HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Power International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>2H21 is bad for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15548:1" rel="noopener">China Power International (2380 HK)</a> as coal price surged. But the positive news is that its wind and solar segments logged a 50.6% full-year profit growth.</li>
<li>There is good progress on transformation and it has 7GW of clean energy capacity to come on stream in FY22. This is equivalent to 46% of the existing capacity.</li>
<li>CPI said coal-fired plants are marginally profitable in Jan-Feb; meanwhile, hydropower will do better in this year. Overall, these set the stage for a turnaround.</li>
</ul>


2H21 is bad for China Power International (2380 HK) as coal price surged. But the positive news is that its wind and solar segments logged a 50.6% full-year profit growth.
There is good progress on transformation and it has 7GW of clean energy capacity to come on stream in FY22. This is equivalent to 46% of the existing capacity.
CPI said coal-fired plants are marginally profitable in Jan-Feb; meanwhile, hydropower will do better in this year. Overall, these set the stage for a turnaround.


China Power International (2380 HK): Transformation to Soon Bear Fruits

China Three Gorges Renewables / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-three-gorges-renewables" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28950:1" rel="noopener">China Three Gorges Renewables (600905 CH)</a> (CTGR) has an splendid FY21 as it pre-announced result with a range of 46.5-53.1% growth in recurring profit, fuelled by generation and disposal gains. </li>
<li>The first full-year contribution of many projects commissioned in 4Q21, which boosted a 28.4% QoQ surge in power generation, should underpin FY22 earnings - consensus forecast is expecting 41% growth.</li>
<li>YTD, CTGR's share price performed in line with Shanghai Composite Index (-6.1%), but its strong EPS CAGR of 22% for FY21-23 provides room for it to outperformed in medium term. </li>
</ul>



China Three Gorges Renewables (600905 CH) (CTGR) has an splendid FY21 as it pre-announced result with a range of 46.5-53.1% growth in recurring profit, fuelled by generation and disposal gains. 
The first full-year contribution of many projects commissioned in 4Q21, which boosted a 28.4% QoQ surge in power generation, should underpin FY22 earnings - consensus forecast is expecting 41% growth.
YTD, CTGR's share price performed in line with Shanghai Composite Index (-6.1%), but its strong EPS CAGR of 22% for FY21-23 provides room for it to outperformed in medium term. 


China Three Gorges Renewables (600905 CH): Good, and Better Is Coming

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March review of the HSCI ended on 31 December. There are a lot of new listings that should be included in the index.</li>
<li>SenseTime is a high probability inclusion to the index, though it will only be added to Stock Connect in July once it completes 6 months and 20 trading days.</li>
<li>Xpeng and Li Auto will be added to Stock Connect in Feb/March if they pass the velocity test. We see Li Auto as failing the test, while Xpeng is close.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March review of the HSCI ended on 31 December. There are a lot of new listings that should be included in the index.
SenseTime is a high probability inclusion to the index, though it will only be added to Stock Connect in July once it completes 6 months and 20 trading days.
Xpeng and Li Auto will be added to Stock Connect in Feb/March if they pass the velocity test. We see Li Auto as failing the test, while Xpeng is close.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Plenty of New Listings Should Be Included

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 135 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>We highlight three sectors that contributed to the A/H premium decline: consumer staple, consumer discretionary, and information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight A/H premium increase of China Communication Construction (1800 HK), and China Eastern Air (670 HK). </li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 135 stocks over the last week.
We highlight three sectors that contributed to the A/H premium decline: consumer staple, consumer discretionary, and information technology.
We highlight A/H premium increase of China Communication Construction (1800 HK), and China Eastern Air (670 HK). 


A/H Premium Weekly: China Comm Construction, China Eastern Air

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 135 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>Industrial, Energy and Communication Services were the top three sectors contributing to the A/H premium declines. </li>
<li>Yet 4 names are at 52 week high of A/H premium: Air China Ltd, Guangshen Railway, Shenzhen HepaLink, Beijing North Star.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 135 stocks over the last week.
Industrial, Energy and Communication Services were the top three sectors contributing to the A/H premium declines. 
Yet 4 names are at 52 week high of A/H premium: Air China Ltd, Guangshen Railway, Shenzhen HepaLink, Beijing North Star.


A/H Premium Weekly: Biggest A/H Premium Declines in a Year

China

China Suntien Green Energy Corp Ltd operates a wind farm and a natural gas business. The Company intends to build wind power projects and develop natural gas projects throughout China.

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China Suntien Green Energy (956 HK)

China Power International (2380 HK): Transformation to Soon Bear Fruits

CPI is making good progress in transformation into a clean energy play. Profitability will improve in FY22, providing room for valuations to catch...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Three Gorges Renewables (600905 CH): Good, and Better Is Coming

CTGR's pre-announced FY21 result beats market expectations, and FY22 beyond will be fuelled by more new capacity completion, particularly from...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Plenty of New Listings Should Be Included

There could be up to 34 adds and 22 deletes for the HSCI in March based on market cap, liquidity and prolonged suspensions. A lot of new listings,...

Brian Freitas

A/H Premium Weekly: China Comm Construction, China Eastern Air

We highlight three sectors that contributed to the WOW A/H premium decline: consumer staple, consumer discretionary, and information technology,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Weekly: Biggest A/H Premium Declines in a Year

The market average A/H premium registered the biggest declines in the past one year. We highlight top sectors by the decline of A/H premium, as...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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