HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> are massive laggards YTD.</li>
<li>As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. </li>
</ul>


Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.

Li Auto (2015 HK), Link REIT (823 HK), China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK), Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) are massive laggards YTD.
As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. 


HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 21st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Alibaba, Hua Hong Semi, Xiaomi, Kingboard Laminates, Cspc Pharma, China Life, 3Sbio.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 21st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Alibaba, Hua Hong Semi, Xiaomi, Kingboard Laminates, Cspc Pharma, China Life, 3Sbio.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Hua Hong Semi, Xiaomi, Kingboard Laminates, Cspc Pharma, 3Sbio

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 28th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Innovent Bio, Minimax, Kuaishou, Ping An.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 28th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Innovent Bio, Minimax, Kuaishou, Ping An.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 28th): Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Minimax

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Major Chinese insurers disclosed Jan premium figures, falling short of expectations amid the long-debated 2024 jumpstart sales under tightened regulatory scrutiny announced in last Oct.</li><li>Among seven H-share listed insurers, only China Life (2628 HK) and Sunshine Life (6963 HK) reported positive lowsingle digit growth by +2.2%/ +1.5% on a like-for-like basis, whereas the others recorded year-over-year cutbacks.</li><li>Ping An Life (2318 HK) fell by 3.9% YoY, in contrast to double-digit declines of CPIC Life (2601 HK) / New China Life (1336 HK) / PICC Life (1339 HK) at -14.7%/-15.0%/-18.5%, respectively, due to its more-advanced-than-peers agency capability. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Major Chinese insurers disclosed Jan premium figures, falling short of expectations amid the long-debated 2024 jumpstart sales under tightened regulatory scrutiny announced in last Oct.Among seven H-share listed insurers, only China Life (2628 HK) and Sunshine Life (6963 HK) reported positive lowsingle digit growth by +2.2%/ +1.5% on a like-for-like basis, whereas the others recorded year-over-year cutbacks.Ping An Life (2318 HK) fell by 3.9% YoY, in contrast to double-digit declines of CPIC Life (2601 HK) / New China Life (1336 HK) / PICC Life (1339 HK) at -14.7%/-15.0%/-18.5%, respectively, due to its more-advanced-than-peers agency capability. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Insurance – 1M24 life premiums fell short of expectations

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>China insurance sector may seem like there is strong growth prospects due the population, but relatively long term data on insurance premium growth is not robust in recent years.</li>
<li>Aggregate impairment losses on assets of insurance companies have been soaring in recent years, well higher than in the GFC, which can continue with weak CRE, investments.</li>
<li>Ping An Insurance has seen sharp fall in operating income in the past 2 quarters, with levels near quarterly lows in the past five years. Lower rates may hurt further. </li>
</ul>


China insurance sector may seem like there is strong growth prospects due the population, but relatively long term data on insurance premium growth is not robust in recent years.
Aggregate impairment losses on assets of insurance companies have been soaring in recent years, well higher than in the GFC, which can continue with weak CRE, investments.
Ping An Insurance has seen sharp fall in operating income in the past 2 quarters, with levels near quarterly lows in the past five years. Lower rates may hurt further. 


Ping An Insurance - Recent Profit Growth Is Weak, Industry Aggregates Do Not Suggest a Change

China

China Life Insurance Company Limited is a Beijing-headquartered company that provides a comprehensive suite of life, health, and accident insurance products and services to individuals and groups. The company also offers pension plans and engages in asset management. It was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Life Insurance (2628 HK)

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Hua Hong Semi, Xiaomi, Kingboard Laminates, Cspc Pharma, 3Sbio

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 21st and highlight short interest changes in Alibaba (9988 HK), Hua...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 28th): Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Minimax

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Insurance – 1M24 life premiums fell short of expectations

Major Chinese insurers disclosed Jan premium figures, falling short of expectations amid the long-debated 2024 jumpstart sales under tightened...

CMB International

Ping An Insurance - Recent Profit Growth Is Weak, Industry Aggregates Do Not Suggest a Change

Ping An Insurance demonstrates weakening profit, China insurance industry aggregates, do not suggest this will change. Rather, investment returns...

Daniel Tabbush

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)