IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

China Shengmu Organic Milk / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 30 October, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-modern-dairy-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6785:1" rel="noopener">China Modern Dairy (1117 HK)</a> announced a conditional share purchase agreement to acquire 1.28% of outstanding <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shengmu-organic-milk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12714:1" rel="noopener">China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK)</a> shares at HK$0.35 per share. </li>
<li>The SPA is conditional on SAMR and independent CMD shareholder approval. SPA completion will trigger a mandatory conditional cash offer at HK$0.35 per share.</li>
<li>Post-Completion, CMD and concert parties will hold a 31.26% stake. The offer is conditional on a 50% minimum acceptance condition, which is problematic as the offer is not particularly attractive.  </li>
</ul>


On 30 October, China Modern Dairy (1117 HK) announced a conditional share purchase agreement to acquire 1.28% of outstanding China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK) shares at HK$0.35 per share. 
The SPA is conditional on SAMR and independent CMD shareholder approval. SPA completion will trigger a mandatory conditional cash offer at HK$0.35 per share.
Post-Completion, CMD and concert parties will hold a 31.26% stake. The offer is conditional on a 50% minimum acceptance condition, which is problematic as the offer is not particularly attractive.  


China Shengmu (1432 HK): Possible Offer, Potentially Problematic 50% Min Acceptance Condition

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>I tally 32  - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Two new deals were was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fleetpartners-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:339:1" rel="noopener">FleetPartners Group (FPR AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maxnerva-technology-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17502:1" rel="noopener">Maxnerva Technology Services (1037 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steadfast-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8181:1" rel="noopener">Steadfast (SDF AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golfzon-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16376:1" rel="noopener">Golfzon Holdings (121440 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/polyplex-thailand-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6586:1" rel="noopener">Polyplex (Thailand) (PTL TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renew-energy-global-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37038:1" rel="noopener">ReNew Energy Global (RNW US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shengmu-organic-milk-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12714:1" rel="noopener">China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 32  - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Two new deals were was discussed on Smartkarma this week: FleetPartners Group (FPR AU) and Maxnerva Technology Services (1037 HK).
Key updates/news also took place on: Steadfast (SDF AU), Golfzon Holdings (121440 KS), Polyplex (Thailand) (PTL TB), ReNew Energy Global (RNW US), and China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK).


Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: FleetPartners, Maxnerva, Steadfast, Golfzon, Polyplex, ReNew Energy, Shengmu

<ul>
<li>Strategically, range trade <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>. Sell large pops, buy large declines. Big picture this big buyback  doesn't change very much at all on a net basis.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-holdings-corporation-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:517:1" rel="noopener">Legend Holdings (3396 HK)</a>(finally) sees a decent move. The positive profit alert issued no doubt nudge things along nicely. </li>
<li>Post sale to Heidelberg, how much, if any, will the market re-rate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maas-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33520:1" rel="noopener">MAAS Group Holdings (MGH AU)</a> as an infrastructure/ "AI-enabler" rather than a contractor currently?</li>
</ul>


Strategically, range trade Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP). Sell large pops, buy large declines. Big picture this big buyback  doesn't change very much at all on a net basis.

Legend Holdings (3396 HK)(finally) sees a decent move. The positive profit alert issued no doubt nudge things along nicely. 
Post sale to Heidelberg, how much, if any, will the market re-rate MAAS Group Holdings (MGH AU) as an infrastructure/ "AI-enabler" rather than a contractor currently?


Last Week In Event SPACE: Seven & I, Legend Holdings, MAAS, Lynas Corp

<ul>
<li>For July 2026, ten new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$7bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~51%, and a year-to-date average of ~48%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For July 2026, ten new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$7bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~51%, and a year-to-date average of ~48%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


Asia-Pac M&A [July 2026 Wrap]: Dentsu Soken, Perpetual, OFX, Ns United Kaiun, Gabia, SK Signet, Dida

<ul>
<li>I tally 29 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Three new deals were was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-signet-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55377:1" rel="noopener">SK Signet (260870 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/energy-one-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19865:1" rel="noopener">Energy One (EOL AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ns-united-kaiun-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17238:1" rel="noopener">Ns United Kaiun Kaisha (9110 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zenith-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3234:1" rel="noopener">Zenith Minerals (ZNC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-strategic-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30815:1" rel="noopener">Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pepper-money-ltd-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24157:1" rel="noopener">Pepper Money (PPM AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamada-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16273:1" rel="noopener">Yamada Corp (6392 JP)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamada-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16273:1" rel="noopener"></a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 29 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Three new deals were was discussed on Smartkarma this week: SK Signet (260870 KS), Energy One (EOL AU), and Ns United Kaiun Kaisha (9110 JP). 
Key updates/news also took place on: Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU), Zenith Minerals (ZNC AU), Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU), Pepper Money (PPM AU), and Yamada Corp (6392 JP).


Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Perpetual, SK Signet, Energy One, Superland, WK Group, Ns United Kaiun, Yamada

China

China Shengmu Organic Milk is an investment holding company primarily engaged in the production and distribution of raw milk and dairy products. The company's principal business includes dairy farming, production, and sales of desert-based organic and non-organic raw milk, as well as beef cow breeding. It was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Bayannur, Inner Mongolia, China.

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China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK)

China Shengmu (1432 HK): Possible Offer, Potentially Problematic 50% Min Acceptance Condition

Post-Completion, CMD and concert parties will hold a 31.26% stake. The offer is conditional on a 50% minimum acceptance condition, which is...

Arun George

Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: FleetPartners, Maxnerva, Steadfast, Golfzon, Polyplex, ReNew Energy, Shengmu

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Seven & I, Legend Holdings, MAAS, Lynas Corp

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac M&A [July 2026 Wrap]: Dentsu Soken, Perpetual, OFX, Ns United Kaiun, Gabia, SK Signet, Dida

For the month of July, 8 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$5bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Perpetual, SK Signet, Energy One, Superland, WK Group, Ns United Kaiun, Yamada

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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