Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Four years ago, almost to the day, Bloomberg ran an article, "China Merchants Group Ltd. is exploring taking China Merchants Port Holdings private". <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-port-holdings-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15155:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Ports (144 HK)</a> popped 23%.</li>
<li>CMP gave back (most) of that gain a month later. Shares are up just ~10% since. </li>
<li>CMP's implied stub is bouncing around a multi-year low; and the simple ratio (CMP/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-international-port-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14806:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai International Port Group (600018 CH)</a>) is around an all-time low.</li>
</ul>


Four years ago, almost to the day, Bloomberg ran an article, "China Merchants Group Ltd. is exploring taking China Merchants Port Holdings private". China Merchants Ports (144 HK) popped 23%.
CMP gave back (most) of that gain a month later. Shares are up just ~10% since. 
CMP's implied stub is bouncing around a multi-year low; and the simple ratio (CMP/ Shanghai International Port Group (600018 CH)) is around an all-time low.


Revisiting China Merchants Ports (144 HK)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 62.9% as of Nov 28th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, energy and offset by real estate, information technology, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern Airlines, Cig Shanghai.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 62.9% as of Nov 28th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, energy and offset by real estate, information technology, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern Airlines, Cig Shanghai.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 28th): Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern Airlines

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 62.2% as of Oct 31st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, financials and offset by real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities, Guangzhou Automobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 62.2% as of Oct 31st.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, financials and offset by real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities, Guangzhou Automobile.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 31st): Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 31st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CNOOC, SMIC, Alibaba, China Mobile, CSPC Pharma, Tencent, Meituan, Li Auto.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 31st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for CNOOC, SMIC, Alibaba, China Mobile, CSPC Pharma, Tencent, Meituan, Li Auto.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 31st): CNOOC, SMIC, Alibaba, China Mobile, CSPC Pharma, Tencent

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 26th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Shandong Hi-Speed, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile, CSPC Pharma, China Telecom, HKEx, Hua Hong Semiconductor.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 26th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Shandong Hi-Speed, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile, CSPC Pharma, China Telecom, HKEx, Hua Hong Semiconductor.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 26th): Alibaba, Shandong Hi-Speed, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile

China

Liaoning Port Co.,Ltd. provides logistics services. The Company offers container handling, container transportation, crude oil warehousing, gross cargo transportation, and other services. Liaoning Port provides its services throughout China.

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Liaoning Port (2880 HK)

Revisiting China Merchants Ports (144 HK)

For now, I would expect CMG to continue to chip away at CMP (144 HK)'s minorities - it currently holds 72.02%, up from 63.09% when the...

David Blennerhassett

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 28th): Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern Airlines

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 31st): Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities, Guangzhou...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 31st): CNOOC, SMIC, Alibaba, China Mobile, CSPC Pharma, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for CNOOC, SMIC, Alibaba, China Mobile, CSPC Pharma, Tencent,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 26th): Alibaba, Shandong Hi-Speed, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba (9988 HK), Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK), Meituan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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