Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Discussion about the potential for Chinese companies to use shell corporations to rent GPUs from American companies</li><li>Mention of a blog post by Sequoia and a report from Goldman Sachs on the challenges of monetizing AI infrastructure</li><li>Skepticism about the return on investment in AI due to lack of clear revenue sources and consumer use cases, particularly with companies like Microsoft and Amazon investing billions in AI projects.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Discussion about the potential for Chinese companies to use shell corporations to rent GPUs from American companiesMention of a blog post by Sequoia and a report from Goldman Sachs on the challenges of monetizing AI infrastructureSkepticism about the return on investment in AI due to lack of clear revenue sources and consumer use cases, particularly with companies like Microsoft and Amazon investing billions in AI projects.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongji-innolight" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55331:1" rel="noopener">Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK)</a>'s 2Q26 net profit surged 228.2%, with gross and operating margins expanding 5.3pp and 7.9pp, respectively, rebuffing the market's concerns.</li>
<li>There is room for earnings upgrades. Management has indicated that raw material price pressure will soften and that inventory is sufficient, benefiting 2H26 margin.</li>
<li>Its HA premium has picked up after the IPO and is currently at 3.6%. Applying a 10% maximum justifiable premium, it means an H-share price of HK$1,210.50.</li>
</ul>



Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK)'s 2Q26 net profit surged 228.2%, with gross and operating margins expanding 5.3pp and 7.9pp, respectively, rebuffing the market's concerns.
There is room for earnings upgrades. Management has indicated that raw material price pressure will soften and that inventory is sufficient, benefiting 2H26 margin.
Its HA premium has picked up after the IPO and is currently at 3.6%. Applying a 10% maximum justifiable premium, it means an H-share price of HK$1,210.50.


Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK): Rebuffing the Margin Concerns

Equity Capital Markets

Zhongji InnoLight / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongji-innolight" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55331:1" rel="noopener">Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK)</a> fixed its IPO price at HK$980, 3% below the maximum, due to the recent weakness of AI-related stocks. Its HA discount is now at just 11.1%.  </li>
<li>Its peers have retreated an average of 12.1% in a week, and its A-share was off by 10.4%. Futubull's grey market price was down 1% from the IPO.</li>
<li>It may dip below IPO on debut, but anything below 15% HA discount is a bargain (HK$936.8). For initial upside, we look for par with A-share, i.e. HK$1,102.</li>
</ul>



Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) fixed its IPO price at HK$980, 3% below the maximum, due to the recent weakness of AI-related stocks. Its HA discount is now at just 11.1%.  
Its peers have retreated an average of 12.1% in a week, and its A-share was off by 10.4%. Futubull's grey market price was down 1% from the IPO.
It may dip below IPO on debut, but anything below 15% HA discount is a bargain (HK$936.8). For initial upside, we look for par with A-share, i.e. HK$1,102.


Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) IPO: Debut and Trading Strategy

<ul>
<li>The IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongji-innolight" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55331:1" rel="noopener">Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK)</a>, a leading global provider of optical interconnect solutions, which seeks HK$54.5bn, is the largest since 2019.</li>
<li>Its FY25-28F EPS CAGR will reach 89.8%, underpinned by the jump in revenue and expansion in margin. Its 1Q26 net profit has already surged by 262.3%.</li>
<li>The IPO is priced at a 17.7% HA discount. At a HK$1.2trn market capitalisation, pegging it to its A-share will give a price of HK$1,227, or a 21.5% upside.</li>
</ul>


The IPO of Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK), a leading global provider of optical interconnect solutions, which seeks HK$54.5bn, is the largest since 2019.
Its FY25-28F EPS CAGR will reach 89.8%, underpinned by the jump in revenue and expansion in margin. Its 1Q26 net profit has already surged by 262.3%.
The IPO is priced at a 17.7% HA discount. At a HK$1.2trn market capitalisation, pegging it to its A-share will give a price of HK$1,227, or a 21.5% upside.


Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) IPO: Assessing the Valuation

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>Zhongji Innolight launched Hongkong IPO to raise nearly HK$ 55B. They provide optical interconnect solutions that help transmit data through optical fibers and enable high-speed, energy efficient and low-latency connectivity.</li>
<li>Zhongji Innolight intends to use the proceeds for investment in R&amp;D, to expand global production capacity, enhance supply chain &amp; commercialization capabilities, for strategic acquisitions/investments and working capital.</li>
<li>Given the end market demand scenario, the valuation that Zhongji Innolight is seeking through this issue seems relatively justified and reasonable, considering the company’s market leadership position.</li>
</ul>


Zhongji Innolight launched Hongkong IPO to raise nearly HK$ 55B. They provide optical interconnect solutions that help transmit data through optical fibers and enable high-speed, energy efficient and low-latency connectivity.
Zhongji Innolight intends to use the proceeds for investment in R&amp;D, to expand global production capacity, enhance supply chain &amp; commercialization capabilities, for strategic acquisitions/investments and working capital.
Given the end market demand scenario, the valuation that Zhongji Innolight is seeking through this issue seems relatively justified and reasonable, considering the company’s market leadership position.


Zhongji Innolight IPO: Transmitting The Right Vibes For Investors Given The Strong Demand Optics

United States

Cisco Systems, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells Internet Protocol (IP)-based networking and other products related to the communications and information technology (IT) industry and provide services associated with these products and their use. The Company provides products for transporting data, voice, and video within buildings, across campuses, and globally.

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Cisco Systems (CSCO US)

Episode 75: The AI Big $$$ Question

Skepticism about the return on investment in AI due to lack of clear revenue sources and consumer use cases, particularly with companies like...

The Circuit

Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK): Rebuffing the Margin Concerns

Zhongji InnoLight's 2Q26 results demonstrated its margin resilience, providing room for an earnings upgrade. Its HA premium has also steadily...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) IPO: Debut and Trading Strategy

Zhongji InnoLight prices IPO at 3% below the maximum due to AI stock weakness. It may dip below IPO price, but anything more than 15% HA discount...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) IPO: Assessing the Valuation

Zhongji InnoLight's IPO seeks HK$54.5bn, with strong growth projections. Priced at a 17.7% HA discount, there is potential for 21.5% upside if we...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Zhongji Innolight IPO: Transmitting The Right Vibes For Investors Given The Strong Demand Optics

Zhongji Innolight launch HK IPO to raise HK$55B for R&D, global expansion, acquisitions, and working capital, with justified valuation reflecting...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Episode 75: The AI Big $$$ Question

Skepticism about the return on investment in AI due to lack of clear revenue sources and consumer use cases, particularly with companies like...

The Circuit

Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK): Rebuffing the Margin Concerns

Zhongji InnoLight's 2Q26 results demonstrated its margin resilience, providing room for an earnings upgrade. Its HA premium has also steadily...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) IPO: Debut and Trading Strategy

​Zhongji InnoLight prices IPO at 3% below the maximum due to AI stock weakness. It may dip below IPO price, but anything more than 15% HA discount...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) IPO: Assessing the Valuation

​Zhongji InnoLight's IPO seeks HK$54.5bn, with strong growth projections. Priced at a 17.7% HA discount, there is potential for 21.5% upside if we...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Zhongji Innolight IPO: Transmitting The Right Vibes For Investors Given The Strong Demand Optics

​Zhongji Innolight launch HK IPO to raise HK$55B for R&D, global expansion, acquisitions, and working capital, with justified valuation reflecting...

Tina Banerjee

Zhongji InnoLight prices IPO at 3% below the maximum due to AI stock weakness. It may dip below IPO price, but anything more than 15% HA discount...

Zhongji InnoLight's IPO seeks HK$54.5bn, with strong growth projections. Priced at a 17.7% HA discount, there is potential for 21.5% upside if we...

Zhongji Innolight launch HK IPO to raise HK$55B for R&D, global expansion, acquisitions, and working capital, with justified valuation reflecting...