Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

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News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In Depth: As China’s Hidden Local Debts Shrink, a New Challenge Emerges As mid-2026 approaches, the clock is ticking on one of the most ambitious and high-stakes financial cleanups in China’s recent history.</li>
<li>In late 2024, Beijing rolled out a sweeping 12 trillion yuan ($1.7 trillion) package of policies to resolve a significant portion of the country’s officially recognized hidden local government debt, amassed during decades of credit-fueled infrastructure-building.</li>
<li>FINANCE &amp; ECONOMY China Unveils Sweeping Five-Year Urban Renewal Plan China has unveiled its 2026-2030 urban renewal plan, outlining major targets for housing upgrades and infrastructure renovation as it shifts from expansion-driven growth to city upgrading.</li>
</ul>


In Depth: As China’s Hidden Local Debts Shrink, a New Challenge Emerges As mid-2026 approaches, the clock is ticking on one of the most ambitious and high-stakes financial cleanups in China’s recent history.
In late 2024, Beijing rolled out a sweeping 12 trillion yuan ($1.7 trillion) package of policies to resolve a significant portion of the country’s officially recognized hidden local government debt, amassed during decades of credit-fueled infrastructure-building.
FINANCE &amp; ECONOMY China Unveils Sweeping Five-Year Urban Renewal Plan China has unveiled its 2026-2030 urban renewal plan, outlining major targets for housing upgrades and infrastructure renovation as it shifts from expansion-driven growth to city upgrading.


CX Daily: As China’s Hidden Local Debts Shrink, a New Challenge Emerges 

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China International Capital Corporation / Equity Bottom-Up

China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)

<ul>
<li>China's securities industry is under a wave of consolidation. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)</a> is interesting given its leadership in the investment banking business.</li>
<li>A combination with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-galaxy-securities-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:165:1" rel="noopener">China Galaxy Securities (H) (6881 HK)</a> may bring synergy, given their different focuses. This will create the 3rd largest securities house in China. </li>
<li>Even without a merger, CICC also looks attractive with the US interest rate trending down. It is best set to gain upon the revival of the Hong Kong IPO market. </li>
</ul>


China's securities industry is under a wave of consolidation. China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK) is interesting given its leadership in the investment banking business.
A combination with China Galaxy Securities (H) (6881 HK) may bring synergy, given their different focuses. This will create the 3rd largest securities house in China. 
Even without a merger, CICC also looks attractive with the US interest rate trending down. It is best set to gain upon the revival of the Hong Kong IPO market. 


<ul>
<li>While still progressing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)</a>'s merger will boost earnings. For 1Q26, the combined group will have seen a 66.9% earnings growth. </li>
<li>The IPO market boom is beneficial to CICC. YTD, it has a 36.9% share of the number of deals and 39.4% share in funds raised in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>Assuming completion by end-Sep, CICC will trade at 8.8x PER for FY27, a 26% premium to the sector average. However, its leadership position and the potential synergy support this.</li>
</ul>


While still progressing, China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)'s merger will boost earnings. For 1Q26, the combined group will have seen a 66.9% earnings growth. 
The IPO market boom is beneficial to CICC. YTD, it has a 36.9% share of the number of deals and 39.4% share in funds raised in Hong Kong.
Assuming completion by end-Sep, CICC will trade at 8.8x PER for FY27, a 26% premium to the sector average. However, its leadership position and the potential synergy support this.


CICC (3908 HK): It's Getting More Interesting

<ul>
<li>By way of its 54.79% ownership in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zheshang-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29981:1" rel="noopener">Zheshang Securities (601878 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-expressway-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2178:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Expressway Co H (576 HK)</a> is an attractive indirect vehicle to access the mainland securities sector.  </li>
<li>The attributable market cap of Zheshang equals 90% of ZJE's market cap, implying that the toll road business is almost free. However, Zheshang only contributed 16% of ZJE's 1H24 profit.</li>
<li>ZJE trades on 6.7x FY24F PER, vs. 31.3x for Zheshang and 17.6x for H-share securities companies. A stable toll road business also minimises the risk for ZJE.</li>
</ul>


By way of its 54.79% ownership in Zheshang Securities (601878 CH), Zhejiang Expressway Co H (576 HK) is an attractive indirect vehicle to access the mainland securities sector.  
The attributable market cap of Zheshang equals 90% of ZJE's market cap, implying that the toll road business is almost free. However, Zheshang only contributed 16% of ZJE's 1H24 profit.
ZJE trades on 6.7x FY24F PER, vs. 31.3x for Zheshang and 17.6x for H-share securities companies. A stable toll road business also minimises the risk for ZJE.


Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK): Cheap Access to the Roaring Securities Sector

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, DZT Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 184 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 76.8% as of May 29th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 4.3ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, utilities, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking, Datang Power, Haier Smart Home, Huaneng Power Intl.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 184 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 76.8% as of May 29th.
The average A-H premium changed by 4.3ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, utilities, consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking, Datang Power, Haier Smart Home, Huaneng Power Intl.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 29th): Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking

China

CSC Financial Co., Ltd. provides investment management services. The Company offers investment banking, wealth management, and trading and institutional client services. CSC Financial conducts its business in Hong Kong.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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CSC Financial (601066 CH)

CX Daily: As China’s Hidden Local Debts Shrink, a New Challenge Emerges

In Depth: As China’s Hidden Local Debts Shrink, a New Challenge Emerges As mid-2026 approaches, the clock is ticking on one of the...

Caixin Global

CICC (3908 HK): M&A Possibility

CICC announced that it has entered into agreements to merge with Dongxing Securities and Cinda Securities, instead of the widely rumoured China...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CICC (3908 HK): It's Getting More Interesting

Merger boosts earnings for CICC, as the combined group's earnings surged 66.9% in 1Q26. It led the Hong Kong IPO market with strong growth and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK): Cheap Access to the Roaring Securities Sector

Zhejiang Expressway provides indirect cheap access to mainland securities through its ownership in Zheshang Securities, with a stable toll road...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (May 29th): Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CX Daily: As China’s Hidden Local Debts Shrink, a New Challenge Emerges

In Depth: As China’s Hidden Local Debts Shrink, a New Challenge Emerges As mid-2026 approaches, the clock is ticking on one of the...

Caixin Global

CICC (3908 HK): M&A Possibility

CICC announced that it has entered into agreements to merge with Dongxing Securities and Cinda Securities, instead of the widely rumoured China...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CICC (3908 HK): It's Getting More Interesting

​Merger boosts earnings for CICC, as the combined group's earnings surged 66.9% in 1Q26. It led the Hong Kong IPO market with strong growth and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK): Cheap Access to the Roaring Securities Sector

​Zhejiang Expressway provides indirect cheap access to mainland securities through its ownership in Zheshang Securities, with a stable toll road...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (May 29th): Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Merger boosts earnings for CICC, as the combined group's earnings surged 66.9% in 1Q26. It led the Hong Kong IPO market with strong growth and...

Zhejiang Expressway provides indirect cheap access to mainland securities through its ownership in Zheshang Securities, with a stable toll road...