Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Although the SET moved in a narrow range as the market had only the 1Q24 earnings results providing support, it was able to close up for the fourth day in a row.</li><li>Foreign investors turned to buy, and the improvement of BH, DELTA and ADVANC bolstered the index’s continued rise. However, the trading atmosphere was quiet with light volume.</li><li>A V-shaped recovery did not materialize after the index moved sideways; however, it managed to climb higher, setting the stage to test the 1/2 Fibonacci resistance at 1,368 points. If the index breaches this level, it is likely to continue to rebound toward the 1,400-point mark.</li></ul>

Although the SET moved in a narrow range as the market had only the 1Q24 earnings results providing support, it was able to close up for the fourth day in a row.Foreign investors turned to buy, and the improvement of BH, DELTA and ADVANC bolstered the index’s continued rise. However, the trading atmosphere was quiet with light volume.A V-shaped recovery did not materialize after the index moved sideways; however, it managed to climb higher, setting the stage to test the 1/2 Fibonacci resistance at 1,368 points. If the index breaches this level, it is likely to continue to rebound toward the 1,400-point mark.

<ul><li>Although the baht depreciated, the SET rose for a second consecutive day, bolstered by two days of foreign investor buying and robust 1Q24 earnings.</li><li>This fueled increased buying momentum, particularly in energy, commerce, food, tourism, petrol and finance stocks.</li><li>Consequently, the index hit 1,362.53 points before retreating from profit taking.</li></ul>

Although the baht depreciated, the SET rose for a second consecutive day, bolstered by two days of foreign investor buying and robust 1Q24 earnings.This fueled increased buying momentum, particularly in energy, commerce, food, tourism, petrol and finance stocks.Consequently, the index hit 1,362.53 points before retreating from profit taking.

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for SET during the index rebal event in June 2024.</li>
<li>With roughly half of the 3-month reference period now complete, I see three changes for the SET 50 index but one of those names is still close to the border.</li>
</ul>


The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for SET during the index rebal event in June 2024.
With roughly half of the 3-month reference period now complete, I see three changes for the SET 50 index but one of those names is still close to the border.


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Jun 24: 3 Changes Likely; Banpu Still Not Safe from Deletion

<ul><li>KTX anticipates that the Digital Wallet (DW) scheme, intended to distribute Bt10k in cash to 50mn individuals, which has been postponed since the beginning of 2024, will commence in 4Q24.</li><li>This timing aligns with the increased clarity surrounding the funding sources.</li><li>The funding structure has transitioned from the previously discussed Bt500bn Loan Bill, which raised legal concerns, to the expenditures budget for 2024-25 and the Bank for Agriculture and Agricultural Cooperatives (BAAC). </li></ul>

KTX anticipates that the Digital Wallet (DW) scheme, intended to distribute Bt10k in cash to 50mn individuals, which has been postponed since the beginning of 2024, will commence in 4Q24.This timing aligns with the increased clarity surrounding the funding sources.The funding structure has transitioned from the previously discussed Bt500bn Loan Bill, which raised legal concerns, to the expenditures budget for 2024-25 and the Bank for Agriculture and Agricultural Cooperatives (BAAC). 

Special Report: Digital Wallet to Start in 4Q24 - APRIL 11, 2024

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Nearing the halfway mark in the review period, we see 3 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy between 1.2-4.5 days of ADV on the inclusions and sell 0.9-1.3 days of ADV on the deletions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berli-jucker-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3685:1" rel="noopener">Berli Jucker (BJC TB)</a> continues to be a close add on liquidity while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> continue to be close deletes.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the halfway mark in the review period, we see 3 potential changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
Passive trackers will need to buy between 1.2-4.5 days of ADV on the inclusions and sell 0.9-1.3 days of ADV on the deletions.

Berli Jucker (BJC TB) continues to be a close add on liquidity while Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB) and Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) continue to be close deletes.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes in June

Thailand

Com7 Public Company Limited operates a chain of retail outlets that imports, retails, and distributes computers and IT-related products in Thailand. The Company offers products, such as smartphones, tablets, notebooks, and computer sets. Com7 also offers computer components, such as CPUs, hard drives, and network and accessories.

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Com7 (COM7 TB)

Technical Analysis - APRIL 26, 2024

Although the SET moved in a narrow range as the market had only the 1Q24 earnings results providing support, it was able to close up for the fourth...

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis - APRIL 24, 2024

Although the baht depreciated, the SET rose for a second consecutive day, bolstered by two days of foreign investor buying and robust 1Q24 earnings.

Krungthai XSpring

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Jun 24: 3 Changes Likely; Banpu Still Not Safe from Deletion

Srisawad is currently an expected DEL. However, the gap between 51st-ranked Srisawad and 50th-ranked Banpu is very small and it is still possible...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Special Report: Digital Wallet to Start in 4Q24 - APRIL 11, 2024

KTX anticipates that the Digital Wallet (DW) scheme, intended to distribute Bt10k in cash to 50mn individuals, which has been postponed since the...

Krungthai XSpring

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes in June

There could be 3 changes for the SET50 Index in June. There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes on liquidity and that will need to be...

Brian Freitas

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