Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on MSCI EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>Specifically, the EEM-US has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If MSCI EM has indeed bottomed, we want to be buying the leaders; that is where this report comes in.</li>
<li>Specific themes include attractive opportunities in India and Thailand, and also many in Taiwan and South Korea. Attractive Sectors include Energy, Financials, Materials, and Industrials.</li>
</ul>


We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on MSCI EM (EEM-US).
Specifically, the EEM-US has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If MSCI EM has indeed bottomed, we want to be buying the leaders; that is where this report comes in.
Specific themes include attractive opportunities in India and Thailand, and also many in Taiwan and South Korea. Attractive Sectors include Energy, Financials, Materials, and Industrials.


Finding Leadership Within Emerging Markets

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>Placements continued to take center stage this week, beginning with Uber’s clean-up sale of Zomato.</li>
<li>Socar launched its one-day bookbuild earlier in the week. We continued looking at the upcoming deals in our pipeline. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
Placements continued to take center stage this week, beginning with Uber’s clean-up sale of Zomato.
Socar launched its one-day bookbuild earlier in the week. We continued looking at the upcoming deals in our pipeline. 


ECM Weekly (7th Aug 2022) - Zomato, Orica, China Tourism, Hongjiu Fruit, Giant Biogene, Socar

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Infosys: Infosys (INFO IN) delivered strong growth in Q1, offset by steeper impact on margins (yet relative outperformance vs peers)</li><li>INFO increased its revenue guidance for FY23E to 14-16% (vs 13-15% earlier) and EBITM guidance was maintained at 21-23%, with a tilt to the lower end</li><li>We expect INFO’s margin recovery ahead, supported by sub-contractor optimisation (~100bps lever) and utilisation increase on trainee productivity (~50bps lever)</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Infosys: Infosys (INFO IN) delivered strong growth in Q1, offset by steeper impact on margins (yet relative outperformance vs peers)INFO increased its revenue guidance for FY23E to 14-16% (vs 13-15% earlier) and EBITM guidance was maintained at 21-23%, with a tilt to the lower endWe expect INFO’s margin recovery ahead, supported by sub-contractor optimisation (~100bps lever) and utilisation increase on trainee productivity (~50bps lever)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Infosys, Axis Bank, Tech Mahindra, Crompton Consumer

<ul><li>Aggregate revenue three-year CAGR at 10%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver three-year revenue CAGR of 10% YoY in Q1FY23 (vs -3% in Q1FY22 and 12% in Q4FY22)</li><li>During Q1FY23, cooling products sustained their demand momentum, with India (ex-south) seeing a strong summer</li><li>Demand for electrical construction materials has sustained a healthy trend, led by strong housing and home improvement demand</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Aggregate revenue three-year CAGR at 10%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver three-year revenue CAGR of 10% YoY in Q1FY23 (vs -3% in Q1FY22 and 12% in Q4FY22)During Q1FY23, cooling products sustained their demand momentum, with India (ex-south) seeing a strong summerDemand for electrical construction materials has sustained a healthy trend, led by strong housing and home improvement demandContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables - Demand Remains Strong; Margin Recovery on the Cards

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

Equity Bottom-Up

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals / Equity Bottom-Up

<div><ul><li>Strong rebound in demand during Feb’22-Mar’22 after muted Jan’22: <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">In 4QFY22 Pumps business faced a slowdown due to industry-wide weakness</span></li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Market share gain continues; distribution expansion to aid overall growth: On a rolling 12-month basis, the company gained 3% market share in the overall fans segment.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Cost-saving program helping protect margins: The company saved Rs680mn in 4QFY22 from Project UNNATI.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Strong rebound in demand during Feb’22-Mar’22 after muted Jan’22: In 4QFY22 Pumps business faced a slowdown due to industry-wide weaknessMarket share gain continues; distribution expansion to aid overall growth: On a rolling 12-month basis, the company gained 3% market share in the overall fans segment.Cost-saving program helping protect margins: The company saved Rs680mn in 4QFY22 from Project UNNATI.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals - Strong Rebound Post Weak Jan'22

India

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited manufactures consumer electrical products. The Company offers fans, lamps, luminaires, and pumps, as well as a variety of other household appliances.

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals (CROMPTON IN)

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Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals (CROMPTON IN)

Finding Leadership Within Emerging Markets

We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on $EEM. Specifically, the EEM has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If EEM has...

Vermilion Research

ECM Weekly (7th Aug 2022) - Zomato, Orica, China Tourism, Hongjiu Fruit, Giant Biogene, Socar

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Clarence Chu

HSIE Results Daily: Infosys, Axis Bank, Tech Mahindra, Crompton Consumer

Infosys: Infosys (INFO IN) delivered strong growth in Q1, offset by steeper impact on margins (yet relative outperformance vs peers)

HDFC Securities

Consumer Durables - Demand Remains Strong; Margin Recovery on the Cards

Aggregate revenue three-year CAGR at 10%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver three-year revenue CAGR of 10% YoY in Q1FY23 (vs....

HDFC Securities

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals - Strong Rebound Post Weak Jan'22

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals (CGCEL) reported 4QFY22 revenue of Rs15.5bn, up 1.7% YoY. The topline was 21%/4.1% below our/consensus estimate.

Nirmal Bang

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