Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Equity Bottom-Up

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a> reported strong operational performance for the quarter ended September 2025. This insight shares details about the performance.</li>
<li>The recent changes in tax incentive will impact jewelry manufacturers. This insight details about this.</li>
<li>Finally, we cover various points which will drive the near term performance of the company.</li>
</ul>



Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) reported strong operational performance for the quarter ended September 2025. This insight shares details about the performance.
The recent changes in tax incentive will impact jewelry manufacturers. This insight details about this.
Finally, we cover various points which will drive the near term performance of the company.


Chow Tai Fook(1929 HK): Strong Q2 Operations, Tax Challenges, Future Remains Puzzling

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China is again finding favour among investors but investment in Chinese equities has to be nuanced and calibrated. Even high growth and policy beneficiary sectors have underperformed lately.</li>
<li>Avoiding the victims of involution, selecting market leaders who can protect their margins and companies with overseas manufacturing bases who can protect their foreign margins seem a viable strategy.</li>
<li>Latest consumption trends indicate strength in communication equipment, gold and silver jewelry, beverages and cosmetics. Precautionary buying of precious metals indicates that high dividend yield stocks could do well too.</li>
</ul>


China is again finding favour among investors but investment in Chinese equities has to be nuanced and calibrated. Even high growth and policy beneficiary sectors have underperformed lately.
Avoiding the victims of involution, selecting market leaders who can protect their margins and companies with overseas manufacturing bases who can protect their foreign margins seem a viable strategy.
Latest consumption trends indicate strength in communication equipment, gold and silver jewelry, beverages and cosmetics. Precautionary buying of precious metals indicates that high dividend yield stocks could do well too.


Asian Equities: Investing in China Necessitates a Careful and Calibrated Approach

Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Sinar Mas has purchased Burberry's London headquarters for $174 million, impacting real estate.</li><li>JD and Partners Group are seeking banks for a Singapore REIT IPO amid market activity.</li><li>Far East and Chow Tai Fook have finalized a $2.5 billion acquisition of the Queen's Wharf Casino.</li></ul>

Sinar Mas has purchased Burberry's London headquarters for $174 million, impacting real estate.JD and Partners Group are seeking banks for a Singapore REIT IPO amid market activity.Far East and Chow Tai Fook have finalized a $2.5 billion acquisition of the Queen's Wharf Casino.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (02-Apr-2026): Sinar Mas buys Burberry's London HQ for $174M.

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>Share price has been punished, as there have been plenty pre-IPO investors who took profit, although operating numbers are actually doing quite well. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/laopu-gold-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44036:1" rel="noopener">Laopu Gold (6181 HK)</a> is different from <a target="_blank">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a>, as the former is more of a global luxury house than a goldsmith.</li>
<li>At 7x PER and a 10% dividend yield, combined with the calming down of the sellers' volume, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/laopu-gold-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44036:1" rel="noopener">Laopu Gold (6181 HK)</a> may actually offer a value. </li>
</ul>


Share price has been punished, as there have been plenty pre-IPO investors who took profit, although operating numbers are actually doing quite well. 

Laopu Gold (6181 HK) is different from Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK), as the former is more of a global luxury house than a goldsmith.
At 7x PER and a 10% dividend yield, combined with the calming down of the sellers' volume, Laopu Gold (6181 HK) may actually offer a value. 


Laopu Gold (6181): Sellers Have Calmed Down

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>Our "Buy the Worst" strategy made a strong comeback in 2025, outperforming the HSI by 11.1pp YTD, reversing the losses in the last two years.</li>
<li>For 2026, the strategy will hold <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK)</a>.  </li>
<li>The position in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK)</a> may be replaced by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-techn" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32210:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education (9901 HK)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a>, depending on their closing prices on 31 Dec. </li>
</ul>


Our "Buy the Worst" strategy made a strong comeback in 2025, outperforming the HSI by 11.1pp YTD, reversing the losses in the last two years.
For 2026, the strategy will hold Meituan (3690 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), BYD Electronics (285 HK), JD.com (9618 HK), and China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK).  
The position in China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK) may be replaced by New Oriental Education (9901 HK) or Zhongsheng Group (881 HK), depending on their closing prices on 31 Dec. 


"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: A Fruitful 2025, Our Picks for 2026

Hong Kong

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited is a leading luxury jeweler that manufactures and sells a wide range of jewelry products, including gem-set, platinum, k-gold, and gold jewelry, as well as distributing watches. The company operates a vertically integrated business model, from diamond sourcing and manufacturing to retail and after-sales services, through both physical stores and online platforms. It was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

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Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)

Chow Tai Fook(1929 HK): Strong Q2 Operations, Tax Challenges, Future Remains Puzzling

Risk to our full year estimates of 40% YoY EPS growth as Chow Tai Fook reported flattish performance in 1HFY2026. Revenue at HK$38.99bn was down...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Asian Equities: Investing in China Necessitates a Careful and Calibrated Approach

Investing in CN equity needs a nuanced approach, focusing on market leaders who can protect margins during "involution" & companies with foreign...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asia Real Estate Tracker (02-Apr-2026): Sinar Mas buys Burberry's London HQ for $174M.

Indonesia's Sinar Mas buys Burberry's London HQ for $174M, while JD seeks banks for a Singapore REIT IPO, and OUE plans to sell its Indonesian...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Laopu Gold (6181): Sellers Have Calmed Down

Share price was punished, as there have been plenty pre-IPO investors who took profit, although operating numbers are actually doing quite well. 7x...

Henry Soediarko

"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: A Fruitful 2025, Our Picks for 2026

The "Buy the Worst" strategy outperformed the HSI by 11.1pp YTD in 2025. For 2026, it will hold Meituan, Li Auto, BYD Electronics, JD.com, and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Chow Tai Fook(1929 HK): Strong Q2 Operations, Tax Challenges, Future Remains Puzzling

Risk to our full year estimates of 40% YoY EPS growth as Chow Tai Fook reported flattish performance in 1HFY2026. Revenue at HK$38.99bn was down...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Asian Equities: Investing in China Necessitates a Careful and Calibrated Approach

​Investing in CN equity needs a nuanced approach, focusing on market leaders who can protect margins during "involution" & companies with foreign...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asia Real Estate Tracker (02-Apr-2026): Sinar Mas buys Burberry's London HQ for $174M.

Indonesia's Sinar Mas buys Burberry's London HQ for $174M, while JD seeks banks for a Singapore REIT IPO, and OUE plans to sell its Indonesian...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Laopu Gold (6181): Sellers Have Calmed Down

Share price was punished, as there have been plenty pre-IPO investors who took profit, although operating numbers are actually doing quite well. 7x...

Henry Soediarko

"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: A Fruitful 2025, Our Picks for 2026

​The "Buy the Worst" strategy outperformed the HSI by 11.1pp YTD in 2025. For 2026, it will hold Meituan, Li Auto, BYD Electronics, JD.com, and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Investing in CN equity needs a nuanced approach, focusing on market leaders who can protect margins during "involution" & companies with foreign...

The "Buy the Worst" strategy outperformed the HSI by 11.1pp YTD in 2025. For 2026, it will hold Meituan, Li Auto, BYD Electronics, JD.com, and...