Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

China National Building Material / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On the 6th December 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a> (CNBM), China's leading building materials company, offered to buy back 841,749,304 H-shares at HK$4.03/share, a 15.1% premium to undisturbed.</li>
<li>This elevated CNBM's parent's stake to 50.01% of total shares from 45.02% currently, necessitating  a whitewash waiver so the parent would not be obliged to make a full blown offer.  </li>
<li>Independent H-shareholder overwhelmingly approved the waiver yesterday, the 19th February. Tendering closes on the 5th March. Minimum pro-ration is 19.24%. I'm estimating at least 35%. The Offer is now unconditional.</li>
</ul>


On the 6th December 2024, China National Building Material (3323 HK) (CNBM), China's leading building materials company, offered to buy back 841,749,304 H-shares at HK$4.03/share, a 15.1% premium to undisturbed.
This elevated CNBM's parent's stake to 50.01% of total shares from 45.02% currently, necessitating  a whitewash waiver so the parent would not be obliged to make a full blown offer.  
Independent H-shareholder overwhelmingly approved the waiver yesterday, the 19th February. Tendering closes on the 5th March. Minimum pro-ration is 19.24%. I'm estimating at least 35%. The Offer is now unconditional.


CNBM (3323 HK): Whitewash Waiver Secured. Next Is The Proration

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Most Western media viewed Xi's weekend handshake with Ma in the meeting with business leaders over the weekend as historical reconciliation. We believe it dangerously missed the mark; </li>
<li>Watch Jiang Fan...His next move to revitalize Taobao/Tmall could mean headwinds to Pinduoduo and JD.com. Taobao/Tmall performed well during CNY;</li>
<li>Alibaba's Apple grab shows its unique ecosystem position in the US-China macrocosm. JD's entry to O2O showed it needed a new growth driver post 2025. </li>
</ul>


Most Western media viewed Xi's weekend handshake with Ma in the meeting with business leaders over the weekend as historical reconciliation. We believe it dangerously missed the mark; 
Watch Jiang Fan...His next move to revitalize Taobao/Tmall could mean headwinds to Pinduoduo and JD.com. Taobao/Tmall performed well during CNY;
Alibaba's Apple grab shows its unique ecosystem position in the US-China macrocosm. JD's entry to O2O showed it needed a new growth driver post 2025. 


[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 7/52]: Xi's Meeting with Ma Went Way Beyond Just Reconciliation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pec-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19415:1" rel="noopener">PEC Ltd. (PEC SP)</a>, a plant and terminal engineering specialist, has (finally) announced an Offer from Allied Energy Services, an engineering entity under the Liberty Group.</li>
<li>Liberty is offering S$0.84/share (not final) - including a AS$0.20/share special  dividend - a 12.8% premium to undisturbed; but really more like a &gt;35% premium. </li>
<li>Irrevocables from the board of 63.38% have been secured. Looks pretty clean. Assuming late May payment, pay up to S$0.79/share for a 6%/15% gross/annualised spread. </li>
</ul>



PEC Ltd. (PEC SP), a plant and terminal engineering specialist, has (finally) announced an Offer from Allied Energy Services, an engineering entity under the Liberty Group.
Liberty is offering S$0.84/share (not final) - including a AS$0.20/share special  dividend - a 12.8% premium to undisturbed; but really more like a &gt;35% premium. 
Irrevocables from the board of 63.38% have been secured. Looks pretty clean. Assuming late May payment, pay up to S$0.79/share for a 6%/15% gross/annualised spread. 


PEC Ltd. (PEC SP): Privatisation Offer From Liberty Group

<ul>
<li>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tam-jai-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34227:1" rel="noopener">Tam Jai  (2217 HK)</a> was suspended, in <a href="https://skr.ma/uHXiV" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tam Jai (2217 HK) Suspended: Expect Toridoll (3397 JP) To Make An Offer</a> I expected an Offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toridoll-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8193:1" rel="noopener">TORIDOLL Holdings (3397 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>I also thought an Offer price ~HK$1.50/share would be welcome, but wasn't hopeful. We got both - a <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0217/2025021701057.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Scheme</a> from Toridoll at HK$1.58/share (best &amp; final).</li>
<li>Clean deal. Just a question of timing. Docs may be delayed to incorporate FY25E (Mar Y/E) financials. </li>
</ul>


After Tam Jai  (2217 HK) was suspended, in Tam Jai (2217 HK) Suspended: Expect Toridoll (3397 JP) To Make An Offer I expected an Offer from TORIDOLL Holdings (3397 JP).
I also thought an Offer price ~HK$1.50/share would be welcome, but wasn't hopeful. We got both - a Scheme from Toridoll at HK$1.58/share (best &amp; final).
Clean deal. Just a question of timing. Docs may be delayed to incorporate FY25E (Mar Y/E) financials. 


Tam Jai (2217 HK): Toridoll (3397 JP)'s Excellent Offer

<ul>
<li>Small-Cap property developer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soundwill-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19318:1" rel="noopener">Soundwill Holdings (878 HK)</a> is currently <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0214/2025021400231.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">suspended</a> pursuant to the Takeovers Code</li>
<li>Soundwill is controlled as to 74.97% by Grace Foo (ED), and her descendants, Wai Ling Chan (deputy chairman), and Hing Tat Chan (chairman). </li>
<li>Soundwill is trading at a staggering 0.08x P/B, with the majority of its book value tied up in investment properties.</li>
</ul>


Small-Cap property developer Soundwill Holdings (878 HK) is currently suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code
Soundwill is controlled as to 74.97% by Grace Foo (ED), and her descendants, Wai Ling Chan (deputy chairman), and Hing Tat Chan (chairman). 
Soundwill is trading at a staggering 0.08x P/B, with the majority of its book value tied up in investment properties.


Soundwill Holdings (878 HK): Privatisation Expected From The Controlling Family

China

Dada Nexus Limited operates a platform for local on-demand retail and delivery. The Company provides a digital solution leveraging the crowdsourcing model to address the challenge of frequent fluctuations brought forward by the nature of on-demand orders and to match the surging demand for delivery capacity with efficient supply. Dada Nexus serves customers in China.

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Dada Nexus (DADA US)

CNBM (3323 HK): Whitewash Waiver Secured. Next Is The Proration

I'm inclined to simply short outright here, if I had guaranteed take-no-action borrow. Especially as the price closes in on the tender price, and...

David Blennerhassett

[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 7/52]: Xi's Meeting with Ma Went Way Beyond Just Reconciliation

Western media praised Xi's handshake with Ma as historic, but missed the mark. Alibaba's moves could impact Pinduoduo and JD.com, highlighting its...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

PEC Ltd. (PEC SP): Privatisation Offer From Liberty Group

This is done. If small, illliquid arbs are your bent, and assuming late May payment, I'd pay up to S$0.79/share for a gross/annualised return of 6%...

David Blennerhassett

Tam Jai (2217 HK): Toridoll (3397 JP)'s Excellent Offer

This is done. No competing Offer will emerge. If payment on or around mid-July, and small-cap arbs are your thing, I'd pay up to HK$1.49/share for...

David Blennerhassett

Soundwill Holdings (878 HK): Privatisation Expected From The Controlling Family

Despite Soundwill's illiquidity, the controlling family probably still needs to offer a premium of 50%-75%. Not just to account for the low P/B...

David Blennerhassett

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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CNBM (3323 HK): Whitewash Waiver Secured. Next Is The Proration

I'm inclined to simply short outright here, if I had guaranteed take-no-action borrow. Especially as the price closes in on the tender price, and...

David Blennerhassett

[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 7/52]: Xi's Meeting with Ma Went Way Beyond Just Reconciliation

​Western media praised Xi's handshake with Ma as historic, but missed the mark. Alibaba's moves could impact Pinduoduo and JD.com, highlighting its...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

PEC Ltd. (PEC SP): Privatisation Offer From Liberty Group

This is done. If small, illliquid arbs are your bent, and assuming late May payment, I'd pay up to S$0.79/share for a gross/annualised return of 6%...

David Blennerhassett

Tam Jai (2217 HK): Toridoll (3397 JP)'s Excellent Offer

This is done. No competing Offer will emerge. If payment on or around mid-July, and small-cap arbs are your thing, I'd pay up to HK$1.49/share for...

David Blennerhassett

Soundwill Holdings (878 HK): Privatisation Expected From The Controlling Family

Despite Soundwill's illiquidity, the controlling family probably still needs to offer a premium of 50%-75%. Not just to account for the low P/B...

David Blennerhassett

Western media praised Xi's handshake with Ma as historic, but missed the mark. Alibaba's moves could impact Pinduoduo and JD.com, highlighting its...