Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong utilities have performed well on an absolute basis and even better on a relative basis this year.</li>
<li>We revisit our original call on them from  January 2024</li>
<li>Continued market volatility and future US  interest rate cuts will provide continued support.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong utilities have performed well on an absolute basis and even better on a relative basis this year.
We revisit our original call on them from  January 2024
Continued market volatility and future US  interest rate cuts will provide continued support.


Revisiting Hong Kong Utilities-Time to Sell?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$15.2bn this week (now 27wks in a row of net buying), on smallish two-way volumes. Better than the previous month but still low.</li>
<li>Bank net buying, which had spiked the previous week, didn't follow through.</li>
<li>There were three ETFs in the top 15 SOUTHBOUND net buys this past week, reversing last week, which reversed the week before's flows.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$15.2bn this week (now 27wks in a row of net buying), on smallish two-way volumes. Better than the previous month but still low.
Bank net buying, which had spiked the previous week, didn't follow through.
There were three ETFs in the top 15 SOUTHBOUND net buys this past week, reversing last week, which reversed the week before's flows.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 9 Aug 2024); Tencent the Big Buy Again

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$9.2bn this week (now 26wks in a row of net buying), on smallish two-way volumes.</li>
<li>I've thought national team was buying banks for months. They were gone for a couple of weeks. Feels like they are back. </li>
<li>There were three ETFs in the top five SOUTHBOUND sells this past week, reversing last week. Energy, Utilities, Telecoms bought. </li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$9.2bn this week (now 26wks in a row of net buying), on smallish two-way volumes.
I've thought national team was buying banks for months. They were gone for a couple of weeks. Feels like they are back. 
There were three ETFs in the top five SOUTHBOUND sells this past week, reversing last week. Energy, Utilities, Telecoms bought. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 2 Aug 2024); ETFs Get Sold; Tencent, SOEs, Utilities Bought

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into ICBC, Tencent, CCB, Yankuang, Sinopec, and outflows from HSBC, Meituan, HKEx, China Hongqiao, CNOOC. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into ICBC, Tencent, CCB, Yankuang, Sinopec, and outflows from HSBC, Meituan, HKEx, China Hongqiao, CNOOC. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows (July): 11 Months of Inflows

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The energy, materials and tech sectors have lost momentum, while telecoms and utilities sectors lead the market.  Consumer sectors are lagging.  HSCI has dipped below its 200 day moving average.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-china-gas-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:375:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong &amp; China Gas (3 HK)</a> breaks to the upside as investors seek safety and yield.  
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a> has broken down relative to the MSCI China index and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/travelsky-technology-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19829:1" rel="noopener">Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK)</a> breaks down from a triangle formation  but downside is limited.
</li>
</ul>


The energy, materials and tech sectors have lost momentum, while telecoms and utilities sectors lead the market.  Consumer sectors are lagging.  HSCI has dipped below its 200 day moving average.

Hong Kong &amp; China Gas (3 HK) breaks to the upside as investors seek safety and yield.  


PetroChina (857 HK) has broken down relative to the MSCI China index and Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK) breaks down from a triangle formation  but downside is limited.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 31)

China

CNOOC Limited, through its subsidiaries, explores, develops, produces, and sells crude oil and natural gas. The Company focuses in the areas such as Bohai, Western South China Sea, Eastern South China Sea and East China Sea in offshore China. Internationally, the Group has oil and gas assets in Asia, Africa, North America, South America, and Oceania.

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CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)

Revisiting Hong Kong Utilities-Time to Sell?

Hong Kong utilities have outperformed this year, with future US interest rate cuts expected to provide further support. Revisiting our original...

Rikki Malik

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 9 Aug 2024); Tencent the Big Buy Again

27th week in a row that SOUTHBOUND has been a net buyer of HK-listed shares. And for the second time in a row, Tencent was the top net buy. SB net...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 2 Aug 2024); ETFs Get Sold; Tencent, SOEs, Utilities Bought

SOUTHBOUND flows for HK Connect were to the net buy side for the 26th week in a row. SOEs in Energy, Telcos, and Utilities were strong. Banks too....

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (July): 11 Months of Inflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for July and highlighted inflows into ICBC, Tencent, CCB, Yankuang, Sinopec, and outflows from HSBC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 31)

Utilities and telecom sectors have gained favor in HK as investors seek low volatility and dividend yield. Hong Kong China Gas has formed a...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Revisiting Hong Kong Utilities-Time to Sell?

​Hong Kong utilities have outperformed this year, with future US interest rate cuts expected to provide further support. Revisiting our original...

Rikki Malik

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 9 Aug 2024); Tencent the Big Buy Again

27th week in a row that SOUTHBOUND has been a net buyer of HK-listed shares. And for the second time in a row, Tencent was the top net buy. SB net...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 2 Aug 2024); ETFs Get Sold; Tencent, SOEs, Utilities Bought

SOUTHBOUND flows for HK Connect were to the net buy side for the 26th week in a row. SOEs in Energy, Telcos, and Utilities were strong. Banks too....

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (July): 11 Months of Inflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for July and highlighted inflows into ICBC, Tencent, CCB, Yankuang, Sinopec, and outflows from HSBC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 31)

Utilities and telecom sectors have gained favor in HK as investors seek low volatility and dividend yield. Hong Kong China Gas has formed a...

David Mudd

Hong Kong utilities have outperformed this year, with future US interest rate cuts expected to provide further support. Revisiting our original...