Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Chinasoft International / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).</li>
<li>We continue to expect four index changes for March 2026 and we estimate there to be capping flows making one-way flows US$205mn.</li>
<li>The index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 13th February 2026.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).
We continue to expect four index changes for March 2026 and we estimate there to be capping flows making one-way flows US$205mn.
The index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 13th February 2026.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Mar26: Announcement Next Week; 4 Changes Likely

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's DeepSeek is catalyzing growth opportunities in the Software as a Service (SaaS)/ Internet as a Service (IaaS) sectors by integrating AI solutions for platforms, service providers and software applications.</li>
<li>DeepSeek has democratized AI and brought forward significant demand for AI services for enterprises and consumers.  US hyperscalers will struggle to monetize their AI services as inexpensive models will proliferate.</li>
<li>Companies like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:492:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingdee-international-sftwr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37:1" rel="noopener">Kingdee International Software (268 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinasoft-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:407:1" rel="noopener">Chinasoft International (354 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vobile-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29711:1" rel="noopener">Vobile Group (3738 HK)</a> , and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inspur-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7523:1" rel="noopener">Inspur International (596 HK)</a> will benefit.</li>
</ul>


China's DeepSeek is catalyzing growth opportunities in the Software as a Service (SaaS)/ Internet as a Service (IaaS) sectors by integrating AI solutions for platforms, service providers and software applications.
DeepSeek has democratized AI and brought forward significant demand for AI services for enterprises and consumers.  US hyperscalers will struggle to monetize their AI services as inexpensive models will proliferate.
Companies like Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK) , Kingdee International Software (268 HK) , Chinasoft International (354 HK) , Vobile Group (3738 HK) , and Inspur International (596 HK) will benefit.


DeepSeek Rally Creates More Winners in SaaS/IaaS Sectors

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong's secular bull market gained after DeepSeek's announcement ignited shares in the tech sector.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:492:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK)</a> broke out to new high after it announced its DAU for WPS exceeded 100mm.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-cloud-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36647:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK)</a> is benefiting from the AI rally.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> broke out to an all-time high after announcing it would offer its ADA service for free. The move caused <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla (TSLA US)</a> shares to fall.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong's secular bull market gained after DeepSeek's announcement ignited shares in the tech sector.

Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK) broke out to new high after it announced its DAU for WPS exceeded 100mm.  Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK) is benefiting from the AI rally.

BYD (1211 HK) broke out to an all-time high after announcing it would offer its ADA service for free. The move caused Tesla (TSLA US) shares to fall.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (February 11)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Technical Analysis

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>We believe there is significant evidence that global equities (MSCI ACWI) have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. Buys highlighted in global Technology, Discretionary, Real Estate, and Steel/Mining.</li>
<li>We discussed in our prior Int'l Compass (11/2/23) how the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency) was bullish, and a potent rally has ensued. We expect more upside ahead.</li>
<li>Now getting bullish 3+ month downtrend reversals and false breakdowns in the EURO STOXX 50, ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), MSCI EM (EEM-US), and EAFE (EFA-US). Major risk-on signals everywhere.</li>
</ul>


We believe there is significant evidence that global equities (MSCI ACWI) have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. Buys highlighted in global Technology, Discretionary, Real Estate, and Steel/Mining.
We discussed in our prior Int'l Compass (11/2/23) how the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency) was bullish, and a potent rally has ensued. We expect more upside ahead.
Now getting bullish 3+ month downtrend reversals and false breakdowns in the EURO STOXX 50, ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), MSCI EM (EEM-US), and EAFE (EFA-US). Major risk-on signals everywhere.


Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel

Global Special Situations & Strategy, SR Services Ltd

David Lepper

Global Special Situations & Strategy

SR Services Ltd

SR Services provides Strategic Knowledge and Solutions services for Family Offices and Corporate Business. 

We deliver this via advisory services, strategic planning, opportunity analysis/sourcing, as well as solution implementation. 

Whilst, we create intellectual discipline and operational leverage for your projects or daily activities, our ultimate objective is to empower whilst enhancing your decision making. 

Strategic Knowledge and Solutions

Q2 2020’s selection delivered an average return increase of 54% v’s the MSCI Asia Pacific Index 37.4% over the same period. The GARP-based screen uses a combination of growth and value metrics to identify shares where brokers are forecasting high earnings growth, but which are currently valued at a price that is low relative to their forecast outlook. Whilst Central Banks are providing additional liquidity favouring growth names, our value-based screen is key to delivering positive gains as tapering begins. Q2 2021's screen provides 16 key suggestions.  What makes the current selection interesting is the bias towards Taiwan and India on a country basis and Industrials and Healthcare on a sector basis. Also of particular note, Singapore presents one name on this screen.

Q2 2020’s selection delivered an average return increase of 54% v’s the MSCI Asia Pacific Index 37.4% over the same period. The GARP-based screen uses a combination of growth and value metrics to identify shares where brokers are forecasting high earnings growth, but which are currently valued at a price that is low relative to their forecast outlook. Whilst Central Banks are providing additional liquidity favouring growth names, our value-based screen is key to delivering positive gains as tapering begins. Q2 2021's screen provides 16 key suggestions.  What makes the current selection interesting is the bias towards Taiwan and India on a country basis and Industrials and Healthcare on a sector basis. Also of particular note, Singapore presents one name on this screen.

Screening the Silk Road: Q2-2021 All Cap GARP (Zulu Warrior Screening)

China

Chinasoft International is a global software and information technology services company, providing application development, cloud computing, big data analytics, and business process outsourcing. It offers solutions like the JointPilot platform, HOJI software project management platform, and CloudEasy Series products. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Chinasoft International (354 HK)

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Mar26: Announcement Next Week; 4 Changes Likely

Couple of the expected DELs have more than 1x ADV to sell. NetEase (9999 HK) and Xiaomi (1810 HK) have ~US$62mn and ~US$72mn net inflows expected...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

DeepSeek Rally Creates More Winners in SaaS/IaaS Sectors

DeepSeek's breakthrough AI model has created huge demand for AI services at a more affordable price from enterprises and customers.SaaS and IaaS...

David Mudd

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (February 11)

HK stocks gained momentum after the DeepSeek announcement. Kingsoft shares broke out to new highs after announcing that WPS had DAUs of 100mm. BYD...

David Mudd

Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel

There is significant evidence that global equities $ACWI have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. It all started when we discussed that the...

Vermilion Research

Screening the Silk Road: Q2-2021 All Cap GARP (Zulu Warrior Screening)

GARP selection, held for 12 mths for good reason. The list delivered an average return of 54% v’s the MSCI Asia Pac Index 37.4% over the same...

David Lepper

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)