Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 57.0% as of Sep 19th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.8ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, energy, health care and offset by real estate, consumer staples, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home, Qingdao Port, China Minsheng Banking.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 57.0% as of Sep 19th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.8ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, energy, health care and offset by real estate, consumer staples, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home, Qingdao Port, China Minsheng Banking.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 19th): Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home, Qingdao Port

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.0% as of Aug 22nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, real estate, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium, Fuyao Glass.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.0% as of Aug 22nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, real estate, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium, Fuyao Glass.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 22nd): Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium, Fuyao Glass

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 54.6% as of Aug 15th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -4.2ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, financials, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for MCC, Jiangxi Copper, Ganfeng Lithium, Csc Financial, Fosun Pharma.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 54.6% as of Aug 15th.
The average A-H premium changed by -4.2ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, financials, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for MCC, Jiangxi Copper, Ganfeng Lithium, Csc Financial, Fosun Pharma.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 15th): MCC, Jiangxi Copper, Ganfeng Lithium, Csc Financial, Fosun Pharma

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Communications Construction / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Communications Construction (1800 HK)</a>, short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-group-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:264:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Group Ltd H (390 HK)</a> is a good strategy to capitalise on the recent underperformance of CCCC.</li>
<li>CCCC has a stronger contract momentum than CRG - its FY24 new contracts were up 7.3%, but CRG was down 12.4%. CCCC is also better positioned for urban construction growth.</li>
<li>In terms of dividend yield, CCCC is higher at 6.8% for FY25, yet CRG is only 6.3%. CCCC's performance should pick up in the rest of 2025.</li>
</ul>


Long China Communications Construction (1800 HK), short China Railway Group Ltd H (390 HK) is a good strategy to capitalise on the recent underperformance of CCCC.
CCCC has a stronger contract momentum than CRG - its FY24 new contracts were up 7.3%, but CRG was down 12.4%. CCCC is also better positioned for urban construction growth.
In terms of dividend yield, CCCC is higher at 6.8% for FY25, yet CRG is only 6.3%. CCCC's performance should pick up in the rest of 2025.


China Pair Trade: Long China Comm Const (1800 HK), Short China Railway Group (390 HK)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart (9992 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-f-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44093:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (6936 HK)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-group-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:264:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Group (390 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-securities-co-4f5d644c-0051-426f-9706-eaa74b0ba280" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22738:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Securities (6099 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a>. </li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy between 0.4-0.6x ADV in the adds and sell between 0.5-1.3x ADV in the deletes. There are some small capping flows too.</li>
<li>There are a lot of shorts in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart (9992 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-group-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:264:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Group Ltd H (390 HK)</a> and China <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-securities-co-4f5d644c-0051-426f-9706-eaa74b0ba280" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22738:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Securities Co Ltd (H) (6099 HK)</a>.   </li>
</ul>



Pop Mart (9992 HK) and S.F. Holding (6936 HK) will replace China Railway Group (390 HK) and China Merchants Securities (6099 HK) in the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US). 
Passive trackers will need to buy between 0.4-0.6x ADV in the adds and sell between 0.5-1.3x ADV in the deletes. There are some small capping flows too.
There are a lot of shorts in Pop Mart (9992 HK), China Railway Group Ltd H (390 HK) and China China Merchants Securities Co Ltd (H) (6099 HK).   


FXI Rebalance: Pop Mart, SF Holding In; China Merchant Sec, China Railway Out

China

China Railway Group Ltd. offers transportation systems construction services. The Company builds railroads, roads, tunnels, and bridges.

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China Railway Group Ltd H (390 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 19th): Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home, Qingdao Port

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 22nd): Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium, Fuyao Glass

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 15th): MCC, Jiangxi Copper, Ganfeng Lithium, Csc Financial, Fosun Pharma

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for MCC, Jiangxi Copper, Ganfeng Lithium, Csc Financial, Fosun...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Pair Trade: Long China Comm Const (1800 HK), Short China Railway Group (390 HK)

The latest 1H25 operating figures continued to bode well for CCCC against CRG. New contracts signed rose 3.2% for CCCC, but only 2.8% for CRG. The...

Osbert Tang, CFA

FXI Rebalance: Pop Mart, SF Holding In; China Merchant Sec, China Railway Out

Pop Mart and SF Holdings replace China Railway and China Merchant Securities in the FXI ETF at the close on 20 June. SF Holding will also be added...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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