Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The weekly data for new home sales for 18 cities with consistent data to the week ending September 10 does not show pickup signs, despite some media buzz after easing</li>
<li>But we expect the impact to start showing in the next weeks</li>
<li>In the meantime, using weekly metrics as predictors of the direction of the national monthly figures, suggests no real improvement YTD y/y so far for Sep</li>
</ul>


The weekly data for new home sales for 18 cities with consistent data to the week ending September 10 does not show pickup signs, despite some media buzz after easing
But we expect the impact to start showing in the next weeks
In the meantime, using weekly metrics as predictors of the direction of the national monthly figures, suggests no real improvement YTD y/y so far for Sep


China Housing - Weekly Data Does Not (Yet) Show Impact Of Policy Easing

<ul>
<li>A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress</li>
<li>We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market</li>
<li>We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; See direct links to sources</li>
</ul>


A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress
We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market
We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; See direct links to sources


China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 1-7 September 2023

<ul>
<li>A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress</li>
<li>We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market</li>
<li>We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; see direct links to sources</li>
</ul>


A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress
We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market
We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; see direct links to sources


China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 25-31 August 2023

<ul>
<li>China housing metrics for July and August remained weak, in line with our forecast from December data, but watch out for some major data twists</li>
<li>The new wave of policy easing responds to the re-weakening of the market since April, though the impact may not show quickly, as the Zhengzhou example illustrates</li>
<li>Cities are quick to implement the new rules, including Shenzhen, Chengdu, and Guangzhou in the past few days </li>
</ul>


China housing metrics for July and August remained weak, in line with our forecast from December data, but watch out for some major data twists
The new wave of policy easing responds to the re-weakening of the market since April, though the impact may not show quickly, as the Zhengzhou example illustrates
Cities are quick to implement the new rules, including Shenzhen, Chengdu, and Guangzhou in the past few days 


China Property - The Latest Signals In The Housing Markets: August 2023

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Offshore wind /In Depth: China’s offshore wind sector gears up for life after subsidies</li><li>Taiwan /Analysis: Foxconn founder’s independent leadership bid complicates Taiwan opposition efforts</li><li>Corruption /: Ex-provincial chief, once in charge of China’s medical reform, caught in corruption probe</li></ul>

Offshore wind /In Depth: China’s offshore wind sector gears up for life after subsidiesTaiwan /Analysis: Foxconn founder’s independent leadership bid complicates Taiwan opposition effortsCorruption /: Ex-provincial chief, once in charge of China’s medical reform, caught in corruption probe

CX Daily: China’s Offshore Wind Sector Gears Up for Life After Subsidies

China

China Evergrande Group was a major Chinese property developer, known for large-scale residential projects and diversified operations in property management, new energy vehicles, cultural tourism, and health industries. The company was founded in 1996 and was headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Evergrande (3333 HK)

China Housing - Weekly Data Does Not (Yet) Show Impact Of Policy Easing

China Housing: The weekly new home sales data for 18 cities to the week ending Sep 10 does not show signs of improvement (yet) after the policy...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 1-7 September 2023

A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress. Key points in summaries.

Robert Ciemniak

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 25-31 August 2023

A curated selection of Chinese news for developers in distress, including deals, updates, project progress, and market commentaries.

Robert Ciemniak

China Property - The Latest Signals In The Housing Markets: August 2023

China Property: We highlight the latest indicators for July and August for the new home markets in China, as well as the latest policy developments.

Robert Ciemniak

CX Daily: China’s Offshore Wind Sector Gears Up for Life After Subsidies

Offshore wind /In Depth: China’s offshore wind sector gears up for life after subsidies Taiwan /Analysis: Foxconn founder’s independent leadership...

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Housing - Weekly Data Does Not (Yet) Show Impact Of Policy Easing

China Housing: The weekly new home sales data for 18 cities to the week ending Sep 10 does not show signs of improvement (yet) after the policy...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 1-7 September 2023

A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress. Key points in summaries.

Robert Ciemniak

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 25-31 August 2023

​A curated selection of Chinese news for developers in distress, including deals, updates, project progress, and market commentaries.

Robert Ciemniak

China Property - The Latest Signals In The Housing Markets: August 2023

China Property: We highlight the latest indicators for July and August for the new home markets in China, as well as the latest policy developments.

Robert Ciemniak

CX Daily: China’s Offshore Wind Sector Gears Up for Life After Subsidies

Offshore wind /In Depth: China’s offshore wind sector gears up for life after subsidies Taiwan /Analysis: Foxconn founder’s independent leadership...

Caixin Global

A curated selection of Chinese news for developers in distress, including deals, updates, project progress, and market commentaries.