Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. has demonstrated resilience and strategic growth in its Q4 and Fiscal Year 2025 financial results.</li><li>The company's performance indicates effective management and the potential to leverage its offerings in the evolving cybersecurity market driven by the advancement of AI technologies.</li><li>On the positive side, CrowdStrike reported a notable Q4 net new Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of $224 million, surpassing expectations and ending FY 2025 with $4.24 billion in ARR.</li></ul>

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. has demonstrated resilience and strategic growth in its Q4 and Fiscal Year 2025 financial results.The company's performance indicates effective management and the potential to leverage its offerings in the evolving cybersecurity market driven by the advancement of AI technologies.On the positive side, CrowdStrike reported a notable Q4 net new Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of $224 million, surpassing expectations and ending FY 2025 with $4.24 billion in ARR.

Crowdstrike Holdings: The Falcon Flex Program & Key Developments That Are Strengthening Its Market Position!

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dell-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32189:1" rel="noopener">Dell Technologies (DELL US)</a> is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the 'Multiple Share Classes' criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/williams-sonoma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11383:1" rel="noopener">Williams Sonoma (WSM US)</a> is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations' inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/american-airlines-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3663:1" rel="noopener">American Airlines Group (AAL US)</a> is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.</li>
</ul>



Dell Technologies (DELL US) is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the 'Multiple Share Classes' criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.

Williams Sonoma (WSM US) is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations' inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.

American Airlines Group (AAL US) is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.


S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>On Friday, the S&amp;P index committee announced the June 2024 changes to the three major indices in the S&amp;P1500 universe. </li>
<li>KKR, Crowdstrike (CRWD), and GoDaddy (GDDY) replace Robert Half (RHI), Comerica (CMA), and Illumina (ILMN) in the S&amp;P500. There are 6 ADDs to S&amp;PMidCap400, 13 DELETEs from Sm600. </li>
<li>There are some BIG and impactful flows here. Some are very big. Netted 2-way flow on 21 June is ~US$66-80bn. But as always, details matter. </li>
</ul>


On Friday, the S&amp;P index committee announced the June 2024 changes to the three major indices in the S&amp;P1500 universe. 
KKR, Crowdstrike (CRWD), and GoDaddy (GDDY) replace Robert Half (RHI), Comerica (CMA), and Illumina (ILMN) in the S&amp;P500. There are 6 ADDs to S&amp;PMidCap400, 13 DELETEs from Sm600. 
There are some BIG and impactful flows here. Some are very big. Netted 2-way flow on 21 June is ~US$66-80bn. But as always, details matter. 


Jun24 S&P 500/400/600 Index Rebal - Both More and Less Interesting Than You Think, But 3 Big Buys

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>While Rubrik reported all key operating metrics and cash flow above expectations for 2Q’FY26, shares sold off over 10% on heavy volume.</li>
<li>+35% y/y 3Q’FY26/+25% y/y 4Q’FY26 revenue growth guide raises questions about next FY27, in my view. Rubrik stock continues to trade at a premium valuation.  </li>
<li>Given the trends in the quarter and guidance, I believe the cybersecurity company can achieve and sustain 25%+ y/y revenue growth in FY26, FY27 and FY28.</li>
</ul>


While Rubrik reported all key operating metrics and cash flow above expectations for 2Q’FY26, shares sold off over 10% on heavy volume.
+35% y/y 3Q’FY26/+25% y/y 4Q’FY26 revenue growth guide raises questions about next FY27, in my view. Rubrik stock continues to trade at a premium valuation.  
Given the trends in the quarter and guidance, I believe the cybersecurity company can achieve and sustain 25%+ y/y revenue growth in FY26, FY27 and FY28.


Rubrik 2Q’FY26 Wrap: Subscription NRR, Cash Flow Metrics Remain Robust. Growth Is Slowing Into FY27

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Palantir Technologies  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Palantir ownership among global funds hit a record 11.3% in July 2025, nearly doubling in six months, led by growth strategies.</li>
<li>Despite a 500% rally and rising index weights, most fund positions remain modest; only three exceed 2%.</li>
<li>Now the fourth most held AI/software peer, Palantir risks becoming a Tesla-style underweight challenge for active managers.</li>
</ul>


Palantir ownership among global funds hit a record 11.3% in July 2025, nearly doubling in six months, led by growth strategies.
Despite a 500% rally and rising index weights, most fund positions remain modest; only three exceed 2%.
Now the fourth most held AI/software peer, Palantir risks becoming a Tesla-style underweight challenge for active managers.


Palantir Technologies Inc:  Rotation Signals Momentum Shift

United States

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cybersecurity products and services to stop breaches. The Company offers cloud-delivered protection across endpoints, cloud workloads, identity and data, and leading threat intelligence, managed security services, IT operations management, threat hunting, Zero Trust identity protection, and log management. CrowdStrike serves customers worldwide.

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Crowdstrike Holdings (CRWD US)

Crowdstrike Holdings: The Falcon Flex Program & Key Developments That Are Strengthening Its Market Position!

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. has demonstrated resilience and strategic growth in its Q4 and Fiscal Year 2025 financial results. The company's...

Baptista Research

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

Dell Technologies is the biggest candidate for inclusion in the S&P 500 with forecasted demand of ~$7bn and ~4 days of volume. Uncertainty arises...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Jun24 S&P 500/400/600 Index Rebal - Both More and Less Interesting Than You Think, But 3 Big Buys

The S&P500/400/600 rebalance is interesting. As usual, some names will get overbought early, and others will not get bought enough. For a bunch of...

Travis Lundy

Rubrik 2Q’FY26 Wrap: Subscription NRR, Cash Flow Metrics Remain Robust. Growth Is Slowing Into FY27

Rubrik, a high-growth data security company, reported solid 2Q'FY26 financial results. In my insight, I update valuation model and set a new TP...

Andrei Zakharov

Palantir Technologies Inc: Rotation Signals Momentum Shift

Palantir has surged into global fund portfolios, doubling ownership to record highs. Growth-led buying and a 500% rally push it toward Tesla-like...

Steven Holden

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Crowdstrike Holdings: The Falcon Flex Program & Key Developments That Are Strengthening Its Market Position!

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. has demonstrated resilience and strategic growth in its Q4 and Fiscal Year 2025 financial results. The company's...

Baptista Research

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

​Dell Technologies is the biggest candidate for inclusion in the S&P 500 with forecasted demand of ~$7bn and ~4 days of volume. Uncertainty arises...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Jun24 S&P 500/400/600 Index Rebal - Both More and Less Interesting Than You Think, But 3 Big Buys

The S&P500/400/600 rebalance is interesting. As usual, some names will get overbought early, and others will not get bought enough. For a bunch of...

Travis Lundy

Rubrik 2Q’FY26 Wrap: Subscription NRR, Cash Flow Metrics Remain Robust. Growth Is Slowing Into FY27

​Rubrik, a high-growth data security company, reported solid 2Q'FY26 financial results. In my insight, I update valuation model and set a new TP...

Andrei Zakharov

Palantir Technologies Inc: Rotation Signals Momentum Shift

Palantir has surged into global fund portfolios, doubling ownership to record highs. Growth-led buying and a 500% rally push it toward Tesla-like...

Steven Holden

Dell Technologies is the biggest candidate for inclusion in the S&P 500 with forecasted demand of ~$7bn and ~4 days of volume. Uncertainty arises...

Rubrik, a high-growth data security company, reported solid 2Q'FY26 financial results. In my insight, I update valuation model and set a new TP...