Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mizuho-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:219:1" rel="noopener">Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)</a>'s cross-shareholding.</li>
<li>Mizuho had a stake over US$100m in at least 34 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of around US$7bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.</li>
</ul>


Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)'s cross-shareholding.
Mizuho had a stake over US$100m in at least 34 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of around US$7bn.
In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.


Mizuho Cross-Shareholding - US$11bn of Cross-Shareholding, with at Least US$2bn to Sell over FY24-26

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

<ul>
<li>Ito-Yokado’s withdrawal from the Hokkaido market has proven a windfall for affiliated chain, Daiichi. </li>
<li>The Hokkaido supermarket has already opened new stores in sites vacated by Ito-Yokado – the only difficulty has been finding ways to fill the larger spaces.</li>
<li>Now Arcs is waiting in the wings in case Daiichi becomes available for takeover – Arcs' chairman owns 1% of Daiichi personally.</li>
</ul>


Ito-Yokado’s withdrawal from the Hokkaido market has proven a windfall for affiliated chain, Daiichi. 
The Hokkaido supermarket has already opened new stores in sites vacated by Ito-Yokado – the only difficulty has been finding ways to fill the larger spaces.
Now Arcs is waiting in the wings in case Daiichi becomes available for takeover – Arcs' chairman owns 1% of Daiichi personally.


Daiichi a Possible Target for Arcs Takeover as Gains in Hokkaido

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The following is an in-depth review of the Japanese retail sector in 2021-22 and is designed to provide a complete overview for any investor in Japanese retail/consumer markets.</li>
<li>FY2021-22 proved a rebound year for retailers at the sector level. But on a company by company basis, there has been radical divergence between the best and the rest. </li>
<li>We look at the reasons for this divergence and the implications for Japanese retail and consumer firms in the years ahead.</li>
</ul>


The following is an in-depth review of the Japanese retail sector in 2021-22 and is designed to provide a complete overview for any investor in Japanese retail/consumer markets.
FY2021-22 proved a rebound year for retailers at the sector level. But on a company by company basis, there has been radical divergence between the best and the rest. 
We look at the reasons for this divergence and the implications for Japanese retail and consumer firms in the years ahead.


Japanese Retailing 2021-22: What's Really Going on and What's Next?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>In response to a <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/business/business-deals/japan-electronics-sellers-yamada-edion-plan-merger-to-create-industry-giant" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nikkei article</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/edion-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14358:1" rel="noopener">Edion Corp (2730 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamada-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:641:1" rel="noopener">Yamada Holdings (9831 JP)</a> confirmed that they are considering a merger, presumably through a share exchange. </li>
<li>The deal is strategically sensible as it would establish Japan’s largest electronics retailer. However, a divestment of stores may be required for antitrust approval.</li>
<li>The plan is long-dated. The lack of controlling shareholders necessitates a “fair” exchange ratio. My estimated Edion/Yamada exchange ratio ranges from 3.87x to 4.35x.</li>
</ul>


In response to a Nikkei article, Edion Corp (2730 JP) and Yamada Holdings (9831 JP) confirmed that they are considering a merger, presumably through a share exchange. 
The deal is strategically sensible as it would establish Japan’s largest electronics retailer. However, a divestment of stores may be required for antitrust approval.
The plan is long-dated. The lack of controlling shareholders necessitates a “fair” exchange ratio. My estimated Edion/Yamada exchange ratio ranges from 3.87x to 4.35x.


Edion (2370 JP)/Yamada (9831 JP) Potential Merger to Establish Japan’s Largest Electronics Retailer

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Bank (11 HK)</a> is trading tight  - perhaps too tight - to terms, as every punter views the deal as a term deposit.</li>
<li>Be long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/welcia-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20895:1" rel="noopener">Welcia Holdings (3141 JP)</a>. Be long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsuruha-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9536:1" rel="noopener">Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)</a>. Buy dips. Buy big dips post-tender. Future guidance will include synergy effects.</li>
<li>Richard Li's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:874:1" rel="noopener">HKT Ltd (6823 HK)</a> is in the crosshairs as FCC moves to expel the telco from U.S. networks. </li>
</ul>



Hang Seng Bank (11 HK) is trading tight  - perhaps too tight - to terms, as every punter views the deal as a term deposit.
Be long Welcia Holdings (3141 JP). Be long Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP). Buy dips. Buy big dips post-tender. Future guidance will include synergy effects.
Richard Li's HKT Ltd (6823 HK) is in the crosshairs as FCC moves to expel the telco from U.S. networks. 


Last Week In Event SPACE: Hang Seng, Welcia/Tsuruha, HKT, Genting, Daiichi, Aussie Rare Earths

Japan

DAIICHI CO., LTD. operates food supermarkets in Hokkaido.  The Company also sells sundry goods and daily products.

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Daiichi Co Ltd (7643 JP)

Mizuho Cross-Shareholding - US$11bn of Cross-Shareholding, with at Least US$2bn to Sell over FY24-26

Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)'s cross-shareholding.

Sumeet Singh

Daiichi a Possible Target for Arcs Takeover as Gains in Hokkaido

Ito-Yokado's exit from Hokkaido benefits Daiichi, which is moving into the former's old stores. But with only Aeon as a competitor in the island,...

Michael Causton

Japanese Retailing 2021-22: What's Really Going on and What's Next?

There is increasing divergence between the winners and losers in Japanese retailing and the following in-depth review looks at performance in the...

Michael Causton

Edion (2370 JP)/Yamada (9831 JP) Potential Merger to Establish Japan’s Largest Electronics Retailer

The rumoured deal is sensible. The lack of controlling shareholders necessitates a “fair” exchange ratio. My estimated Edion/Yamada exchange ratio...

Arun George

Last Week In Event SPACE: Hang Seng, Welcia/Tsuruha, HKT, Genting, Daiichi, Aussie Rare Earths

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Mizuho Cross-Shareholding - US$11bn of Cross-Shareholding, with at Least US$2bn to Sell over FY24-26

Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)'s cross-shareholding.

Sumeet Singh

Daiichi a Possible Target for Arcs Takeover as Gains in Hokkaido

​Ito-Yokado's exit from Hokkaido benefits Daiichi, which is moving into the former's old stores. But with only Aeon as a competitor in the island,...

Michael Causton

Japanese Retailing 2021-22: What's Really Going on and What's Next?

There is increasing divergence between the winners and losers in Japanese retailing and the following in-depth review looks at performance in the...

Michael Causton

Edion (2370 JP)/Yamada (9831 JP) Potential Merger to Establish Japan’s Largest Electronics Retailer

The rumoured deal is sensible. The lack of controlling shareholders necessitates a “fair” exchange ratio. My estimated Edion/Yamada exchange ratio...

Arun George

Last Week In Event SPACE: Hang Seng, Welcia/Tsuruha, HKT, Genting, Daiichi, Aussie Rare Earths

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Ito-Yokado's exit from Hokkaido benefits Daiichi, which is moving into the former's old stores. But with only Aeon as a competitor in the island,...