Global Special Situations & Strategy, SR Services Ltd

David Lepper

Global Special Situations & Strategy

SR Services Ltd

SR Services provides Strategic Knowledge and Solutions services for Family Offices and Corporate Business. 

We deliver this via advisory services, strategic planning, opportunity analysis/sourcing, as well as solution implementation. 

Whilst, we create intellectual discipline and operational leverage for your projects or daily activities, our ultimate objective is to empower whilst enhancing your decision making. 

Strategic Knowledge and Solutions

Cross Asset Strategy

Our screen looks for high valuation multiples presented by companies with significant earnings growth forecasts, as well as financial indicators that suggest balance sheet stress. 34 stocks appear in our Q2 2021 screen, versus 25 in Q1 2021 and 15 in Q4 2020. Our Q2 2021 screen shows a reduction in average stock rank to 65.18 from 70.8 points compared to the Q1 2020 screen, placing the stocks lower into the second quartile of the market and showing a deterioration in fundamental and technical aspects. Whilst this is a 7.6% decline, we see this data as tainted by trailing fundamentals. As we highlighted in previous commentaries, we expect the market to see a defined separation of Quality, Value and Relative Momentum over the next few quarters. The erosion is not unexpected as we see a wave of updated forecasts.

Our screen looks for high valuation multiples presented by companies with significant earnings growth forecasts, as well as financial indicators that suggest balance sheet stress. 34 stocks appear in our Q2 2021 screen, versus 25 in Q1 2021 and 15 in Q4 2020. Our Q2 2021 screen shows a reduction in average stock rank to 65.18 from 70.8 points compared to the Q1 2020 screen, placing the stocks lower into the second quartile of the market and showing a deterioration in fundamental and technical aspects. Whilst this is a 7.6% decline, we see this data as tainted by trailing fundamentals. As we highlighted in previous commentaries, we expect the market to see a defined separation of Quality, Value and Relative Momentum over the next few quarters. The erosion is not unexpected as we see a wave of updated forecasts.

Screening the Silk Road: Q2 2021 High Risk Names to Avoid

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jul 3rd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jul 3rd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jul 3rd): Tencent, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Meituan

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 26th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), Guming (1364 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 26th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), Guming (1364 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 26th): Tencent, Xiaomi, Guming, Meitu

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

With an 11.6% YoY growth (in Rmb terms), China's export trade continued its recovery momentum in Aug. This represents a further acceleration from 10.5% growth in Jul and is the fifth consecutive monthly YoY growth since Apr. Export to US has picked up in the last two months while the growth to ASEAN maintained at over 15%. ASEAN sustained its position as China's largest trading partner, accounting for 15% of China's total trade value in 8M20.We believe China' strong export and trade figures for Aug bode well for both <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotrans-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1321:1" rel="noopener">Sinotrans (598 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sitc-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15301:1" rel="noopener">SITC International (1308 HK)</a>. Both companies are heavily geared towards China's trade activities and are with particular exposure to the intra-Asia market. Sinotrans has 50% of its freight forwarding volume in 1H20 from this geographical market while SITC has sole presence in intra-Asia trade. In our view, both companies will report solid 3Q20 figures by end-Oct.

With an 11.6% YoY growth (in Rmb terms), China's export trade continued its recovery momentum in Aug. This represents a further acceleration from 10.5% growth in Jul and is the fifth consecutive monthly YoY growth since Apr. Export to US has picked up in the last two months while the growth to ASEAN maintained at over 15%. ASEAN sustained its position as China's largest trading partner, accounting for 15% of China's total trade value in 8M20.We believe China' strong export and trade figures for Aug bode well for both Sinotrans (598 HK) and SITC International (1308 HK). Both companies are heavily geared towards China's trade activities and are with particular exposure to the intra-Asia market. Sinotrans has 50% of its freight forwarding volume in 1H20 from this geographical market while SITC has sole presence in intra-Asia trade. In our view, both companies will report solid 3Q20 figures by end-Oct.

China Transportation: Strong Aug Export to Benefit Sinotrans (598 HK) And SITC Intl (1308 HK)

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 19th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 19th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 18th): Tencent, Li Auto, Xiaomi

China

COSCO SHIPPING Holdings is a global leader in container shipping and terminal operations, offering maritime container transportation, terminal management, and container leasing services. The company also provides digital supply chain solutions. It was founded on March 3, 2005, and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK)

Screening the Silk Road: Q2 2021 High Risk Names to Avoid

34 stocks in our Q2'21 HIGH-RISK screen, vs Q1 2021 's 25. Q2'21 shows a reduction in avg stock rank to 65.2 from 70.8 pts in Q1 2020....

David Lepper

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jul 3rd): Tencent, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Meituan

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 26th): Tencent, Xiaomi, Guming, Meitu

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Transportation: Strong Aug Export to Benefit Sinotrans (598 HK) And SITC Intl (1308 HK)

We believe China' strong export and trade figures for Aug bode well for both Sinotrans (598 HK)

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 18th): Tencent, Li Auto, Xiaomi

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)