Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Crude oil prices display bullish short-term reversals, resulting in bullish price and RS reversals for global Energy stocks -- add exposure. From a macro perspective, despite some mild price deterioration recently on major indexes around the globe, our outlook remains unchanged and we remain neutral yet constructive overall. Market dynamics remain largely constructive and we continue to see attractive opportunities in many countries/regions such as Japan, China (Shanghai Composite), Europe, India, and Canada, to name a few.

Crude oil prices display bullish short-term reversals, resulting in bullish price and RS reversals for global Energy stocks -- add exposure. From a macro perspective, despite some mild price deterioration recently on major indexes around the globe, our outlook remains unchanged and we remain neutral yet constructive overall. Market dynamics remain largely constructive and we continue to see attractive opportunities in many countries/regions such as Japan, China (Shanghai Composite), Europe, India, and Canada, to name a few.

Global Energy Sector Improving -- Buying Reliance Industries Ltd, Several Others

Wisdomtree Japan Hedged Eq / Technical Analysis

Market dynamics continue to send mixed signals, but the bottom line is that not one MSCI ACWI Sector is breaking down, and important price support levels are holding in the US, Europe, and Japan. Additionally, the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE indexes all remain above critical support levels. Until supports start to break we cannot be bearish. It is also worth noting that various indicators could be making a turn for the better, including early signs of interest rates bottoming in the US and Germany, a potential false breakdown in crude oil, and high yield spreads leveling-out.

Market dynamics continue to send mixed signals, but the bottom line is that not one MSCI ACWI Sector is breaking down, and important price support levels are holding in the US, Europe, and Japan. Additionally, the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE indexes all remain above critical support levels. Until supports start to break we cannot be bearish. It is also worth noting that various indicators could be making a turn for the better, including early signs of interest rates bottoming in the US and Germany, a potential false breakdown in crude oil, and high yield spreads leveling-out.

Critical Supports Holding in the US, Europe, & Japan; Buying Health Care, Utilities, Materials, Tech

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 3rd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol, Transurban, James Hardie Industries.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 3rd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol, Transurban, James Hardie Industries.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 3rd): AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol, Transurban

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-garage-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13747:1" rel="noopener">Digital Garage (4819 JP)</a> is probably too cheap. There is a fair bit of "easy" value there even assuming all the equity affiliate stakes are worth, well, nothing.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-power-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5385:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Power (836 HK)</a> (CRP)'s 81.81%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-new-energy-holdings-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50306:1" rel="noopener">China Resources New Energy (001248 CH)</a> xlosed up ~137% on debut, and worth ~350% of CRP's market cap. That's not sustainable.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atlas-arteria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14430:1" rel="noopener">Atlas Arteria (ALX AU)</a> sticks to its guns, urging shareholders to hold their stock, signalling IFM can pay more. But realistically, IFM has declared terms best &amp; final.</li>
</ul>



Digital Garage (4819 JP) is probably too cheap. There is a fair bit of "easy" value there even assuming all the equity affiliate stakes are worth, well, nothing.

China Resources Power (836 HK) (CRP)'s 81.81%-held China Resources New Energy (001248 CH) xlosed up ~137% on debut, and worth ~350% of CRP's market cap. That's not sustainable.

Atlas Arteria (ALX AU) sticks to its guns, urging shareholders to hold their stock, signalling IFM can pay more. But realistically, IFM has declared terms best &amp; final.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Digital Garage/Kakaku, Chine Resources Power, Atlas Arteria

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 22nd June, published on the 26th June.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.4bn into "Steel"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1.9bn out of "Diversified Metals". Net shorts declined A$1.3bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:917:1" rel="noopener">CSL (CSL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cochlear-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:918:1" rel="noopener">Cochlear (COH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aristocrat-leisure-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10303:1" rel="noopener">Aristocrat Leisure (ALL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP (BHP AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">Rio (RIO AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guzman-y-gomez-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43656:1" rel="noopener">Guzman Y Gomez (GYG AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 22nd June, published on the 26th June.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.4bn into "Steel"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1.9bn out of "Diversified Metals". Net shorts declined A$1.3bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: CSL (CSL AU), Cochlear (COH AU), Aristocrat Leisure (ALL AU), BHP (BHP AU),Rio (RIO AU), and Guzman Y Gomez (GYG AU).


Aussie Shorts [22 June 2026]: CSL, Cochlear, Aristocrat Leisure, BHP, Rio, Guzman Y Gomez

United States

CSL Limited develops, manufactures, and markets human pharmaceutical and diagnostic products derived from human plasma. The Company provides products include pediatric and adult vaccines, infection, pain medicine, skin disorder remedies, antivenoms, anticoagulants, and immunoglobulins.

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CSL (CSL AT)

Global Energy Sector Improving -- Buying Reliance Industries Ltd, Several Others

Crude oil prices display bullish short-term reversals, resulting in bullish price and RS reversals for global Energy stocks -- add exposure.

Vermilion Research

Critical Supports Holding in the US, Europe, & Japan; Buying Health Care, Utilities, Materials, Tech

Various indicators are making a turn for the better, including early signs of interest rates bottoming in the US and Germany, a false breakdown in...

Vermilion Research

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 3rd): AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol, Transurban

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week In Event SPACE: Digital Garage/Kakaku, Chine Resources Power, Atlas Arteria

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Aussie Shorts [22 June 2026]: CSL, Cochlear, Aristocrat Leisure, BHP, Rio, Guzman Y Gomez

Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: CSL (CSL AU), Cochlear (COH AU), Aristocrat Leisure (ALL AU), BHP (BHP AU), Rio (RIO...

David Blennerhassett

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