IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/mitsubishi-corp-considering-bid-fujitsus-chip-unit-shinko-electric-sources-2023-10-17/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Reuters reported</a> that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20668:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Corp (8058 JP)</a> is considering a joint bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujitsu-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16968:1" rel="noopener">Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP)</a>’s 50% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Fujitsu first flagged a potential stake sale in its 1HFY22 results last October. Previously rumoured suitors include Apollo Global Management, Bain Capital, Dai Nippon Printing, JIC and KKR.</li>
<li>Shinko’s shares are up 73% YTD, which is not excessive compared to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ibiden-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16630:1" rel="noopener">Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP)</a> (up 63.2% YTD). The valuation is undemanding, which facilitates a potential offer.</li>
</ul>



Reuters reported that Mitsubishi Corp (8058 JP) is considering a joint bid for Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP)’s 50% stake in Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP). 
Fujitsu first flagged a potential stake sale in its 1HFY22 results last October. Previously rumoured suitors include Apollo Global Management, Bain Capital, Dai Nippon Printing, JIC and KKR.
Shinko’s shares are up 73% YTD, which is not excessive compared to Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP) (up 63.2% YTD). The valuation is undemanding, which facilitates a potential offer.


Shinko Electric (6967 JP): Bidders Circle for Fujitsu’s Stake

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei followed by other media outlets revealed Saturday that the JIC (株式会社産業革新投資機構) were in talks with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a> to acquire the photoresist maker for ¥1 trillion.</li>
<li>JSR's release (<a href="https://ssl4.eir-parts.net/doc/4185/tdnet/2302693/00.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Japanese</a>/<a href="https://ssl4.eir-parts.net/doc/4185/ir_material4/209830/00.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">English</a>) noted that they are considering the matter, but no decision has been made. They note, however, a Board of Directors meeting on Monday 26 June 2023.</li>
<li>Articles suggest a Tender Offer "this year", delisting next. ¥1 trillion is a 50% premium. Or 35%. I expect shares go limit up, then we will get more news post-close.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei followed by other media outlets revealed Saturday that the JIC (株式会社産業革新投資機構) were in talks with JSR Corp (4185 JP) to acquire the photoresist maker for ¥1 trillion.
JSR's release (Japanese/English) noted that they are considering the matter, but no decision has been made. They note, however, a Board of Directors meeting on Monday 26 June 2023.
Articles suggest a Tender Offer "this year", delisting next. ¥1 trillion is a 50% premium. Or 35%. I expect shares go limit up, then we will get more news post-close.


JIC To Launch ¥1 Trillion Takeover on JSR (4185)

Japan Petroleum Exploration / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Japanese companies are buying back more stock than ever before, and recent moves by the TSE and METI are effectively pushing for more.</li>
<li>The new goal is to lift PBR and ROE. The easiest way to lift ROE is reduce E. Low-PBR Cos with excess assets and cross-holdings (outbound and inbound) are targets.</li>
<li>In this insight I look at several possible rankings for potential large buyback targets.</li>
</ul>


Japanese companies are buying back more stock than ever before, and recent moves by the TSE and METI are effectively pushing for more.
The new goal is to lift PBR and ROE. The easiest way to lift ROE is reduce E. Low-PBR Cos with excess assets and cross-holdings (outbound and inbound) are targets.
In this insight I look at several possible rankings for potential large buyback targets.


JAPAN GOVERNANCE CHANGES II - Who Could Surprise on Buybacks? Quant Rankings

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Despite the strong performance from Dai Nippon Printing following the announcement of Elliott’s stake we feel upside remains. </li>
<li>Operating results should benefit from normalisation of the economy and light restructuring potential. </li>
<li>In addition, we do not see much evidence to suggest that valuations are particularly stretched.</li>
</ul>


Despite the strong performance from Dai Nippon Printing following the announcement of Elliott’s stake we feel upside remains. 
Operating results should benefit from normalisation of the economy and light restructuring potential. 
In addition, we do not see much evidence to suggest that valuations are particularly stretched.


Dai Nippon Printing – Gauging The Upside

<ul>
<li>Elliott Management was noted several weeks ago to have bought near 5% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dai-nippon-printing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19388:1" rel="noopener">Dai Nippon Printing (7912 JP)</a>. The stock popped when people found out.  </li>
<li>Then the stock popped when the company said they'd announce the outline for their new Mid-Term Management Plan on 9 March, and that would include more capital allocation measures.</li>
<li>Today we got the Outline. There are more capital allocation measures. The numbers look big. Nuance is required to understand the impacts over time.</li>
</ul>


Elliott Management was noted several weeks ago to have bought near 5% of Dai Nippon Printing (7912 JP). The stock popped when people found out.  
Then the stock popped when the company said they'd announce the outline for their new Mid-Term Management Plan on 9 March, and that would include more capital allocation measures.
Today we got the Outline. There are more capital allocation measures. The numbers look big. Nuance is required to understand the impacts over time.


Dai Nippon Printing (7912) - Whoop There It Is! ¥100bn Buyback in a Year, ¥300bn in 3yrs

Japan

DAI NIPPON PRINTING CO., LTD. offers printing services for commercial and industrial use.  The printing items include information media such as books, periodicals, and text books, wrapping paper and containers, stationeries, and advertising medium.  The Company provides design and production services as well.  Dai Nippon Printing also produces soft drinks including Coca Cola.

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Dai Nippon Printing (7912 JP)

Shinko Electric (6967 JP): Bidders Circle for Fujitsu’s Stake

Mitsubishi Corp is the latest rumoured suitor. Shinko’s shares are up 73% YTD, which is not excessive compared to Ibiden (63.2% YTD). The valuation...

Arun George

JIC To Launch ¥1 Trillion Takeover on JSR (4185)

News Saturday says govt-affiliated JIC will buy JSR (4185) for ¥1trln (EV or market cap?, either 50% or 35% premium). This may not be great for...

Travis Lundy

JAPAN GOVERNANCE CHANGES II - Who Could Surprise on Buybacks? Quant Rankings

JAPAN GOVERNANCE: There is a buyback story coming. It will be big. Bigger than the past year or two, and it will continue. What to buy?

Travis Lundy

Dai Nippon Printing – Gauging The Upside

Despite the rapid surge in the share price we remain rather bullish on Dai Nippon Printing as we consider valuations to still be reasonable when...

Mio Kato

Dai Nippon Printing (7912) - Whoop There It Is! ¥100bn Buyback in a Year, ¥300bn in 3yrs

DNP (7912) has announced the capital allocation measures they said they would. The headline numbers are big. ¥300bn of buybacks over 3yrs. 70+% of...

Travis Lundy

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