Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 2nd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short spike for Tencent, Meituan, Jd.com, Baidu, and Cosco Shipping.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 2nd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short spike for Tencent, Meituan, Jd.com, Baidu, and Cosco Shipping.


HK Short Interest: Short Spike for Tech Stocks

Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul style="list-style-type: disc;"><li>Shipping rates continued their downtrend last week with the WCI Composite Container Index fell 5.4% w/w and the rate for one of the mostly watched key routes, SH-to-LA falling 9.2%</li><li>Dry bulk rates fell even more with the Baltic Dry Bulk Index falling 15.4% w/w and the latest level of 1082 basically normalized to pre-pandemic levels</li><li>Crude oil tanker rate was flat w/w and continued to outperform the other two sectors</li></ul>

Shipping rates continued their downtrend last week with the WCI Composite Container Index fell 5.4% w/w and the rate for one of the mostly watched key routes, SH-to-LA falling 9.2%Dry bulk rates fell even more with the Baltic Dry Bulk Index falling 15.4% w/w and the latest level of 1082 basically normalized to pre-pandemic levelsCrude oil tanker rate was flat w/w and continued to outperform the other two sectors

Tactical Trade Idea – Shipping Sector : Shipping Rates Remained Under Pressure

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, the net outflow over the past week was ~US$0.1bn, split (-US$0.4bn) for Shanghai and (+US$0.3bn) for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yankuang-energy-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:384:1" rel="noopener">Yankuang Energy Group (1171 HK)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, the net outflow over the past week was ~US$0.1bn, split (-US$0.4bn) for Shanghai and (+US$0.3bn) for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were into CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) and Yankuang Energy Group (1171 HK). The largest outflows were in Meituan (3690 HK) and Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (2 September 2022)

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>CTG Duty-Free Group has priced its IPO at HK$158 per share, at a slight premium to the midpoint of the indicative IPO price range of HK$143.5-165.5 per share.</li>
<li>At HK$158 per share, the company raised net proceeds of HK$15,892.3 (approx. US$2.0bn) and the IPO is priced at an almost 30% discount to CTG’s A-share last close price.</li>
<li>Cornerstone investors subscribed for approx. 38.4% of the H-share offering (or 1.9% of the total issued share capital of the company post-offering) with some existing shareholders subscribing under placing guidelines.</li>
</ul>


CTG Duty-Free Group has priced its IPO at HK$158 per share, at a slight premium to the midpoint of the indicative IPO price range of HK$143.5-165.5 per share.
At HK$158 per share, the company raised net proceeds of HK$15,892.3 (approx. US$2.0bn) and the IPO is priced at an almost 30% discount to CTG’s A-share last close price.
Cornerstone investors subscribed for approx. 38.4% of the H-share offering (or 1.9% of the total issued share capital of the company post-offering) with some existing shareholders subscribing under placing guidelines.


CTG Duty-Free H-Share Listing: Thoughts on First Day Trading

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Orient Overseas International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>1H22 is a fantastic period for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas International (316 HK)</a> with record earnings. However, with retreat in freight rates YTD, it is likely to mark the cycle peak.</li>
<li>OOIL has not seen the usual peak season for transpacific market yet.  Also, supply pressure is mounting as record vessel delivery is scheduled for the next two years.</li>
<li>The elevated share price has not reflected that profitability will decline in FY23 and FY24. We see significant downside risk as the market becomes more realistic on earnings.</li>
</ul>


1H22 is a fantastic period for Orient Overseas International (316 HK) with record earnings. However, with retreat in freight rates YTD, it is likely to mark the cycle peak.
OOIL has not seen the usual peak season for transpacific market yet.  Also, supply pressure is mounting as record vessel delivery is scheduled for the next two years.
The elevated share price has not reflected that profitability will decline in FY23 and FY24. We see significant downside risk as the market becomes more realistic on earnings.


Orient Overseas Intl (316 HK): Don't Overlook the Downhill Risks

China

COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd offers marine freight transportation services.  The Company offers container shipping, dry bulk shipping, logistics services, freight forwarding, and terminal and container leasing services internationally.  COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd operates container ships and terminals, and manufactures shipping containers.

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COSCO Shipping Holdings (1919 HK)

HK Short Interest: Short Spike for Tech Stocks

We analyzed the latest SFC short aggregate report and highlight short spike for Tencent, Meituan, Jd.com, Baidu, and Cosco Shipping.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tactical Trade Idea – Shipping Sector : Shipping Rates Remained Under Pressure

Dry bulk rates fell even more with the Baltic Dry Bulk Index falling 15.4% w/w and the latest level of 1082 basically normalized to pre-pandemic...

Quam Securities

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (2 September 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~US$0.1bn, split (-US$0.4bn) for...

David Blennerhassett

Orient Overseas Intl (316 HK): Don't Overlook the Downhill Risks

We see profit peaked out in 1H22, and with the fall in spot freight rate, it is difficult to sustain the elevated share price. Heavy supply influx...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Short Interest: Short Spike for Tech Stocks

We analyzed the latest SFC short aggregate report and highlight short spike for Tencent, Meituan, Jd.com, Baidu, and Cosco Shipping.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tactical Trade Idea – Shipping Sector : Shipping Rates Remained Under Pressure

Dry bulk rates fell even more with the Baltic Dry Bulk Index falling 15.4% w/w and the latest level of 1082 basically normalized to pre-pandemic...

Quam Securities

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (2 September 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~US$0.1bn, split (-US$0.4bn) for...

David Blennerhassett

CTG Duty-Free H-Share Listing: Thoughts on First Day Trading

CTG has priced its HK IPO at HK$158 per share and we think shares are overvalued. We expect the shares to open weak given the not so great investor...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Orient Overseas Intl (316 HK): Don't Overlook the Downhill Risks

We see profit peaked out in 1H22, and with the fall in spot freight rate, it is difficult to sustain the elevated share price. Heavy supply influx...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (2 September 2022)