Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><ul><li>The model tests the economics of the AI buildout. It maps spending from power and capex through clouds to end-market revenue, anchored on FactSet consensus for hyperscaler capex and cloud revenue while our assumptions for AI allocation, utilization, pricing and demand, and modeled intercompany transfers are eliminated.</li><li>Over time, we expect to use this model as a framework for evaluating new data points on capex, AI services revenue, and token pricing/consumption.</li><li>The buildout stays cash flow negative through 2030. AI capex rises from $824B in 2026 to $1.76T in 2030 ($6.7T cumulative) versus revenue of $306B and $1.56T. Cloud FCF is negative $530B and $588B, including assumed internal use benefits; infrastructure vendors generate $258B and $628B.</li></ul></div>

The model tests the economics of the AI buildout. It maps spending from power and capex through clouds to end-market revenue, anchored on FactSet consensus for hyperscaler capex and cloud revenue while our assumptions for AI allocation, utilization, pricing and demand, and modeled intercompany transfers are eliminated.Over time, we expect to use this model as a framework for evaluating new data points on capex, AI services revenue, and token pricing/consumption.The buildout stays cash flow negative through 2030. AI capex rises from $824B in 2026 to $1.76T in 2030 ($6.7T cumulative) versus revenue of $306B and $1.56T. Cloud FCF is negative $530B and $588B, including assumed internal use benefits; infrastructure vendors generate $258B and $628B.

AI Flow Industry Model : Tracking the Capex Flood and Revenue Streams

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>OpenAI's private funding and burn disclosures reset IPO timing, while Anthropic added Nasdaq, profitability and revenue markers ahead of listing.</li>
<li>China labs shipped faster domestic-chip inference, cheaper multimodal pricing, coding-agent tools and Kimi distribution on AWS Bedrock.</li>
<li>AI infrastructure financing stayed active across data centers, power equipment, custom chips, memory and startup funding.</li>
</ul>


OpenAI's private funding and burn disclosures reset IPO timing, while Anthropic added Nasdaq, profitability and revenue markers ahead of listing.
China labs shipped faster domestic-chip inference, cheaper multimodal pricing, coding-agent tools and Kimi distribution on AWS Bedrock.
AI infrastructure financing stayed active across data centers, power equipment, custom chips, memory and startup funding.


This Week in AI (Sep 13-19): OpenAI Delays IPO Hopes; AI Slowdown Debate Hits Markets

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>CoreWeave Inc. reported its first quarter 2026 results, marking notable growth in several key metrics while also facing elevated costs and narrowing operating margins.</li><li>The company generated approximately $2.1 billion in revenue, representing a 32% increase sequentially and a 112% increase year-over-year.</li><li>Concurrently, CoreWeave’s contracted revenue backlog expanded to nearly $100 billion, with a significant portion weighted toward the near and medium term—36% expected within two years and 75% within four years.</li></ul>

CoreWeave Inc. reported its first quarter 2026 results, marking notable growth in several key metrics while also facing elevated costs and narrowing operating margins.The company generated approximately $2.1 billion in revenue, representing a 32% increase sequentially and a 112% increase year-over-year.Concurrently, CoreWeave’s contracted revenue backlog expanded to nearly $100 billion, with a significant portion weighted toward the near and medium term—36% expected within two years and 75% within four years.

CoreWeave - CoreWeave’s $2.1 Billion Quarter — Can AI Infrastructure Demand Outrun Its Cost Surge?

Private Markets, Angel and Secondary Investing, Sacra

Sacra

Private Markets, Angel and Secondary Investing

Bringing transparency to private markets so investors, founders, and employees can build on conviction. Sacra delivers deeply researched insights on the private companies shaping tomorrow's markets. By surfacing the data, context, and operator perspective that are missing from private markets today, we help secondary buyers and sellers price equity accurately and unlock liquidity for the people building these businesses.

Private Capital Markets

<ul><li>Sacra estimates that CoreWeave generated $5.131B in revenue in 2025, up 170% YoY from $1.915B in 2024, driven by surging demand for GPU compute from cloud providers, LLM companies, and AI application developers.</li><li>In Q1 2026, CoreWeave reported revenue of $2.078B, up 112% YoY from $982M in Q1 2025, with adjusted EBITDA of $1.157B (56% margin) and a net loss of $740M.</li><li>CoreWeave guided Q2 2026 revenue of $2.45B–$2.60B and full-year 2026 revenue of $12B–$13B, with an exit 2026 ARR of $18B–$19B and capex of $31B–$35B.</li></ul>

Sacra estimates that CoreWeave generated $5.131B in revenue in 2025, up 170% YoY from $1.915B in 2024, driven by surging demand for GPU compute from cloud providers, LLM companies, and AI application developers.In Q1 2026, CoreWeave reported revenue of $2.078B, up 112% YoY from $982M in Q1 2025, with adjusted EBITDA of $1.157B (56% margin) and a net loss of $740M.CoreWeave guided Q2 2026 revenue of $2.45B–$2.60B and full-year 2026 revenue of $12B–$13B, with an exit 2026 ARR of $18B–$19B and capex of $31B–$35B.

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coreweave-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44471:1" rel="noopener">CoreWeave (CRWV US)</a> received a boost in Nasdaq100 ranking due to the new methodology, which ranks based on company rather than security market cap.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costar-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16907:1" rel="noopener">Costar Group (CSGP US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zscaler-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36134:1" rel="noopener">Zscaler (ZS US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-communications-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1058:1" rel="noopener">Charter Communications (CHTR US)</a> are the main deletion candidates for June 2026 as they are currently below rank 125.</li>
<li>Top addition/replacement candidates are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coreweave-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44471:1" rel="noopener">CoreWeave (CRWV US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/teradyne-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13088:1" rel="noopener">Teradyne Inc (TER US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lumentum-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12529:1" rel="noopener">Lumentum Holdings (LITE US)</a>.</li>
</ul>



CoreWeave (CRWV US) received a boost in Nasdaq100 ranking due to the new methodology, which ranks based on company rather than security market cap.

Costar Group (CSGP US), Zscaler (ZS US) and Charter Communications (CHTR US) are the main deletion candidates for June 2026 as they are currently below rank 125.
Top addition/replacement candidates are CoreWeave (CRWV US), Teradyne Inc (TER US) and Lumentum Holdings (LITE US).


CoreWeave (CRWV US): Rank Boost in Nasdaq100 From New Methodology

United States

CoreWeave, Inc. is a specialized cloud infrastructure company that provides high-performance computing resources optimized for workloads such as artificial intelligence, machine learning, visual effects, and batch processing. The company's CoreWeave Cloud Platform consists of proprietary software and cloud services that deliver the automation and efficiency needed to manage complex AI infrastructure at scale. Its platform supports the development and use of ground-breaking models and the delivery of the next generation of AI applications. CoreWeave operates a GPU-first architecture, optimized for training and inference of generative AI models, and also targets scientific and financial computing, as well as real-time 3D rendering needs. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Livingston, New Jersey.

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CoreWeave (CRWV US)

AI Flow Industry Model : Tracking the Capex Flood and Revenue Streams

Over time, we expect to use this model as a framework for evaluating new data points on capex, AI services revenue, and token pricing/consumption.

Water Tower Research

This Week in AI (Sep 13-19): OpenAI Delays IPO Hopes; AI Slowdown Debate Hits Markets

This week in AI: OpenAI pushed IPO expectations beyond 2026, the AI slowdown debate reached markets and policy, and Chinese labs kept shipping models.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CoreWeave - CoreWeave’s $2.1 Billion Quarter — Can AI Infrastructure Demand Outrun Its Cost Surge?

CoreWeave Inc. reported its first quarter 2026 results, marking notable growth in several key metrics while also facing elevated costs and...

Baptista Research

Primer: CoreWeave - 18 May 2026

Cloud GPU provider offering production-grade compute infrastructure for AI model training and deployment

Sacra