Global Special Situations & Strategy, SR Services Ltd

David Lepper

Global Special Situations & Strategy

SR Services Ltd

SR Services provides Strategic Knowledge and Solutions services for Family Offices and Corporate Business. 

We deliver this via advisory services, strategic planning, opportunity analysis/sourcing, as well as solution implementation. 

Whilst, we create intellectual discipline and operational leverage for your projects or daily activities, our ultimate objective is to empower whilst enhancing your decision making. 

Strategic Knowledge and Solutions

Cross Asset Strategy

Whilst Q4's list posted strong price performance it was a case that a rising tide floated most boats. As in the previous few quarters, we are on the watch for the risk of deteriorating credit metrics, but in particular during H1 2021. In Q1, the Altman Z score is at a market-cap-weighted 1.03 times, a significant decrease on the 1.52 in Q4. This deterioration needs to be monitored since earnings continue to be adjusted by analysts and their limited visibility of any bottoming. 25 stocks appear in our Q1 2021 screen, versus 15 in Q4 2020.

Whilst Q4's list posted strong price performance it was a case that a rising tide floated most boats. As in the previous few quarters, we are on the watch for the risk of deteriorating credit metrics, but in particular during H1 2021. In Q1, the Altman Z score is at a market-cap-weighted 1.03 times, a significant decrease on the 1.52 in Q4. This deterioration needs to be monitored since earnings continue to be adjusted by analysts and their limited visibility of any bottoming. 25 stocks appear in our Q1 2021 screen, versus 15 in Q4 2020.

Screening the Silk Road: Q1 2021 High Risk Names to Avoid

Partner

Patrick Eng

Sparkill & Co

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

China - “Doctor Of The Developing World”<ol>
<li>Who Is Dr. Chen Wolf Warrior? China’s Vaccine Boring But Beautiful.</li>
<li>What Does The COVID Vaccine Race Do For China?</li>
<li>From Doctor To… What Else…Future China Investment Implications</li>
</ol>

China - “Doctor Of The Developing World”
Who Is Dr. Chen Wolf Warrior? China’s Vaccine Boring But Beautiful.
What Does The COVID Vaccine Race Do For China?
From Doctor To… What Else…Future China Investment Implications
 

China Doing What It Does Best – Copying: Making Old Products/Vaccines Better & Cheaper

<ol>
<li>When has China ever done “an about quick pivot” from their long term game?</li>
<li>What would it take for China critics to have empathy? And see the world through their lens?</li>
<li>What do China M&amp;A and private equity flows tell us?</li>
</ol>


When has China ever done “an about quick pivot” from their long term game?
What would it take for China critics to have empathy? And see the world through their lens?
What do China M&amp;A and private equity flows tell us?


Xi’s Answers To Trump - New PR Campaign – Dual Circulation: What Is It? – Nothing Really.

Ivanka Trump, in her 2020 Republican National Convention Speech, told the nation that her Dad said, “You know we’re doing something right when they’re hitting us so hard.”  Who is Trump hitting hard???

Ivanka Trump, in her 2020 Republican National Convention Speech, told the nation that her Dad said, “You know we’re doing something right when they’re hitting us so hard.”  Who is Trump hitting hard???

Trump & Family Reveals His Love & Envy For China

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Zijin Gold International / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of this global index ended 31 December, the changes should be announced on 20 February and implemented at the close on 20 March.</li>
<li>For Asia Pac ex Japan, we forecast 266 changes (adds, deletes, migrations) for the index. Of those, 63 stocks could have over US$20m to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The forecast passive buys have outperformed the headlines indices in all major markets and there could be some profit-taking following announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of this global index ended 31 December, the changes should be announced on 20 February and implemented at the close on 20 March.
For Asia Pac ex Japan, we forecast 266 changes (adds, deletes, migrations) for the index. Of those, 63 stocks could have over US$20m to trade from passive trackers.
The forecast passive buys have outperformed the headlines indices in all major markets and there could be some profit-taking following announcement of the changes.


Asia Pac: (Forecast) Global Index Changes in March as Adds Outperform Bigly

Canada

China Gold International Resources is a gold and base metal mining company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of mineral properties. It operates the CSH Gold Mine in Inner Mongolia, China, producing gold dore bars with silver by-product, and the Jiama Copper-Gold Polymetallic Mine in Tibet, China, producing copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, lead, and zinc. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, and was incorporated in 2000.

China Gold International Resources (2099 HK)

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China Gold International Resources (2099 HK)

Screening the Silk Road: Q1 2021 High Risk Names to Avoid

As in the previous few quarters, we are on the watch for the risk of deteriorating credit metrics, but in particular during H1 2021. 25 stocks...

David Lepper

China Doing What It Does Best – Copying: Making Old Products/Vaccines Better & Cheaper

China Vaccine - using its math, science, and manufacturing strength to play Doctor to the world. They were the clinical trials themselves and now...

Patrick Eng

Xi’s Answers To Trump - New PR Campaign – Dual Circulation: What Is It? – Nothing Really.

When has China ever done “an about quick pivot” from their long term game? What would it take for China critics to have empathy? And see the world...

Patrick Eng

Trump & Family Reveals His Love & Envy For China

Ivanka Trump, in her 2020 Republican National Convention Speech, told the nation that her Dad said, “You know we’re doing something right when...

Patrick Eng

Asia Pac: (Forecast) Global Index Changes in March as Adds Outperform Bigly

There will be over 250 changes in AP for a global index in March. The large adds have outperformed their country indices over the last few months...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

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