HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>The newly released education and training policy increased the short-term volatility in healthcare sector, especially those subsectors with high valuation.</li>
<li>Recently, the Nanjing COVID-19 outbreak (the Delta variant) has spread widely in China.</li>
<li>Favorable policies would support the further expansion of anti-HIV drug market in China. </li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated progress on drugs and R&amp;D Center of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cstone-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27882:1" rel="noopener">CStone Pharmaceuticals (2616 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akeso-biopharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28830:1" rel="noopener">Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jacobio-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29696:1" rel="noopener">Jacobio Pharmaceuticals (1167 HK)</a>.Market review: Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 0.9%, while CSI 300 increased 2.29% over the same period of time. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
The newly released education and training policy increased the short-term volatility in healthcare sector, especially those subsectors with high valuation.
Recently, the Nanjing COVID-19 outbreak (the Delta variant) has spread widely in China.
Favorable policies would support the further expansion of anti-HIV drug market in China. 
Company news:News about the updated progress on drugs and R&amp;D Center of CStone Pharmaceuticals (2616 HK), Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) and Jacobio Pharmaceuticals (1167 HK).Market review: Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 0.9%, while CSI 300 increased 2.29% over the same period of time. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>Medical institutions in 10 provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) have implemented the alliance volume-based purchase (VBP) of commonly used drugs and drugs that in short supply.</li>
<li>The COVID-19 vaccine has entered the second half of development.</li>
<li>From January to April this year, the number of CDE acceptance increased significantly compared with the same period last year</li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated M&amp;A deal and new progress on drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hygeia-healthcare-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28875:1" rel="noopener">Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luye-pharma-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:488:1" rel="noopener">Luye Pharma (2186 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK)</a>.Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 0.9%, while CSI 300 increased 3.64% over the same period of time. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
Medical institutions in 10 provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) have implemented the alliance volume-based purchase (VBP) of commonly used drugs and drugs that in short supply.
The COVID-19 vaccine has entered the second half of development.
From January to April this year, the number of CDE acceptance increased significantly compared with the same period last year
Company news:News about the updated M&amp;A deal and new progress on drugs of Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK), Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK), Luye Pharma (2186 HK) and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK).Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 0.9%, while CSI 300 increased 3.64% over the same period of time. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>Last week, Biden’s administration surprised the whole pharmaceutical industry about the proposal to waive patent protections for coronavirus shots. However, our view is that the impact is likely to be limited.</li>
<li>The market size of COVID-19 vaccines in China is expected to reach RMB150 billion to RMB180 billion.</li>
<li>Recently, the National Health Care Security Administration, National Health Commission, NMPA and other related departments released documents about medium - and long-term development plan for the isotopes for medical purposes.</li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated progress on new drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jacobio-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29696:1" rel="noopener">Jacobio Pharmaceuticals (1167 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/everest-medicines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29224:1" rel="noopener">Everest Medicines (1952 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/antengene-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29705:1" rel="noopener">Antengene (6996 HK).</a> Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 6.14%, while CSI 300 decreased 2.49% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
Last week, Biden’s administration surprised the whole pharmaceutical industry about the proposal to waive patent protections for coronavirus shots. However, our view is that the impact is likely to be limited.
The market size of COVID-19 vaccines in China is expected to reach RMB150 billion to RMB180 billion.
Recently, the National Health Care Security Administration, National Health Commission, NMPA and other related departments released documents about medium - and long-term development plan for the isotopes for medical purposes.
Company news:News about the updated progress on new drugs of BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK), Jacobio Pharmaceuticals (1167 HK), Everest Medicines (1952 HK) and Antengene (6996 HK). Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 6.14%, while CSI 300 decreased 2.49% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.  

Compared with innovative drugs, the R&amp;D and production barriers of vaccine products are higher, and the pace of technology and product iteration is slower than that of innovative drugs. Except for the herpes zoster vaccine, the global sales of top ten varieties in the past decade are all the upgrades of existing product lines by enterprises. On the other hand, limited by indications, methods of use and competition of similar drugs, new drugs usually need to experience a gentle sales climbing curve. Both the impact of generic drugs after the patent cliff and the competition of other new products could lead to a rapid decline in sales. Vaccine products, especially those blockbuster vaccines, usually don't have such situations, and the product cycle is more stable.

Compared with innovative drugs, the R&amp;D and production barriers of vaccine products are higher, and the pace of technology and product iteration is slower than that of innovative drugs. Except for the herpes zoster vaccine, the global sales of top ten varieties in the past decade are all the upgrades of existing product lines by enterprises. On the other hand, limited by indications, methods of use and competition of similar drugs, new drugs usually need to experience a gentle sales climbing curve. Both the impact of generic drugs after the patent cliff and the competition of other new products could lead to a rapid decline in sales. Vaccine products, especially those blockbuster vaccines, usually don't have such situations, and the product cycle is more stable.

Industry Report - Insights on China Vaccine Industry

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-China in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on XPENG, COSCO SHIP ENGY, MEITUAN, TENCENT, PDD, GCL TECHNOLOGY, Full Truck Alliance, KUNLUN TECH.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-China in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on XPENG, COSCO SHIP ENGY, MEITUAN, TENCENT, PDD, GCL TECHNOLOGY, Full Truck Alliance, KUNLUN TECH.


MS-China Index Earning Revision (Jun): XPENG, COSCO SHIP ENGY, MEITUAN, TENCENT, PDD, GCL TECHNOLOGY

China

Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products Company Ltd. researches, manufactures, and sells vaccines and biological products including prevention products, blood products, diagnostic reagents, and therapeutic agents.

Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products (300122 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products (300122 CH)

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.6)

The insight mainly analyzed increasing short-term volatility in healthcare sector by newly released education policy, Nanjing COVID-19 outbreak,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (May.28)

This article mainly analyzed the two new alliance volume-based purchase documents, COVID-19 vaccine development, CDE acceptance of biological...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (May.7)

The article analyzed the potential impact on Biden’s proposal to waive IP protection on COVID-19 shots,market size of COVID-19 vaccine,new...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Industry Report - Insights on China Vaccine Industry

The article analyzed China vaccine industry in terms of market potential, key vaccine varieties such as PCV13, influenza vaccine, HPV vaccine,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

MS-China Index Earning Revision (Jun): XPENG, COSCO SHIP ENGY, MEITUAN, TENCENT, PDD, GCL TECHNOLOGY

We analyzed MS-China's consensus for Jun 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in XPENG, COSCO SHIP ENGY, MEITUAN, TENCENT, PDD, GCL TECHNOLOGY, Full...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)