External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Delayed summer/low primary sales of rated fans to impact Q4 print, aggregate revenue YoY/four-year CAGR at 7/11%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver revenue YoY/four-year CAGR (ex-Butterfly acquisition) of 7/11% in Q4FY23 (vs 14/11% in Q4FY22 and 7/10% in Q3FY23)</li><li>Demand softness seen in the post-festive season in Q3FY23 has sustained in Q4FY23 as well on account of weak consumer sentiment and an inflationary environment, more so in the economy segment</li><li>Moreover, delayed summer during the quarter further impacted the sale of cooling products (room AC, air coolers, fans, etc.)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Delayed summer/low primary sales of rated fans to impact Q4 print, aggregate revenue YoY/four-year CAGR at 7/11%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver revenue YoY/four-year CAGR (ex-Butterfly acquisition) of 7/11% in Q4FY23 (vs 14/11% in Q4FY22 and 7/10% in Q3FY23)Demand softness seen in the post-festive season in Q3FY23 has sustained in Q4FY23 as well on account of weak consumer sentiment and an inflationary environment, more so in the economy segmentMoreover, delayed summer during the quarter further impacted the sale of cooling products (room AC, air coolers, fans, etc.)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables - Delayed Summer Season to Impact Q4FY23 Print

Mid-Small Cap specialist | Equities | India, Nurture Capital Advisory

Nurture Capital Advisory

Mid-Small Cap specialist | Equities | India

Buyside Outfit and Advisory Services

We are a Buyside outfit and also offer Advisory services. Most notes published here are written for our consumption. These notes offer readers a perspective of our approach to scanning sectors and distilling ideas to constructing a bottom-up Equity portfolio. Combining top down and bottom-up approaches to identifying themes/ value stocks at inflexion Sector agnostic | Value oriented - Inflexion approach | Bottom-Up Ideas Biased towards Sustainability, ESG Team is Wall Street Journal, ET Now - Star mine Lipper, Asia money rated.

Equity Bottom-Up

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Era of the value stocks! Inflation feeds interest rates, raises cost of capital and risks equity multiples. Headwinds to earnings growth - risks sustenance of pricey valuations.  </li>
<li>Key risks: Stocks face material headwinds on cost pressure, competition, valuations </li>
<li>Stocks covered: Crompton Greaves, Stove Kraft, Lemon Tree, Jubilant Ingrevia</li>
</ul>


Era of the value stocks! Inflation feeds interest rates, raises cost of capital and risks equity multiples. Headwinds to earnings growth - risks sustenance of pricey valuations.  
Key risks: Stocks face material headwinds on cost pressure, competition, valuations 
Stocks covered: Crompton Greaves, Stove Kraft, Lemon Tree, Jubilant Ingrevia


<ul><li>Expect improving Q3 print, aggregate revenue YoY/three-year CAGR at 13/16%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver revenue YoY/three-year CAGR (ex-Butterfly acquisition) of 13/16% in Q3FY23 (vs 7/11% in Q3FY22 and 6/12% in Q2FY23)</li><li>Q2FY23 was marred by a variety of reasons like commodity-led destocking, an unfavourable base, negative oplev and slow infra activities led by extended monsoon</li><li>We have observed that some of the headwinds have eased out in Q3 and thereby expect better delivery in Q3 after the washout show in Q2</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Expect improving Q3 print, aggregate revenue YoY/three-year CAGR at 13/16%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver revenue YoY/three-year CAGR (ex-Butterfly acquisition) of 13/16% in Q3FY23 (vs 7/11% in Q3FY22 and 6/12% in Q2FY23)Q2FY23 was marred by a variety of reasons like commodity-led destocking, an unfavourable base, negative oplev and slow infra activities led by extended monsoonWe have observed that some of the headwinds have eased out in Q3 and thereby expect better delivery in Q3 after the washout show in Q2Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables (Q3FY23 Results Preview): Better Q3 print assisted by pre-buying in fans

<ul><li>Dabur: Dabur delivered an in-line performance with revenue growth of 6% YoY (11% on three-year CAGR)</li><li>Domestic revenue/volume grew 7/1% YoY, with three-year CAGR at 12/9% vs HUL’s 11/3% and Nestle’s 13/8%</li><li>Dabur is sustaining its volume outperformance among peers</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Dabur: Dabur delivered an in-line performance with revenue growth of 6% YoY (11% on three-year CAGR)Domestic revenue/volume grew 7/1% YoY, with three-year CAGR at 12/9% vs HUL’s 11/3% and Nestle’s 13/8%Dabur is sustaining its volume outperformance among peersContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Dabur, Crompton Consumer

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are seeing signs that suggest this pullback may have run its course, as several global market indexes and Sectors appear to be making a higher low near logical support.</li>
<li>This includes the S&amp;P 500, Russell 2000, MSCI ACWI (local currency), TOPIX/TOPIX Small/Nikkei 225, MSCI ACWI Technology (IXN-US), Consumer Discretionary (RXI-US), Financials (IXG-US), Industrials and (EXI-US) -- add exposure.</li>
<li>While our overall outlook remains neutral, we continue to see a plethora of attractive buying opportunities in the new leaders.</li>
</ul>


We are seeing signs that suggest this pullback may have run its course, as several global market indexes and Sectors appear to be making a higher low near logical support.
This includes the S&amp;P 500, Russell 2000, MSCI ACWI (local currency), TOPIX/TOPIX Small/Nikkei 225, MSCI ACWI Technology (IXN-US), Consumer Discretionary (RXI-US), Financials (IXG-US), Industrials and (EXI-US) -- add exposure.
While our overall outlook remains neutral, we continue to see a plethora of attractive buying opportunities in the new leaders.


Pullback Complete?; Commodities Heading Lower; Buying Growth/Cyclicals & A Few Utilities

India

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited manufactures consumer electrical products. The Company offers fans, lamps, luminaires, and pumps, as well as a variety of other household appliances.

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals (CROMPTON IN)

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Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals (CROMPTON IN)

Consumer Durables - Delayed Summer Season to Impact Q4FY23 Print

Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver revenue YoY/four-year CAGR (ex-Butterfly acquisition) of 7/11% in Q4FY23 (vs 14/11% in...

HDFC Securities

Era of the Value Stocks

Era of the value stocks! Inflation feeds interest rates, raises cost of capital and risks equity multiples. Headwinds to earnings growth - risks...

Nurture Capital Advisory

Consumer Durables (Q3FY23 Results Preview): Better Q3 print assisted by pre-buying in fans

Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver revenue YoY/three-year CAGR (ex-Butterfly acquisition) of 13/16% in Q3FY23 (vs 7/11% in...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Dabur, Crompton Consumer

Dabur: Dabur delivered an in-line performance with revenue growth of 6% YoY (11% on three-year CAGR) Domestic revenue/volume grew 7/1% YoY, with...

HDFC Securities

Pullback Complete?; Commodities Heading Lower; Buying Growth/Cyclicals & A Few Utilities

Signs suggest this pullback may have run its course, as several global market indexes & Sectors appear to be making a higher low near logical...

Vermilion Research

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