HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products / Equity Bottom-Up

Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products (300122 CH)

Recently, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chongqing-zhifei-biological-products-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6245:1" rel="noopener">Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products (300122 CH)</a> released its 2020 and 2021Q1 financial results. In 2020, Zhifei achieved revenue of RMB15.19 billion, up 43.48% YoY, and the net profit was RMB3.3 billion, up 39.51% YoY. In 2021Q1, the revenue reached RMB3.927 billion, up 49.04% YoY, and the net profit was RMB938 million, up 81.69% YoY. Zhifei’s performance in 2021Q1 beat the market expectation. The following mainly analyzed the investment logic, key catalysts (such as COVID-19 vaccine etc.) in 2021 and thoughts on valuation.

Recently, Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products (300122 CH) released its 2020 and 2021Q1 financial results. In 2020, Zhifei achieved revenue of RMB15.19 billion, up 43.48% YoY, and the net profit was RMB3.3 billion, up 39.51% YoY. In 2021Q1, the revenue reached RMB3.927 billion, up 49.04% YoY, and the net profit was RMB938 million, up 81.69% YoY. Zhifei’s performance in 2021Q1 beat the market expectation. The following mainly analyzed the investment logic, key catalysts (such as COVID-19 vaccine etc.) in 2021 and thoughts on valuation.

Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products (300122.CH) - Could Zhifei Support Its Valuation?

Equity Capital Markets

On February 24th, 2021, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yishengbio-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32205:1" rel="noopener">YishengBio (1872307D HK)</a> announced the completion of a Series B financing of over $130 million, led by Oceanpine and OrbiMed. Soon after, on March 8th, Yisheng filed its IPO prospectus with the HKEX. Since the Changchun Changsheng vaccine scandal in 2018, rabies vaccines have been in short supply in China. Therefore, vaccine companies hope to seize this opportunity and develop vigorously with the help of the capital market. For example, last year, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chengdu-kanghua-biological-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29895:1" rel="noopener">Chengdu Kanghua Biological-A (300841 CH)</a> was listed on the A-share market successfully. This year, Yisheng also plans to raise funds, expand the business and fund the future operation in the public capital market.

On February 24th, 2021, YishengBio (1872307D HK) announced the completion of a Series B financing of over $130 million, led by Oceanpine and OrbiMed. Soon after, on March 8th, Yisheng filed its IPO prospectus with the HKEX. Since the Changchun Changsheng vaccine scandal in 2018, rabies vaccines have been in short supply in China. Therefore, vaccine companies hope to seize this opportunity and develop vigorously with the help of the capital market. For example, last year, Chengdu Kanghua Biological-A (300841 CH) was listed on the A-share market successfully. This year, Yisheng also plans to raise funds, expand the business and fund the future operation in the public capital market. 

Pre-IPO YishengBio Co., Ltd  - Here Are the Concerns Despite Solid Market Potential

Recently, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cansino-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27739:1" rel="noopener">CanSino Biologics Inc (6185 HK)</a> released the performance announcement in 2020. CanSino is expected to achieve the revenue in 2020 of RMB24.89 million, up 990.06% YoY. The Company's net loss attributed to shareholders could reach RMB407 million, up 159.63% YoY. Net loss after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to reach RMB522 million, up 199.09% YoY. Meanwhile, CanSino had filed an application with the NMPA for conditional marketing authorization of the Recombinant Novel Coronavirus Vaccine (Adenovirus Type 5 Vector) (“Ad5-nCoV”, trade name: Convidecia™) and NMPA had accepted the application. On the other hand, according to the listing rules of the SSE STAR Market, CanSino needs to become profitable or successfully commercialize its products by at least 2024, or it will trigger delisting conditions. So, will the COVID-19 vaccine be CanSino's turning point?

Recently, CanSino Biologics Inc (6185 HK) released the performance announcement in 2020. CanSino is expected to achieve the revenue in 2020 of RMB24.89 million, up 990.06% YoY. The Company's net loss attributed to shareholders could reach RMB407 million, up 159.63% YoY. Net loss after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to reach RMB522 million, up 199.09% YoY. Meanwhile, CanSino had filed an application with the NMPA for conditional marketing authorization of the Recombinant Novel Coronavirus Vaccine (Adenovirus Type 5 Vector) (“Ad5-nCoV”, trade name: Convidecia™) and NMPA had accepted the application. On the other hand, according to the listing rules of the SSE STAR Market, CanSino needs to become profitable or successfully commercialize its products by at least 2024, or it will trigger delisting conditions. So, will the COVID-19 vaccine be CanSino's turning point?

CanSino Biologics (6185.HK) - Will the COVID-19 Vaccine Be the Turning Point?

Beijing Wantai Biological Phar / Equity Bottom-Up

Beijing Wantai Biological Phar (603392 CH)

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-wantai-biological-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30129:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Wantai Biological-A (603392 CH)</a> has always been a hot topic for investors. The stock price of Wantai, which listed in April last year, rose about 2203% over the year. In January, the stock price rose another 60.77%. As of Febuary 26, 2021 (less than a year after its listing), Wantai ranked the first on the list of A-share gainers with a gain of 2753%, and the largest gain in 2020 was about 3839%. However, a closer look suggests that there are some concerns to pay attention to.

Beijing Wantai Biological-A (603392 CH) has always been a hot topic for investors. The stock price of Wantai, which listed in April last year, rose about 2203% over the year. In January, the stock price rose another 60.77%. As of Febuary 26, 2021 (less than a year after its listing), Wantai ranked the first on the list of A-share gainers with a gain of 2753%, and the largest gain in 2020 was about 3839%. However, a closer look suggests that there are some concerns to pay attention to.

Beijing Wantai Biological (603392.CH) - After A 3839% Rally, Let's Look at Some Concerns

On December 29th, 2020, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chongqing-zhifei-biological-products-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6245:1" rel="noopener">Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products (300122 CH)</a> announced that its self-developed 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15) had completed the preparation work and officially entered the phase III clinical trial. As a number of products in the pipeline continue to advance, PCV15 into clinical phase III is an important step in the pipeline valuation remodeling of the Company. In addition, Zhifei also announced that, on December 23rd, 2020, the Company and MSD reached an agreement: MSD will exclusively supply the products under the agreement to Zhifei, and Zhifei is authorized to import, distribute and promote the products in mainland China as agreed. After the successful renewal of the contract, the performance of the key products would be improved with certainty.

On December 29th, 2020, Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products (300122 CH) announced that its self-developed 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15) had completed the preparation work and officially entered the phase III clinical trial. As a number of products in the pipeline continue to advance, PCV15 into clinical phase III is an important step in the pipeline valuation remodeling of the Company. In addition, Zhifei also announced that, on December 23rd, 2020, the Company and MSD reached an agreement: MSD will exclusively supply the products under the agreement to Zhifei, and Zhifei is authorized to import, distribute and promote the products in mainland China as agreed. After the successful renewal of the contract, the performance of the key products would be improved with certainty.

Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products- Promising Future After Successful Renewal of Contract with MSD

China

Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products Company Ltd. researches, manufactures, and sells vaccines and biological products including prevention products, blood products, diagnostic reagents, and therapeutic agents.

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Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products (300122 CH)