Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Conservative (CDU/CSU) chancellor-elect Merz should be able to form a stable coalition with SPD, but his "independence from America" requires massive constitutional amendments by 25Mar'25 allowing huge defense/infrastructure spending boosts. </li>
<li>This is a self-goal: the time for independence from America was 3 years ago, when instead Germany followed Biden's command to self-harm itself with a ban on Russian energy imports. </li>
<li>If Germany successfully leads an EU defense/infrastructure spending boom, Trump would still achieve his goal. But Germany would have missed the easier route to recovery via liberalized Russian energy imports. </li>
</ul>


Conservative (CDU/CSU) chancellor-elect Merz should be able to form a stable coalition with SPD, but his "independence from America" requires massive constitutional amendments by 25Mar'25 allowing huge defense/infrastructure spending boosts. 
This is a self-goal: the time for independence from America was 3 years ago, when instead Germany followed Biden's command to self-harm itself with a ban on Russian energy imports. 
If Germany successfully leads an EU defense/infrastructure spending boom, Trump would still achieve his goal. But Germany would have missed the easier route to recovery via liberalized Russian energy imports. 


Germany: Merz Call for 'independence from America' Could Be Ill-Timed Self-Goal

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Novelis Corporation / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novelis-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39969:1" rel="noopener">Novelis Corporation (0620365D US)</a> Novelis is looking to raise US$1.2bn in its upcoming US IPO. The firm is owned by Indian-listed Hindalco. The deal will consist of 100% secondary shares.</li>
<li>Novelis is a global provider of aluminum solutions for the beverage packaging, automotive markets, specialties markets and aerospace.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.</li>
</ul>



Novelis Corporation (0620365D US) Novelis is looking to raise US$1.2bn in its upcoming US IPO. The firm is owned by Indian-listed Hindalco. The deal will consist of 100% secondary shares.
Novelis is a global provider of aluminum solutions for the beverage packaging, automotive markets, specialties markets and aerospace.
In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.


Novelis Pre-IPO - Leader in Most Categories, Although End Markets’ Aren’t Really Growing Much

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the DAX index and the MDAX index in the run up to the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>I currently see no changes for the DAX index but there could be one change for the MDAX index.</li>
<li>M&amp;A candidate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/morphosys-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21675:1" rel="noopener">MorphoSys AG (MOR GR)</a> could be deleted in the run up to the June 2024 review.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the DAX index and the MDAX index in the run up to the June 2024 index rebal event.
I currently see no changes for the DAX index but there could be one change for the MDAX index.
M&amp;A candidate MorphoSys AG (MOR GR) could be deleted in the run up to the June 2024 review.


Quiddity Leaderboard DAX/MDAX Mar 24: Traton Could Outperform the DAX Index

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.</li>
<li>As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.</li>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks</li>
</ul>


Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.
As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.
Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks


Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>DAX is a German blue-chip index that currently tracks the 40 largest companies listed on the Regulated Market of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. </li>
<li>The DAX Index is reviewed on a quarterly basis in March, June, September, and December. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential constituency changes that can happen in the March 2022 review.</li>
</ul>


DAX is a German blue-chip index that currently tracks the 40 largest companies listed on the Regulated Market of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. 
The DAX Index is reviewed on a quarterly basis in March, June, September, and December. 
In this insight, we take a look at the potential constituency changes that can happen in the March 2022 review.


DAX Index: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 (2.0)

Germany

Daimler Truck Holding AG operates as an automobile company. The Company designs and manufactures commercial trucks and buses. Daimler Truck Holding serves customers worldwide.

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Daimler Truck Holding (DTG GR)

Germany: Merz Call for 'independence from America' Could Be Ill-Timed Self-Goal

Chancellor-elect Merz is mounting an improbable bid to achieve 'independence from America', as the requisite boost to defence/infra spending...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Novelis Pre-IPO - Leader in Most Categories, Although End Markets’ Aren’t Really Growing Much

Novelis Corporation (0620365D US) Novelis is looking to raise US$1.2bn in its upcoming US IPO. The firm is owned by Indian-listed Hindalco. The...

Clarence Chu

Quiddity Leaderboard DAX/MDAX Mar 24: Traton Could Outperform the DAX Index

Commercial vehicle manufacturer Traton is a strong candidate for MDAX addition. The expected index flow could act as a catalyst and help the stock...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Overall Outlook Intact; $DXY Rolling Over; Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

DAX Index: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 (2.0)

A look at the potential adds and potential deletes for the DAX index in the March 2022 review. Our estimates show there could be one or two changes.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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Germany: Merz Call for 'independence from America' Could Be Ill-Timed Self-Goal

​Chancellor-elect Merz is mounting an improbable bid to achieve 'independence from America', as the requisite boost to defence/infra spending...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Novelis Pre-IPO - Leader in Most Categories, Although End Markets’ Aren’t Really Growing Much

Novelis Corporation (0620365D US) Novelis is looking to raise US$1.2bn in its upcoming US IPO. The firm is owned by Indian-listed Hindalco. The...

Clarence Chu

Quiddity Leaderboard DAX/MDAX Mar 24: Traton Could Outperform the DAX Index

Commercial vehicle manufacturer Traton is a strong candidate for MDAX addition. The expected index flow could act as a catalyst and help the stock...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Overall Outlook Intact; $DXY Rolling Over; Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

DAX Index: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 (2.0)

A look at the potential adds and potential deletes for the DAX index in the March 2022 review. Our estimates show there could be one or two changes.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Chancellor-elect Merz is mounting an improbable bid to achieve 'independence from America', as the requisite boost to defence/infra spending...