Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight stocks that Chinese were buying  before CNY: Meituan, Tencent, Kuaishou, China Mobile. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight stocks that Chinese were buying  before CNY: Meituan, Tencent, Kuaishou, China Mobile. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows: What Were Chinese Buying Before CNY

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The parent company of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> has announced a plan to increase its holding. This is better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wilmar-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:172:1" rel="noopener">Wilmar International (WIL SP)</a> is inexpensive, even for a cross-border, possibly-difficult-to-short subsidiary, Holdco situation. </li>
<li>The BHP LN vs BHP AU unification should cause US$40bn of rebalance trading across the major indices. Other indices will simply roll their exposure from PLC to Limited without trading. </li>
</ul>


The parent company of China Mobile (941 HK) has announced a plan to increase its holding. This is better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick. 

Wilmar International (WIL SP) is inexpensive, even for a cross-border, possibly-difficult-to-short subsidiary, Holdco situation. 
The BHP LN vs BHP AU unification should cause US$40bn of rebalance trading across the major indices. Other indices will simply roll their exposure from PLC to Limited without trading. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: China Mobile, Wilmar, BHP, Link Net, Hollysys, GJ Steel, Guodian Tech, ASX

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China allocations fall to a 2-year low, driven by widespread closures in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (BABA US)</a> New Oriental Education (EDU US), China Mobile (941 HK) and CNOOC Ltd.</li>
<li>Active GEM Managers head in to 2022 with Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services the key China sector exposures, though Industrial stocks stand out the main overweight.</li>
<li>On a stock level, the most widely held company is Tencent, held by 81% of the managers in our analysis and taking the crown from Alibaba Group in 2021. </li>
</ul>


China allocations fall to a 2-year low, driven by widespread closures in Alibaba Group (BABA US) New Oriental Education (EDU US), China Mobile (941 HK) and CNOOC Ltd.
Active GEM Managers head in to 2022 with Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services the key China sector exposures, though Industrial stocks stand out the main overweight.
On a stock level, the most widely held company is Tencent, held by 81% of the managers in our analysis and taking the crown from Alibaba Group in 2021. 


China:  EM Active Fund Positioning Update.  BABA Drives Allocations Lower

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>The parent company of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> has announced a plan to increase its holding. This is not surprising given the contents of the RMB Share Issue <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0524/2021052400195.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Circular</a>.</li>
<li>If they spend the midpoint of the RMB 3.0-5.0bn plan at a 20+% premium to current price, it is 8% of the RMB Share float. </li>
<li>The H-share buyback program is eligible to start after 8 Feb deadline for RMB Share greenshoe allocation. The stock is HK$51. Anything under HK$70/share is accretive vs the IPO.</li>
</ul>


The parent company of China Mobile (941 HK) has announced a plan to increase its holding. This is not surprising given the contents of the RMB Share Issue Circular.
If they spend the midpoint of the RMB 3.0-5.0bn plan at a 20+% premium to current price, it is 8% of the RMB Share float. 
The H-share buyback program is eligible to start after 8 Feb deadline for RMB Share greenshoe allocation. The stock is HK$51. Anything under HK$70/share is accretive vs the IPO.


China Mobile Parent Ups The Ante - Announces Share Increase Plan

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight top inflow stocks: Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), China Mobile (941 HK). </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight top inflow stocks: Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), China Mobile (941 HK). 


Hong Kong Connect Flows: Tencent, Meituan China Mobile Led Inflows

Luxembourg

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Spotify reported its first-quarter 2025 results with decent metrics, yet the numbers failed to satisfy market expectations, leading to a sharp drop in its stock price.</li><li>Despite posting a 12% year-over-year increase in premium subscribers to 268 million—exceeding analyst estimates of 265 million—Spotify shares fell 8.7% in early trading to $545.77.</li><li>The company also registered 678 million monthly active users, up 10%, broadly meeting expectations.</li></ul>

Spotify reported its first-quarter 2025 results with decent metrics, yet the numbers failed to satisfy market expectations, leading to a sharp drop in its stock price.Despite posting a 12% year-over-year increase in premium subscribers to 268 million—exceeding analyst estimates of 265 million—Spotify shares fell 8.7% in early trading to $545.77.The company also registered 678 million monthly active users, up 10%, broadly meeting expectations.

Spotify がオーディオブックに大投資 ― これはプラットフォーム史上最も破壊的な動きとなるか?

Hong Kong Connect Flows: What Were Chinese Buying Before CNY

We highlight stocks that Chinese were buying via Southbound Stock Connect before CNY: Meituan (3690 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: China Mobile, Wilmar, BHP, Link Net, Hollysys, GJ Steel, Guodian Tech, ASX

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

China: EM Active Fund Positioning Update. BABA Drives Allocations Lower

China allocations fall to 2-year low, driven by widespread closures in Alibaba Group, New Oriental Education, China Mobile and CNOOC Ltd.

Steven Holden

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Tencent, Meituan China Mobile Led Inflows

We highlight Hong Kong Connect top inflow stocks last week: Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), China Mobile (941 HK), as well as top outflows:...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows: What Were Chinese Buying Before CNY

We highlight stocks that Chinese were buying via Southbound Stock Connect before CNY: Meituan (3690 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: China Mobile, Wilmar, BHP, Link Net, Hollysys, GJ Steel, Guodian Tech, ASX

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

China: EM Active Fund Positioning Update. BABA Drives Allocations Lower

China allocations fall to 2-year low, driven by widespread closures in Alibaba Group, New Oriental Education, China Mobile and CNOOC Ltd.

Steven Holden

China Mobile Parent Ups The Ante - Announces Share Increase Plan

China Mobile (941 HK)'s parent company on Sunday announced it had bought back RMB 700mm+ of A-shares on Friday, and announced an RMB Share Increase...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Tencent, Meituan China Mobile Led Inflows

We highlight Hong Kong Connect top inflow stocks last week: Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), China Mobile (941 HK), as well as top outflows:...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM