; Old Getting Sold, Dividends the New Darling

June saw a surge in net inflow through Southbound Stock Connect, with investors favoring high dividend yield SOEs & defensive healthcare stocks...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Pop Mart (9992 HK) Could Replace J&T Global (1519 HK)

Pop Mart could replace J&T Global in the HSCEI in Sep. There will be capping and FAF changes for stocks. Shorts have been increasing in both...

Brian Freitas

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 4 July 2025); Volumes Up, Net Buying Up, Banks Bought, SOEs Sold

SOUTHBOUND continues to buy, but this week also saw the single largest net SOUTHBOUND sell of Alibaba since it became eligible 9mos ago. Tech...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jul 4th): CCB, Innovent Biologics, SMIC, CMB, Giant Biogene, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for CCB, Innovent Biologics, SMIC, CMB, Giant Biogene,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Jun): Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl

We analyzed HSCEI's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl, Zijin Mining.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Equities: Southbound Monthly - June Acceleration; Old Getting Sold, Dividends the New Darling

​June saw a surge in net inflow through Southbound Stock Connect, with investors favoring high dividend yield SOEs & defensive healthcare stocks...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Pop Mart (9992 HK) Could Replace J&T Global (1519 HK)

Pop Mart could replace J&T Global in the HSCEI in Sep. There will be capping and FAF changes for stocks. Shorts have been increasing in both...

Brian Freitas

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 4 July 2025); Volumes Up, Net Buying Up, Banks Bought, SOEs Sold

SOUTHBOUND continues to buy, but this week also saw the single largest net SOUTHBOUND sell of Alibaba since it became eligible 9mos ago. Tech...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jul 4th): CCB, Innovent Biologics, SMIC, CMB, Giant Biogene, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for CCB, Innovent Biologics, SMIC, CMB, Giant Biogene,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Jun): Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl

We analyzed HSCEI's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl, Zijin Mining.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

June saw a surge in net inflow through Southbound Stock Connect, with investors favoring high dividend yield SOEs & defensive healthcare stocks...