Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

This is a warning insight. It is not actionable per se. It is designed to be informative. The dividend payment ex-dates are confusing. Some people are confusing. This insight hopes to put that right in the safest way possible so investors do not make an error on what will be a one-time 30% dividend.

This is a warning insight. It is not actionable per se. It is designed to be informative. The dividend payment ex-dates are confusing. Some people are confusing. This insight hopes to put that right in the safest way possible so investors do not make an error on what will be a one-time 30% dividend. 

Kunlun Energy (135) - Be Careful Of The Special Div Dates

Last year, the major gas pipeline companies owned by the SOEs all announced they were selling their intercity infrastructure and port offloading and storage operations to a new SOE called PipeChina. A few SOEs signed Sale and Purchase agreements in mid-2020. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kunlun-energy-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10054:1" rel="noopener">Kunlun Energy (135 HK)</a> signed theirs in December. For Kunlun, that agreement went through at the end of March. The bulk of the payment should have gone through at the end of April, and When Kunlun reported its earnings in late March, it reported full-year on an ongoing basis with the Discontinued Assets representing a different set of numbers. At that point, Kunlun became an energy distribution company which was primarily a city gas company, and a big pile of cash. As <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/osbert-tang-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3879" rel="noopener">Osbert Tang, CFA</a> discussed in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kunlun-energy-135-hk-a-fantastic-1q21-at-kunlun-gas" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50930" rel="noopener">Kunlun Energy (135 HK): A Fantastic 1Q21 at Kunlun Gas</a> the largest contributor to the remaining business had a "fantastic Q1". Year-on-year results this year were always going to be "good" simply because of the growth from start of year to end of year in 2020. Straightline serial no-growth in 2021 would still have resulted in year-on-year growth, which itself seemed not to be in the minds of analysts looking at the pro-forma post-sale Kunlun. Surprisingly, since the announcement in December that the trade had been done, while Kunlun is up, because others are up just as much, the relative cheapness of Kunlun vs peers has actually increased.Below are data/visualizations suggesting how to look at Kunlun today.

Last year, the major gas pipeline companies owned by the SOEs all announced they were selling their intercity infrastructure and port offloading and storage operations to a new SOE called PipeChina. A few SOEs signed Sale and Purchase agreements in mid-2020. Kunlun Energy (135 HK) signed theirs in December. For Kunlun, that agreement went through at the end of March. The bulk of the payment should have gone through at the end of April, and When Kunlun reported its earnings in late March, it reported full-year on an ongoing basis with the Discontinued Assets representing a different set of numbers. At that point, Kunlun became an energy distribution company which was primarily a city gas company, and a big pile of cash. As Osbert Tang, CFA discussed in Kunlun Energy (135 HK): A Fantastic 1Q21 at Kunlun Gas the largest contributor to the remaining business had a "fantastic Q1". Year-on-year results this year were always going to be "good" simply because of the growth from start of year to end of year in 2020. Straightline serial no-growth in 2021 would still have resulted in year-on-year growth, which itself seemed not to be in the minds of analysts looking at the pro-forma post-sale Kunlun. Surprisingly, since the announcement in December that the trade had been done, while Kunlun is up, because others are up just as much, the relative cheapness of Kunlun vs peers has actually increased.Below are data/visualizations suggesting how to look at Kunlun today. 

Kunlun Energy (135 HK) Approaching The Special Div - Still The Wrong Price

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 12th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 12th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 12th): China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 22nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Bank Of China, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Zto Express, Tencent, Meituan.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 22nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Bank Of China, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Zto Express, Tencent, Meituan.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 22nd): Bank Of China, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Zto Express, Tencent

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 1st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly Hongkong connect flows for Meituan and Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 1st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight weekly Hongkong connect flows for Meituan and Tencent.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 1st): Meituan, Tencent

Hong Kong

China Gas Holdings Ltd. invests in, operates and manages natural gas distribution pipelines.  The Company distributes and sells natural gas to residential, commercial and industrial users, and bottles and sells compressed natural gas.  China Gas also constructs and operates gas stations.

Price Gauge
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China Gas Holdings (384 HK)

Kunlun Energy (135) - Be Careful Of The Special Div Dates

Kunlun's Special Div is upon us. BE CAREFUL OF YOUR DATES. There appears to be some confusion out there. Check and double check the docs and your...

Travis Lundy

Kunlun Energy (135 HK) Approaching The Special Div - Still The Wrong Price

Kunlun has outperformed its peers since the announcement of the disposal of its pipeline business. There is one week til the ex-date of the special...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 12th): China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 22nd): Bank Of China, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Zto Express, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Bank Of China, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Zto Express, Tencent,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 1st): Meituan, Tencent

We analyzed southbound weekly Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and we highlighted weekly flows for Meituan and Tencent.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)