Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities, Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Research

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities

Leading, full-service investment firm in Thailand

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Securities is a well known securities company with 40 years experience in the industry, serving more than 60,000 clients. We offer one - stop service providing full range of financial products and services including extensive Brokerage, Proprietary Trading (Equities and Bonds), Advisory Services, Structured Products.

Moreover, our new research team tailored for institutional clients to focus on mid to small cap of Thai equities and trading strategies. Our services offered to our premium clients also include arrangement of company or site visits to with the managements of Thai listed companies.

Note: Effective on 1 March 2022, Country Group Securities PCL changed its name to Pi Securities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We maintain BUY with TP of Bt45.00 based on 35.6xPE’1H23E (0.5S.D. of 5-year trading history). Analyst meeting came out with positive tone on the long-term growth trends from 5G</li>
<li>Large 3Q22E earnings is one-time and non-cash We expect 3Q22E earnings to be at Bt1.7bn (+200% YoY, +176% QoQ). The significant YoY and QoQ increase is due to a one-time </li>
<li>Stripping the large gain, 3Q22E recurring earnings is expected to be at Bt678m (+21% YoY, +9% QoQ). Both YoY and QoQ increase is mainly driven by sales growth led </li>
</ul>


We maintain BUY with TP of Bt45.00 based on 35.6xPE’1H23E (0.5S.D. of 5-year trading history). Analyst meeting came out with positive tone on the long-term growth trends from 5G
Large 3Q22E earnings is one-time and non-cash We expect 3Q22E earnings to be at Bt1.7bn (+200% YoY, +176% QoQ). The significant YoY and QoQ increase is due to a one-time 
Stripping the large gain, 3Q22E recurring earnings is expected to be at Bt678m (+21% YoY, +9% QoQ). Both YoY and QoQ increase is mainly driven by sales growth led 


COM7 : Continued Strong Demand Post-Covid

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Last week we had the implementation of the first two tranches of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> rebalance with the third tranche to be implemented at the close on Monday.</li>
<li>Thursday saw the NIFTY indices implementation while Friday marked the end of the review period for the December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices.</li>
<li>There were large inflows to China, Taiwan, Korea and Hong Kong ETFs during the week while there were some outflows from Japan.</li>
</ul>


Last week we had the implementation of the first two tranches of the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) rebalance with the third tranche to be implemented at the close on Monday.
Thursday saw the NIFTY indices implementation while Friday marked the end of the review period for the December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices.
There were large inflows to China, Taiwan, Korea and Hong Kong ETFs during the week while there were some outflows from Japan.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: S&P/ASX, China A50, SET50, Bilibili, Leapmotor, Onewo, CALB

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The SET has commenced a market consultation on lowering the turnover ratio level from 5% to 2% while selecting stocks to be added to and deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET50 INDEX</a>.</li>
<li>The change to the turnover ratio level could lead to three changes in December that result in one-way turnover of 7.44% and in a one-way trade of THB 6.79bn.</li>
<li>Separately, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a> merger could result in an ad hoc inclusion prior to the regular rebalance in December.</li>
</ul>


The SET has commenced a market consultation on lowering the turnover ratio level from 5% to 2% while selecting stocks to be added to and deleted from the SET50 INDEX.
The change to the turnover ratio level could lead to three changes in December that result in one-way turnover of 7.44% and in a one-way trade of THB 6.79bn.
Separately, the Total Access Communication (DTAC TB) / True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB) merger could result in an ad hoc inclusion prior to the regular rebalance in December.


SET50 Index: Market Consultation & DTAC/TRUE Merger Impact

Asset World Corporation / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The market cap review period for the December rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> started on 1 September and will end 30 November.</li>
<li>We currently see one high probability change and two lower probability changes to the index at the upcoming rebalance.</li>
<li>There are a couple of lower probability adds/deletes that will have between 3-5 days of ADV to trade from passive funds and could be interesting from a trading angle.</li>
</ul>


The market cap review period for the December rebalance of the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) started on 1 September and will end 30 November.
We currently see one high probability change and two lower probability changes to the index at the upcoming rebalance.
There are a couple of lower probability adds/deletes that will have between 3-5 days of ADV to trade from passive funds and could be interesting from a trading angle.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes in December

<ul>
<li>We upgrade our rating to BUY while rolling-over and raising our TP to Bt45.00 (up 16% from previous TP) based on 35.6xPE’1H23E (0.5S.D. of 5-year trading history).</li>
<li>2Q22 earnings dropped further than expected QoQ 2Q22 earnings was at Bt620m (+6% YoY, -21%QoQ). YoY growth was from robust revenue growth. QoQ decline was caused by higher SG&amp;A </li>
<li>Sales in 2Q22 was at Bt14bn (+25% YoY, flat QoQ). Robust YoY growth was led by continued demand of Apple and Realme products,supported by the addition of 109 stores YoY. </li>
</ul>


We upgrade our rating to BUY while rolling-over and raising our TP to Bt45.00 (up 16% from previous TP) based on 35.6xPE’1H23E (0.5S.D. of 5-year trading history).
2Q22 earnings dropped further than expected QoQ 2Q22 earnings was at Bt620m (+6% YoY, -21%QoQ). YoY growth was from robust revenue growth. QoQ decline was caused by higher SG&amp;A 
Sales in 2Q22 was at Bt14bn (+25% YoY, flat QoQ). Robust YoY growth was led by continued demand of Apple and Realme products,supported by the addition of 109 stores YoY. 


COM7 : Low 2Q22 but Bright Long-Term Outlook

Thailand

Com7 Public Company Limited operates a chain of retail outlets that imports, retails, and distributes computers and IT-related products in Thailand. The Company offers products, such as smartphones, tablets, notebooks, and computer sets. Com7 also offers computer components, such as CPUs, hard drives, and network and accessories.

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Com7 (COM7 TB)

COM7 : Continued Strong Demand Post-Covid

We maintain BUY with TP of Bt45.00 based on 35.6xPE’1H23E (0.5S.D. of 5-year trading history). Analyst meeting came out with positive tone on the...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: S&P/ASX, China A50, SET50, Bilibili, Leapmotor, Onewo, CALB

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

SET50 Index: Market Consultation & DTAC/TRUE Merger Impact

We look at potential index changes following SET's proposal to reduce the monthly turnover ratio from 5% to 2%. Separately, the DTAC/TRUE merger...

Brian Freitas

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes in December

There could be 3 changes to the SET50 at the December rebalance. One is a high probability change while two others are potential adds/deletes. Some...

Brian Freitas

COM7 : Low 2Q22 but Bright Long-Term Outlook

We upgrade our rating to BUY while rolling-over and raising our TP to Bt45.00 (up 16% from previous TP) based on 35.6xPE’1H23E (0.5S.D. of 5-year...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

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