Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>SGX has launched futures on the Nikkei Climate 1.5°C Target Index. The index is based on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei225</a> and uses screens to remove stocks that do not meet certain criteria.</li>
<li>The Nikkei Climate 1.5°C Target Index has a high degree of overlap and correlation and low tracking error with the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>With increased interest in Climate/ESG investing, market participants can use the SGX-listed futures to get the same risk/reward characteristics as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei225</a> with atleast 50% lower Greenhouse Gas emission intensity.</li>
</ul>


SGX has launched futures on the Nikkei Climate 1.5°C Target Index. The index is based on the Nikkei225 and uses screens to remove stocks that do not meet certain criteria.
The Nikkei Climate 1.5°C Target Index has a high degree of overlap and correlation and low tracking error with the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX). 
With increased interest in Climate/ESG investing, market participants can use the SGX-listed futures to get the same risk/reward characteristics as the Nikkei225 with atleast 50% lower Greenhouse Gas emission intensity.


SGX Nikkei 225 Climate PAB Futures: A Cleaner Way to Invest in Japan

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Every year it's the same trade. But it isn't really. But it kinda is. This year it is Wednesday and Thursday. There are risks to the analysis - notably allocation.</li>
<li>But, ceteris paribus, it is still possibly a ¥1,580,876,450,407 buying spree to take place on one day into the close later this month. Or something close to it.</li>
<li>And for a two-day period, over the last ten years, the average return is 1.60% on these two days with a 9:1 win ratio. Lots of angles here.</li>
</ul>


Every year it's the same trade. But it isn't really. But it kinda is. This year it is Wednesday and Thursday. There are risks to the analysis - notably allocation.
But, ceteris paribus, it is still possibly a ¥1,580,876,450,407 buying spree to take place on one day into the close later this month. Or something close to it.
And for a two-day period, over the last ten years, the average return is 1.60% on these two days with a 9:1 win ratio. Lots of angles here.


The BIG March 2023 "Wednesday Thursday Trade"

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX close near Feb lows as US 2Y hits 4.82%; Inflation -   Mkt sees higher for longer; AMAT disrupt ASML Monopoly? ;  GS gets thumbs down; TESLA DAY</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs flat vs Cash; USDJPY 136.2;  Toshiba Deal in Doubt; Bullish Calbee Investment Plan; Chinese Real Estate Mkt looking up: + Daikin/Toto; Broker Sell D/G: Makita, Nippon Steel</li>
<li>NUGGET:  Cyberagent - Loss Making Media business set for a turnaround. Looking discounted and the sell off since late 2021,  and given the outlook for its 3 businesses.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX close near Feb lows as US 2Y hits 4.82%; Inflation -   Mkt sees higher for longer; AMAT disrupt ASML Monopoly? ;  GS gets thumbs down; TESLA DAY
JAPAN. NKY Futs flat vs Cash; USDJPY 136.2;  Toshiba Deal in Doubt; Bullish Calbee Investment Plan; Chinese Real Estate Mkt looking up: + Daikin/Toto; Broker Sell D/G: Makita, Nippon Steel
NUGGET:  Cyberagent - Loss Making Media business set for a turnaround. Looking discounted and the sell off since late 2021,  and given the outlook for its 3 businesses.


Good Morning Japan |SPX: Top-Left, Bottom-Right Feb; US2YR@4.82 ; JP Baby Crisis; Nugget: CyberAgent

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX resumes rally as Powell Speech affirms 5% Peak rates;   Beta dominates as Energy and Tech lead; Oil rebound as EIA sees higher Oil +  Saudis lift prices</li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.1% (flat) vs Cash;  Inbound headwinds as China excludes Japan from Group tours;  Son skips Softbank brief in wake of Vision fund disaster; Nintendo/Switch - its Over!</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGETS. Nintendo - Game Over. Is our view.  The Switch is getting old and we are past the peak..</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX resumes rally as Powell Speech affirms 5% Peak rates;   Beta dominates as Energy and Tech lead; Oil rebound as EIA sees higher Oil +  Saudis lift prices
JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.1% (flat) vs Cash;  Inbound headwinds as China excludes Japan from Group tours;  Son skips Softbank brief in wake of Vision fund disaster; Nintendo/Switch - its Over!
DAILY NUGGETS. Nintendo - Game Over. Is our view.  The Switch is getting old and we are past the peak..


Good Morning Japan |Peak Rates Still 5% Post Powell - Beta Roars Back; Inbound-China Excludes Japan

<ul>
<li>The original bid was supposed to be presented fully-funded by 30 September 2022. Then it was early November, then late November, then early December, late Dec, early Jan, end Jan. </li>
<li>Today we find out that The Banks and The Preferred JIP Bidding Consortium will aim to reach agreement by 3 Feb. The Bloomberg article details are newish, and odd. </li>
<li>Shares have deteriorated and vs Peers, they are at their lowest point in many months. And the details do not make me confident this deal is clean yet. </li>
</ul>


The original bid was supposed to be presented fully-funded by 30 September 2022. Then it was early November, then late November, then early December, late Dec, early Jan, end Jan. 
Today we find out that The Banks and The Preferred JIP Bidding Consortium will aim to reach agreement by 3 Feb. The Bloomberg article details are newish, and odd. 
Shares have deteriorated and vs Peers, they are at their lowest point in many months. And the details do not make me confident this deal is clean yet. 


Toshiba (6502) - Funding Mostly Secured, Still, Again, Maybe. Or Maybe Not. Or Not.

Japan

DAIKIN INDUSTRIES, LTD. manufactures air conditioning equipment for household and commercial use.  The Company also produces fluorine chemical products such as fluorinated hydrocarbon gas and shells and warheads for defense industry.

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Daikin Industries (6367 JP)

SGX Nikkei 225 Climate PAB Futures: A Cleaner Way to Invest in Japan

With increased interest in Climate investing, market participants can use the SGX listed futures to get a similar risk/reward as the Nikkei225 with...

Brian Freitas

The BIG March 2023 "Wednesday Thursday Trade"

This year, there is a US$12bn buy to do on 29 March at the close. Historically, performance is pretty good both on a 2-day period, then slumps....

Travis Lundy

Good Morning Japan |SPX: Top-Left, Bottom-Right Feb; [email protected] ; JP Baby Crisis; Nugget: CyberAgent

SPX closes Feb on the lows; Baby Crisis in Japan. Toshiba Deal in Doubt; Bullish Calbee Investment Plan; Chinese Real Estate Mkt looking up: +...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |Peak Rates Still 5% Post Powell - Beta Roars Back; Inbound-China Excludes Japan

NKY indicated flate; Inbound headwinds as China exludes Japan from Group tours; Son skips Softbank brief in wake of Vision fund disaster; Nintendo...

Mark Chadwick

Toshiba (6502) - Funding Mostly Secured, Still, Again, Maybe. Or Maybe Not. Or Not.

A new Bloomberg article tells me JIP/Banks negotiations are extended 3 more days to breach what seems an impossible impasse. This just doesn't seem...

Travis Lundy

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