Independent Energy Equities & Commodities Research, WHB Energy Research LLC

William H Brown III

Independent Energy Equities & Commodities Research

Independent energy equity and commodity boutique

WHB Energy Research LLC

WHB Energy Research LLC is an independent energy industry equity and commodity boutique
providing analysis and trading/investment recommendations to hedge funds, mutual funds, oil
and gas producing companies, energy consuming companies and high net worth individuals.
WHB Energy Research LLC fills a major void by providing top level fundamental and
qualitative research complemented by state of the art quantitative modeling. WHB Energy
Research LLC also engages in physical oil trading activity as an agent/intermediary and also
provides expert witness consultation and testimony. From 2003-2005 Mr. Brown established and
managed an energy hedge fund for a single investor/client. Specialties: Economic and financial
analysis and forecasting of the NYMEX, ICE, and international physical petroleum markets and
energy equities in the integrated, independent producer, refining, drilling, service, and
transportation sectors.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>As we anticipated, Iran President Masoud Pezeshkian’s speech before the U.N. General Assembly was not “benevolent” by any stretch of the imagination. Oil prices rebounded in response.                 </li>
<li>The earlier oil price weakness appeared to reflect optimism regarding the “sideline” meetings between Iranian delegates and Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff.                                       </li>
<li>With respect, however, Iran has previously indicated they would not negotiate seriously with the two who Tehran characterizes as “mere real estate developers.”          </li>
</ul>


As we anticipated, Iran President Masoud Pezeshkian’s speech before the U.N. General Assembly was not “benevolent” by any stretch of the imagination. Oil prices rebounded in response.                 
The earlier oil price weakness appeared to reflect optimism regarding the “sideline” meetings between Iranian delegates and Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff.                                       
With respect, however, Iran has previously indicated they would not negotiate seriously with the two who Tehran characterizes as “mere real estate developers.”          


Morning Market Notes: No Change to Our Fourth Quarter Scenario Despite "Sideline" Talks at the U.N.

Independent Price Reporting Agency, QC Intel

Quantum Commodity Intelligence

Independent Price Reporting Agency

QC Intel

We are an independent price reporting agency (PRA) providing price assessments, original news and trade data for the global energy transition markets.

Our mission is to bring greater transparency to these rapidly developing markets, powering transactions and helping the world to decarbonize as efficiently as possible.

<ul><li>Crude oil futures remained volatile on Tuesday as talks around this week's UN gathering got underway, including backchannel diplomacy between the US and Iran, while Saudi Arabia is preparing to restart exports from the Red Sea.</li><li>Nov26 ICE Brent futures were 1.9% lower at $98.40/b (2124 BST), while Nov26 NYMEX  WTI was at $89.73/b , down 2.6% versus Monday's settle, leaving both benchmarks retreating for a fifth session.</li><li>Brent traded down to a two-week low of  $97.43/b after Japan's Kyodo agency reported that a senior Iranian official told the US that Iran would reopen the blocked Strait of Hormuz "within seven days" if Washington accepts Iran's demands, including lifting a military blockade of Iranian ports.</li></ul>

Crude oil futures remained volatile on Tuesday as talks around this week's UN gathering got underway, including backchannel diplomacy between the US and Iran, while Saudi Arabia is preparing to restart exports from the Red Sea.Nov26 ICE Brent futures were 1.9% lower at $98.40/b (2124 BST), while Nov26 NYMEX  WTI was at $89.73/b , down 2.6% versus Monday's settle, leaving both benchmarks retreating for a fifth session.Brent traded down to a two-week low of  $97.43/b after Japan's Kyodo agency reported that a senior Iranian official told the US that Iran would reopen the blocked Strait of Hormuz "within seven days" if Washington accepts Iran's demands, including lifting a military blockade of Iranian ports.

Oil futures: Crude volatile as UN talks open, Saudi restarts pipeline

<ul>
<li>In his speech to the U.N. General Assembly, President Trump stated that a “deal” with Iran could be made after the U.S. midterm elections.                  </li>
<li>This suggests to us that there remains the possibility of the U.S. launching a major strike, perhaps on Pickaxe Mountain, before the midterms, as we previously discussed.                                       </li>
<li>Such an attack might satisfy the domestic base and yet allow President Trump to offer some form of “carrot” to Iran after the midterms to achieve his “off ramp.”          </li>
</ul>


In his speech to the U.N. General Assembly, President Trump stated that a “deal” with Iran could be made after the U.S. midterm elections.                  
This suggests to us that there remains the possibility of the U.S. launching a major strike, perhaps on Pickaxe Mountain, before the midterms, as we previously discussed.                                       
Such an attack might satisfy the domestic base and yet allow President Trump to offer some form of “carrot” to Iran after the midterms to achieve his “off ramp.”          


Morning Market Notes: A U.S.-Iran Deal in the Making at the UN? We Are Still Not Holding Our Breath

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>WTI gained 0.25% for the week but reversed sharply from its midweek highs as Saudi Arabia restored alternative export flows and fears of a prolonged supply loss eased.</li>
<li>Options volatility and skew fell after the initial supply shock, while managed money cut net longs, pointing to more cautious positioning as WTI slipped below USD 100.</li>
<li>Energy ETFs lagged crude despite selective AUM support, while Halliburton enters Q3 with North American pricing, Middle East activity and Venezuela as key catalysts.</li>
</ul>


WTI gained 0.25% for the week but reversed sharply from its midweek highs as Saudi Arabia restored alternative export flows and fears of a prolonged supply loss eased.
Options volatility and skew fell after the initial supply shock, while managed money cut net longs, pointing to more cautious positioning as WTI slipped below USD 100.
Energy ETFs lagged crude despite selective AUM support, while Halliburton enters Q3 with North American pricing, Middle East activity and Venezuela as key catalysts.


Energy Weekly (W/E 18/Sep): WTI Reverses, Risk Premium Unwinds, Halliburton Tests Pricing Power

<ul><li>Crude oil futures dropped for a fourth straight session on Monday, as expectations that Saudi Arabia could soon restore some flows through its damaged East-West Pipeline eased concerns over supply disruptions.</li><li>Nov26 ICE Brent futures were 3.6% lower at  $100.11/b (2119 BST), while Nov26 NYMEX  WTI was at $92.04/b , down 4.2% versus Friday's settle.</li><li>Brent earlier traded at an intraday low of $98.98/b, dropping below $100/b for the first time in two weeks.</li></ul>

Crude oil futures dropped for a fourth straight session on Monday, as expectations that Saudi Arabia could soon restore some flows through its damaged East-West Pipeline eased concerns over supply disruptions.Nov26 ICE Brent futures were 3.6% lower at  $100.11/b (2119 BST), while Nov26 NYMEX  WTI was at $92.04/b , down 4.2% versus Friday's settle.Brent earlier traded at an intraday low of $98.98/b, dropping below $100/b for the first time in two weeks.

Oil futures: Brent tests $100/b as supply concerns ease

United States

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

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Morning Market Notes: No Change to Our Fourth Quarter Scenario Despite "Sideline" Talks at the U.N.

The tone of Iran's president speech at the U.N. precisely as expected as a counter to President Trump. We do not believe any "sideline" talks...

William H Brown III

Oil futures: Crude volatile as UN talks open, Saudi restarts pipeline

Crude oil futures remained volatile on Tuesday as talks around this week's UN gathering got underway....................

Quantum Commodity Intelligence

Morning Market Notes: A U.S.-Iran Deal in the Making at the UN? We Are Still Not Holding Our Breath

A possible U.S.-Iran deal at the U.N.? Perhaps, but once again we are not holding our breath and the risk of re-escalation in military strikes...

William H Brown III

Energy Weekly (W/E 18/Sep): WTI Reverses, Risk Premium Unwinds, Halliburton Tests Pricing Power

WTI reversed sharply after its midweek spike as Saudi export concerns eased, while cautious positioning and weak energy equities shaped the market.

Mint Finance

Oil futures: Brent tests $100/b as supply concerns ease

Crude oil futures dropped for a fourth straight session on Monday, as expectations that Saudi Arabia could soon restore some flows...

Quantum Commodity Intelligence

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