Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Four years ago, almost to the day, Bloomberg ran an article, "China Merchants Group Ltd. is exploring taking China Merchants Port Holdings private". <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-port-holdings-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15155:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Ports (144 HK)</a> popped 23%.</li>
<li>CMP gave back (most) of that gain a month later. Shares are up just ~10% since. </li>
<li>CMP's implied stub is bouncing around a multi-year low; and the simple ratio (CMP/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-international-port-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14806:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai International Port Group (600018 CH)</a>) is around an all-time low.</li>
</ul>


Four years ago, almost to the day, Bloomberg ran an article, "China Merchants Group Ltd. is exploring taking China Merchants Port Holdings private". China Merchants Ports (144 HK) popped 23%.
CMP gave back (most) of that gain a month later. Shares are up just ~10% since. 
CMP's implied stub is bouncing around a multi-year low; and the simple ratio (CMP/ Shanghai International Port Group (600018 CH)) is around an all-time low.


Revisiting China Merchants Ports (144 HK)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 114.1% as of Mar 24th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.6ppt week on week, led by information technology, industrials, utilities and offset by communication services, consumer discretionary, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Dongfang Electric, CEEC, Great Wall Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 114.1% as of Mar 24th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.6ppt week on week, led by information technology, industrials, utilities and offset by communication services, consumer discretionary, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Dongfang Electric, CEEC, Great Wall Motor.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 24th): Dongfang Electric, CEEC, Great Wall Motor

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.5% as of Mar 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.6ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, information technology and offset by communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Telecom, China Shenhua, Great Wall Motor, CEEC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.5% as of Mar 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.6ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, information technology and offset by communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Telecom, China Shenhua, Great Wall Motor, CEEC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 17th): China Telecom, China Shenhua, Great Wall Motor, CEEC

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 115.1% as of Mar 10th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.2ppt week on week, led by health care, communication services, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua, PetroChina, China Southern, ZTE, CRRC, CICC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 115.1% as of Mar 10th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.2ppt week on week, led by health care, communication services, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua, PetroChina, China Southern, ZTE, CRRC, CICC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 10th): China Shenhua, PetroChina, China Southern, ZTE, CRRC, CICC

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.9% as of Mar 3rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.3ppt week on week, led by communication services, consumer discretionary, financials and offset by real estate, information technology, industrials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Xinjiang Goldwind, ZTE, China Southern, CRRC, GWM, China Telecom, CCCC, China Oilfield.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.9% as of Mar 3rd.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.3ppt week on week, led by communication services, consumer discretionary, financials and offset by real estate, information technology, industrials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Xinjiang Goldwind, ZTE, China Southern, CRRC, GWM, China Telecom, CCCC, China Oilfield.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 3rd): Xinjiang Goldwind, ZTE, China Southern, CRRC, GWM, China Telecom

China

Liaoning Port Co.,Ltd. provides logistics services. The Company offers container handling, container transportation, crude oil warehousing, gross cargo transportation, and other services. Liaoning Port provides its services throughout China.

Liaoning Port (2880 HK)

Revisiting China Merchants Ports (144 HK)

For now, I would expect CMG to continue to chip away at CMP (144 HK)'s minorities - it currently holds 72.02%, up from 63.09% when the...

David Blennerhassett

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 24th): Dongfang Electric, CEEC, Great Wall Motor

We analyzed WoW changes in A-H premium and highlight changes in A-H premium for Dongfang Electric, CEEC, Great Wall Motor.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 17th): China Telecom, China Shenhua, Great Wall Motor, CEEC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Telecom, China Shenhua, Great Wall Motor, CEEC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 10th): China Shenhua, PetroChina, China Southern, ZTE, CRRC, CICC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Shenhua, PetroChina, China Southern, ZTE, CRRC, CICC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 3rd): Xinjiang Goldwind, ZTE, China Southern, CRRC, GWM, China Telecom

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Xinjiang Goldwind, ZTE, China Southern, CRRC, GWM, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM