Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Overnight CP market in the US reflects the Fed rate cut immediately. Rates on overnight non-financial CP for A2/P2 companies now 4.20% (18 Sept) from 4.45% (17 Sept)</li>
<li>Weekly B/S for US banks has been showing for some time accelerating loan volume, with debt 5-7% less expensive overnight, loan volume should continue to accelerate</li>
<li>Where loans at US banks are only 67% of deposits, a 25bps reduction on both pools (loans, deposits) can be NIM expansionary. There are many moving parts, though. </li>
</ul>


Overnight CP market in the US reflects the Fed rate cut immediately. Rates on overnight non-financial CP for A2/P2 companies now 4.20% (18 Sept) from 4.45% (17 Sept)
Weekly B/S for US banks has been showing for some time accelerating loan volume, with debt 5-7% less expensive overnight, loan volume should continue to accelerate
Where loans at US banks are only 67% of deposits, a 25bps reduction on both pools (loans, deposits) can be NIM expansionary. There are many moving parts, though. 


US Banks - Lower Rates: Higher Loan Volume, Low LDR Can Mean +NIM

Singapore Market Roundup, Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup

<ul>
<li>OCBC: REIT spin-off is a positive move for Boustead.</li>
<li>CDG's prequalification for Copenhagen Metro boosts profile; CityCab deal may add EPS.</li>
<li>DBS increases AEM target price to $2.10, citing Intel-Nvidia collaboration.</li>
</ul>


OCBC: REIT spin-off is a positive move for Boustead.
CDG's prequalification for Copenhagen Metro boosts profile; CityCab deal may add EPS.
DBS increases AEM target price to $2.10, citing Intel-Nvidia collaboration.


Singapore Market Roundup (19-Sep-2025): OCBC Views Boustead's REIT Spin-Off as a Positive Step.

<ul>
<li>Weekly balance sheets at US banks show a strong economy, and likely far better 3Q25 results for banks</li>
<li>Credit growth continues to accelerate, now at 4.67% YoY, weekly CP data is very strong, at +26% YoY</li>
<li>Credit metrics appear very strong, with LLR growing at almost nothing, at 1.36% YoY and less than 2% YoY for all weeks so far in this quarter</li>
</ul>


Weekly balance sheets at US banks show a strong economy, and likely far better 3Q25 results for banks
Credit growth continues to accelerate, now at 4.67% YoY, weekly CP data is very strong, at +26% YoY
Credit metrics appear very strong, with LLR growing at almost nothing, at 1.36% YoY and less than 2% YoY for all weeks so far in this quarter


US Banks - Weekly Loans Accelerate to 4.67% YoY, LLR at Only +1.36% YoY, CP +26% YoY

<ul>
<li>UOBKH raises Pan-United target price to $1.33 due to Terminal 5 contract and demand.</li>
<li>OCBC raises Nanofilm's fair value to 79 cents, but outlook is uncertain.</li>
<li>Maybank and DBS boost Sea Limited's target prices due to Shopee and gaming growth.</li>
</ul>


UOBKH raises Pan-United target price to $1.33 due to Terminal 5 contract and demand.
OCBC raises Nanofilm's fair value to 79 cents, but outlook is uncertain.
Maybank and DBS boost Sea Limited's target prices due to Shopee and gaming growth.


Singapore Market Roundup (12-Sep-2025): UOBKH lifts Pan-United target to $1.33 on Terminal 5 deal.

<ul>
<li>OCBC's Lim raises Nanofilm's fair value to 79 cents, citing uncertain outlook.</li>
<li>Brokers’ Digest: Suntec REIT, BRC Asia, YZJ Financial, CNMC Goldmine, Prime US REIT.</li>
<li>Maybank and DBS lift Sea Limited target prices due to higher Shopee take-rates.</li>
</ul>


OCBC's Lim raises Nanofilm's fair value to 79 cents, citing uncertain outlook.
Brokers’ Digest: Suntec REIT, BRC Asia, YZJ Financial, CNMC Goldmine, Prime US REIT.
Maybank and DBS lift Sea Limited target prices due to higher Shopee take-rates.


Singapore Market Roundup (11-Sep-2025): OCBC's Lim Ups Nanofilm's Fair Value to 79 Cents

United States

Citigroup Inc. is a diversified financial services holding company that provides a broad range of financial services to consumer and corporate customers. The Company services include investment banking, retail brokerage, corporate banking, and cash management products and services. Citigroup serves customers globally.

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Citigroup Inc (C US)

US Banks - Lower Rates: Higher Loan Volume, Low LDR Can Mean +NIM

Volume of loans and commercial paper was already strong, now that debt is cheaper, this can accelerate. O/N CP rates already show rate cut. Low LDR...

Daniel Tabbush

Singapore Market Roundup (19-Sep-2025): OCBC Views Boustead's REIT Spin-Off as a Positive Step.

OCBC sees Boustead's REIT spin-off positively; CDG's Copenhagen Metro prequalification enhances its profile; DBS raises AEM target price to $2.10...

Singapore Market Roundup

US Banks - Weekly Loans Accelerate to 4.67% YoY, LLR at Only +1.36% YoY, CP +26% YoY

Weekly balance sheets for US banks show accelerating 4.67% loan growth, and weekly CP data is very strong at +26% YoY. Credit metrics appear...

Daniel Tabbush

Singapore Market Roundup (12-Sep-2025): UOBKH lifts Pan-United target to $1.33 on Terminal 5 deal.

UOBKH raises Pan-United's target price to $1.33, while OCBC increases Nanofilm's fair value to 79 cents amid an uncertain outlook.

Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup (11-Sep-2025): OCBC's Lim Ups Nanofilm's Fair Value to 79 Cents

OCBC's Lim raises Nanofilm's fair value to 79 cents amid uncertainty. Maybank and DBS increase Sea Limited target prices due to higher Shopee take...

Singapore Market Roundup

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