IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Evergrande Property Services / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergrande-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30921:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK)</a> is in a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers which contains inside information of the Company.” </li>
<li>The trading halt likely relates to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande (3333 HK)</a> liquidators’ efforts to sell Evergrande Group’s majority interest in Evergrande Services.</li>
<li>The sale is likely to trigger an unconditional mandatory general offer. I estimate the potential offer price to be around HK$1.08 per share, a 17.8% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>



Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK) is in a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers which contains inside information of the Company.” 
The trading halt likely relates to Evergrande (3333 HK) liquidators’ efforts to sell Evergrande Group’s majority interest in Evergrande Services.
The sale is likely to trigger an unconditional mandatory general offer. I estimate the potential offer price to be around HK$1.08 per share, a 17.8% premium to the last close.


Evergrande Services (6666 HK): Liquidation of Evergrande’s Stake to Trigger an Unconditional MGO?

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Having first introduced the three red line guidance in late 2020, the government has begun shifting its stance, and relaxing some of its regulatory oversight.</li>
<li>In this note, we looked at recent news developments and how some larger developers fared against the three red lines criterion.</li>
<li>Of the large developers we looked at, there are a few names which stand out which could potentially do a capital raising given their financial standing. </li>
</ul>


Having first introduced the three red line guidance in late 2020, the government has begun shifting its stance, and relaxing some of its regulatory oversight.
In this note, we looked at recent news developments and how some larger developers fared against the three red lines criterion.
Of the large developers we looked at, there are a few names which stand out which could potentially do a capital raising given their financial standing. 


Chinese Developers’ Overview - Shift in Sentiment but a Few Still Needs Some Equity

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

Greentown Service Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>As China's property market melts down, shares of property management companies are following suit.</li>
<li>And there are increasing governance issues attached to these management units as a slew of questionable parent/subsidiary transactions unfold. </li>
<li>Valuations for property management companies are trading at multi-year lows. That trend is likely to continue.</li>
</ul>


As China's property market melts down, shares of property management companies are following suit.
And there are increasing governance issues attached to these management units as a slew of questionable parent/subsidiary transactions unfold. 
Valuations for property management companies are trading at multi-year lows. That trend is likely to continue.


China Property Management: Lacking Independence

Equity Capital Markets

Jinmao Property Services / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinmao-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34170:1" rel="noopener">Jinmao Property Services (JM HK)</a> is looking to raise around US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Stronger operating metrics had translated to revenue growth and margins have improved as business scaled.</li>
<li>However, the market is highly fragmented and its high residential component could face pricing pressure as well.</li>
</ul>



Jinmao Property Services (JM HK) is looking to raise around US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Stronger operating metrics had translated to revenue growth and margins have improved as business scaled.
However, the market is highly fragmented and its high residential component could face pricing pressure as well.


Jinmao Property Services Pre-IPO - Stronger Operating Metrics Aided Growth

Shimao Property Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A connected party transaction and a pending management shake-up see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shimao-property-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8375:1" rel="noopener">Shimao Property Holdings (813 HK)</a> shares fall to a record low amid renewed liquidity concerns.  </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Shimao, are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
<li>The title of this insight is in reference to a heading in Shimao's 2021 interim report, "Diversified “Giant Aircraft” flown at full speed". </li>
</ul>


A connected party transaction and a pending management shake-up see Shimao Property Holdings (813 HK) shares fall to a record low amid renewed liquidity concerns.  
Preceding my comments on Shimao, are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.
The title of this insight is in reference to a heading in Shimao's 2021 interim report, "Diversified “Giant Aircraft” flown at full speed". 


StubWorld: Shimao (813 HK) - Gear-Up Landing For "Giant Aircraft"

China

Colour Life Services Group Co., Ltd. is a real estate management company in the People's Republic of China.

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Colour Life Services (1778 HK)

Evergrande Services (6666 HK): Liquidation of Evergrande’s Stake to Trigger an Unconditional MGO?

The trading halt likely relates to Evergrande liquidators’ efforts to sell Evergrande Group’s majority interest in Evergrande Services, which could...

Arun George

Chinese Developers’ Overview - Shift in Sentiment but a Few Still Needs Some Equity

Country Garden Holdings just launched a primary placement to raise US$300m, at a fixed 17.7% discount to last close. Proceeds will be used to repay...

Clarence Chu

China Property Management: Lacking Independence

Property management units are unlikely to be shielded from risks as their parent face funding issues. Valuations for property management companies...

David Blennerhassett

Jinmao Property Services Pre-IPO - Stronger Operating Metrics Aided Growth

Jinmao Property Services (JM HK) is looking to raise around US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. Stronger operating metrics had translated to...

Clarence Chu

StubWorld: Shimao (813 HK) - Gear-Up Landing For "Giant Aircraft"

The placement, the pledge, the connected party transaction, and a large parcel of shares moving into CCASS (most likely connected to the founder...

David Blennerhassett

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