Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chugai-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4489:1" rel="noopener">Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP)</a> reported 3Q24 revenue of ¥315.7B, up 22% YoY, beating estimates, majorly on the back of robust overseas sales, which grew 45% YoY to ¥150B.</li>
<li>Hemlibra export and new launches such as Vabysmo, Phesgo, Polivy, and Alecensa are expected to drive growth in the medium to long term trajectory.</li>
<li>Chugai made an upward revision of 2024 guidance due to strength in overseas market. 2024 revenue and core operating profit are now expected to increase 3% and 20%, YoY, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP) reported 3Q24 revenue of ¥315.7B, up 22% YoY, beating estimates, majorly on the back of robust overseas sales, which grew 45% YoY to ¥150B.
Hemlibra export and new launches such as Vabysmo, Phesgo, Polivy, and Alecensa are expected to drive growth in the medium to long term trajectory.
Chugai made an upward revision of 2024 guidance due to strength in overseas market. 2024 revenue and core operating profit are now expected to increase 3% and 20%, YoY, respectively.


Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP): Export Drives Growth; New Products To Relieve Domestic Market Pain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo received FDA approval for Datroway for the treatment of unresectable or metastatic hormone receptor (HR) positive, HER2 negative breast cancer who have received prior endocrine-based therapy and chemotherapy.</li>
<li>Sumitomo Pharma partnered with J&amp;J for co-promotion of the long-acting antipsychotic medication XEPLION. Shanghai Fosun Pharma’s proposed buyout of Shanghai Henlius Biotech for HK$5.4B (~$693M) failed to pass shareholders’ vote.</li>
<li>SK Bioscience signed a co-promotion and distribution agreement with Sanofi for RSV and hepatitis A vaccines. Hugel received approval for its botulinum toxin for five indications from the UAE.</li>
</ul>


Daiichi Sankyo received FDA approval for Datroway for the treatment of unresectable or metastatic hormone receptor (HR) positive, HER2 negative breast cancer who have received prior endocrine-based therapy and chemotherapy.
Sumitomo Pharma partnered with J&amp;J for co-promotion of the long-acting antipsychotic medication XEPLION. Shanghai Fosun Pharma’s proposed buyout of Shanghai Henlius Biotech for HK$5.4B (~$693M) failed to pass shareholders’ vote.
SK Bioscience signed a co-promotion and distribution agreement with Sanofi for RSV and hepatitis A vaccines. Hugel received approval for its botulinum toxin for five indications from the UAE.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Jan 26)- Daiichi Sankyo, Sumitomo Pharma, Fosun Pharma, SK Bioscience, Hugel

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astellas-pharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6091:1" rel="noopener">Astellas Pharma (4503 JP)</a> revised FY25 revenue guidance upward to ¥1900B on robust Xtandi performance and favourable forex movement. Core profits and margins will also see upward revisions and expansions.</li>
<li>The company will record an impairment charge of ¥176B for intangible assets this fiscal. As a result, FY25 operating profit on reported basis will come down to ¥11B from ¥80B.</li>
<li>Recently, Astellas has received approval for Vyloy and label expansion approval for Padcev in China. Label expansion application for Izervay in the U.S. has been accepted by the FDA.</li>
</ul>



Astellas Pharma (4503 JP) revised FY25 revenue guidance upward to ¥1900B on robust Xtandi performance and favourable forex movement. Core profits and margins will also see upward revisions and expansions.
The company will record an impairment charge of ¥176B for intangible assets this fiscal. As a result, FY25 operating profit on reported basis will come down to ¥11B from ¥80B.
Recently, Astellas has received approval for Vyloy and label expansion approval for Padcev in China. Label expansion application for Izervay in the U.S. has been accepted by the FDA.


Astellas Pharma (4503 JP): Xtandi & Forex Lead To Guidance Revision, Impairment Losses One Off Burnt

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chugai-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4489:1" rel="noopener">Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP)</a> reported 5% YoY decline in core revenue in 2023, due to the decrease in the supply of COVID-19 treatment Ronapreve to the government.</li>
<li>For 2024, Chugai expects core revenue to decline mainly due to the absence of Ronapreve revenue and decline in Actemra export. However, operating and net profits are expected to increase.</li>
<li>Hemlibra export and new launches such as Vabysmo, Phesgo, Polivy, and Alecensa are expected to drive long-term growth of the company.</li>
</ul>



Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP) reported 5% YoY decline in core revenue in 2023, due to the decrease in the supply of COVID-19 treatment Ronapreve to the government.
For 2024, Chugai expects core revenue to decline mainly due to the absence of Ronapreve revenue and decline in Actemra export. However, operating and net profits are expected to increase.
Hemlibra export and new launches such as Vabysmo, Phesgo, Polivy, and Alecensa are expected to drive long-term growth of the company.


Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP): Ronapreve Killed Joy in 2023; New Products to Drive Growth Ahead

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> has been trading sideways between 35,000 and 40,000 for the past eleven weeks.</li>
<li>A short straddle allows investors who believe that the Nikkei 225 continues to trade sideways to earn a profit of up to 7% in six weeks.</li>
<li>This Insight presents the strategy rationale, profit and loss profile, back-testing and risk management measures. </li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) has been trading sideways between 35,000 and 40,000 for the past eleven weeks.
A short straddle allows investors who believe that the Nikkei 225 continues to trade sideways to earn a profit of up to 7% in six weeks.
This Insight presents the strategy rationale, profit and loss profile, back-testing and risk management measures. 


EQD | Nikkei 225 Option Opportunity – Earn Premium in Sideways Markets with Straddles

Japan

Chugai Pharmaceutical Company Ltd., manufactures and sells pharmaceuticals in the domestic and international markets through its subsidiaries. The Company develops drugs in the fields of cancer, infectious diseases, bone, blood, and circulatory systems. Chugai Pharmaceutical also conducts research studies on drugs with private and public medical research institutions.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP)