IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> IE considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-ufj-financial-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:218:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP)</a>’s A$2.26 offer fair and reasonable as it is within its A$2.11-2.70 per share valuation range.</li>
<li>The scheme remains conditional on several regulatory approvals - FIRB, Central Bank of Ireland, Isle of Man Financial Services Authority, India SEBI, and Financial Services Agency of Japan.</li>
<li>Several substantial shareholders have sold or exited, lowering the scheme's risk. At the last close and for the 16 May payment, the gross/annualised spread was 1.3%/9.7%.</li>
</ul>


The Link Administration (LNK AU) IE considers Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP)’s A$2.26 offer fair and reasonable as it is within its A$2.11-2.70 per share valuation range.
The scheme remains conditional on several regulatory approvals - FIRB, Central Bank of Ireland, Isle of Man Financial Services Authority, India SEBI, and Financial Services Agency of Japan.
Several substantial shareholders have sold or exited, lowering the scheme's risk. At the last close and for the 16 May payment, the gross/annualised spread was 1.3%/9.7%.


Link Admin (LNK AU): Scheme Vote on 24 April

<ul>
<li>On 13 February, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ansarada-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30718:1" rel="noopener">Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU)</a> entered a scheme implementation deed with Datasite. The offer price is A$2.50 per share, a 19.0% premium to the undisturbed price (12 February).</li>
<li>The offer requires FIRB approval along with shareholder approval of the inter-conditional scheme and carve-out transaction. </li>
<li>The offer price is reasonable and marginally short of the all-time high. At the last close and for an early June close, the gross/annualised spread is 2.5%/8.3%.</li>
</ul>


On 13 February, Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU) entered a scheme implementation deed with Datasite. The offer price is A$2.50 per share, a 19.0% premium to the undisturbed price (12 February).
The offer requires FIRB approval along with shareholder approval of the inter-conditional scheme and carve-out transaction. 
The offer price is reasonable and marginally short of the all-time high. At the last close and for an early June close, the gross/annualised spread is 2.5%/8.3%.


Ansarada (AND AU): Datasite’s Binding A$2.50 Offer

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Taxi-Related services operator <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a2b-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16558:1" rel="noopener">A2B Australia (A2B AU)</a> has completed a large property sale and subsequently entered into a Scheme with Singapore's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/comfortdelgro-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:497:1" rel="noopener">ComfortDelGro Corp (CD SP)</a>.</li>
<li>The property sale enabled a $0.60/share fully franked dividend. Separately, and in addition, ComfortDelGro is offering A$1.45/share. Or A$2.05/share all-in. Before franking credits, for those who can take advantage. </li>
<li>The special divi ex-date is the 12 January. It is not conditional on the Scheme. Implementation for the Scheme, assuming all approvals are met, is expected mid-April.</li>
</ul>


Taxi-Related services operator A2B Australia (A2B AU) has completed a large property sale and subsequently entered into a Scheme with Singapore's ComfortDelGro Corp (CD SP).
The property sale enabled a $0.60/share fully franked dividend. Separately, and in addition, ComfortDelGro is offering A$1.45/share. Or A$2.05/share all-in. Before franking credits, for those who can take advantage. 
The special divi ex-date is the 12 January. It is not conditional on the Scheme. Implementation for the Scheme, assuming all approvals are met, is expected mid-April.


A2B (A2B AU): A$0.60 Fully Franked Divi + A$1.45/Share Offer From ComfortDelGro

<ul>
<li>Drugs maker/packager group <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/probiotec-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12047:1" rel="noopener">Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU)</a> has <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02757332-3A633846" target="_blank" rel="noopener">entered into a Scheme</a> with Indonesia's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pyridam-farma-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12900:1" rel="noopener">Pyridam Farma (PYFA IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>Pyridam is offering Probiotec shareholders A$3.00/share (in cash, or a 19% premium to the undisturbed price). Interim and final  dividends up to A$0.035/share and A$0.04/share, respectively, may be added.</li>
<li>It has not been declared final. The Offer has the board's backing. A Scheme Meeting is expected to be held in May with possible completion in early June 2024.</li>
</ul>


Drugs maker/packager group Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU) has entered into a Scheme with Indonesia's Pyridam Farma (PYFA IJ).
Pyridam is offering Probiotec shareholders A$3.00/share (in cash, or a 19% premium to the undisturbed price). Interim and final  dividends up to A$0.035/share and A$0.04/share, respectively, may be added.
It has not been declared final. The Offer has the board's backing. A Scheme Meeting is expected to be held in May with possible completion in early June 2024.


Probiotec (PBP AU) Agrees To Pyridam's Bid

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> has entered a SID with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-ufj-financial-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:218:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP)</a> at A$2.26 (A$2.10 scheme consideration + A$0.16 dividend), a 32.9% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The presence of several substantial shareholders, lack of irrevocables, a light offer, recent derisking of the business and a long-dated offer pose a challenge for the scheme to get up. </li>
<li>MUFG’s offer could spark a rival offer, but Link’s long-suffering shareholders have endured a history of failed bids. At the last close, the risk/reward is unfavourable.</li>
</ul>



Link Administration (LNK AU) has entered a SID with Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP) at A$2.26 (A$2.10 scheme consideration + A$0.16 dividend), a 32.9% premium to the undisturbed price.
The presence of several substantial shareholders, lack of irrevocables, a light offer, recent derisking of the business and a long-dated offer pose a challenge for the scheme to get up. 
MUFG’s offer could spark a rival offer, but Link’s long-suffering shareholders have endured a history of failed bids. At the last close, the risk/reward is unfavourable.


Link Admin (LNK AU): MUFG’s Underwhelming Binding Offer

Australia

Computershare Limited operates share registries and computer bureaus which includes the administration of employee share and option plans and the provision of software that specializes in share registry, financial and stock markets. The Company also provides corporate trust services and acts as a trustee for clients' debt offerings in certain markets.

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Computershare Ltd (CPU AU)

Link Admin (LNK AU): Scheme Vote on 24 April

Several substantial shareholders have sold or exited, lowering the scheme's risk. At the last close and for the 16 May payment, the gross...

Arun George

Ansarada (AND AU): Datasite’s Binding A$2.50 Offer

The offer price is reasonable and marginally short of the all-time high. At the last close and for an early June close, the gross/annualised spread...

Arun George

Probiotec (PBP AU) Agrees To Pyridam's Bid

A life-time high offer price, board approval, and funding secured. This looks done. Trading at a 6.0%/12.7% gross/annualised spread, including...

David Blennerhassett

Link Admin (LNK AU): MUFG’s Underwhelming Binding Offer

The presence of several substantial shareholders, lack of irrevocables, a light offer, recent derisking of the business and a long-dated offer pose...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Link Admin (LNK AU): Scheme Vote on 24 April

Several substantial shareholders have sold or exited, lowering the scheme's risk. At the last close and for the 16 May payment, the gross...

Arun George

Ansarada (AND AU): Datasite’s Binding A$2.50 Offer

The offer price is reasonable and marginally short of the all-time high. At the last close and for an early June close, the gross/annualised spread...

Arun George

A2B (A2B AU): A$0.60 Fully Franked Divi + A$1.45/Share Offer From ComfortDelGro

Trading through terms at A$2.14/share as I type. Unless you can take advantage of the franking credits, look elsewhere. ComfortDelGro may bump. I...

David Blennerhassett

Probiotec (PBP AU) Agrees To Pyridam's Bid

A life-time high offer price, board approval, and funding secured. This looks done. Trading at a 6.0%/12.7% gross/annualised spread, including...

David Blennerhassett

Link Admin (LNK AU): MUFG’s Underwhelming Binding Offer

The presence of several substantial shareholders, lack of irrevocables, a light offer, recent derisking of the business and a long-dated offer pose...

Arun George