Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Late January timing of LNY holiday boosted last month's travel and tourism statistics</li>
<li>Chinese airlines are filling outbound flights, which should lift pricing &amp; margins (eventually)</li>
<li>Numbers suggest Chinese consumers eager to travel, but spending remains muted</li>
</ul>


Late January timing of LNY holiday boosted last month's travel and tourism statistics
Chinese airlines are filling outbound flights, which should lift pricing &amp; margins (eventually)
Numbers suggest Chinese consumers eager to travel, but spending remains muted


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | LNY Numbers Just OK | Airlines Filling Up | (February 2025)

<ul>
<li>December numbers from Taiwanese carriers suggest balanced air freight market conditions</li>
<li>Cathay, SIA, &amp; three Chinese carriers reported solid volume growth, but low load factors</li>
<li>A range of leading air cargo hubs disclosed moderating volume growth in December</li>
</ul>


December numbers from Taiwanese carriers suggest balanced air freight market conditions
Cathay, SIA, &amp; three Chinese carriers reported solid volume growth, but low load factors
A range of leading air cargo hubs disclosed moderating volume growth in December


Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | Inaugural Edition | Low Cargo Load Factors and Moderating Demand Growth

<ul>
<li>Two years after most Covid restrictions ended, pace of travel recovery has slowed, naturally</li>
<li>Gov't estimates ahead of LNY travel period seem tepid, actual growth could exceed them</li>
<li>Trip.com has been stellar performer in segment, but in recent months airlines outperformed</li>
</ul>


Two years after most Covid restrictions ended, pace of travel recovery has slowed, naturally
Gov't estimates ahead of LNY travel period seem tepid, actual growth could exceed them
Trip.com has been stellar performer in segment, but in recent months airlines outperformed


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Dec & Q424 Numbers | Airlines Outperform Trip.com (January 2025)

<ul>
<li>Tracking Asian air cargo trends can uncover investment opportunities &amp; offer read-throughs</li>
<li>In November 2024, no clear signs of market tightness in data from Taiwanese, Chinese carriers</li>
<li>A quick look at numbers from CX, SIA, LAX also suggests ample available cargo space</li>
</ul>


Tracking Asian air cargo trends can uncover investment opportunities &amp; offer read-throughs
In November 2024, no clear signs of market tightness in data from Taiwanese, Chinese carriers
A quick look at numbers from CX, SIA, LAX also suggests ample available cargo space


Quick Update on Asian Air Cargo Trends: No Signs of Market Tightness in These Numbers

<ul>
<li>In container shipping, 'normalization' means lower rates, lower margins, &amp; lower returns</li>
<li>In Chinese express, a potential recovery in ground segment, more risks in X-border business</li>
<li>In Chinese tourism, how will investors react to inevitable slowing</li>
</ul>


In container shipping, 'normalization' means lower rates, lower margins, &amp; lower returns
In Chinese express, a potential recovery in ground segment, more risks in X-border business
In Chinese tourism, how will investors react to inevitable slowing


Crystal Baller: Tracking Traffic's Key 2025 Themes & Events: Containers | Express | Chinese Tourism

China

China Southern Airlines Company Limited provides commercial airline services throughout China, Southeast Asia and other parts of the world.  The Company also provides other airline related services including aircraft maintenance and air catering.

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China Southern Airlines (1055 HK)

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | LNY Numbers Just OK | Airlines Filling Up | (February 2025)

January and Lunar New Year travel activity data seem OK, but not spectacular. Chinese tourists seem eager to travel, but there are few signs they...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | Inaugural Edition | Low Cargo Load Factors and Moderating Demand Growth

Air cargo demand growth appears to be moderating, and most carriers reported low (sub-70%) load factors in December. In short, we see few signs of...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Dec & Q424 Numbers | Airlines Outperform Trip.com (January 2025)

December 2024 travel growth moderated, as the post-pandemic recovery has by now largely run its course. After a stellar 2023-24 run, shares of...

Tracking Traffic

Quick Update on Asian Air Cargo Trends: No Signs of Market Tightness in These Numbers

Our review of Asian air cargo data aims to uncover investment ideas and potentially provide "read-throughs" to adjacent segments. In the November...

Tracking Traffic

Crystal Baller: Tracking Traffic's Key 2025 Themes & Events: Containers | Express | Chinese Tourism

In this insight we outline the important 2025 themes & events facing the three sectors we cover in our monthly Tracking Traffic series: Container...

Tracking Traffic

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