Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Global clean energy trends show accelerating momentum with regional divergences.</li><li>UBS forecasts a five-year boom in energy storage as AI-driven data center demand surges, while US solar project delays continue to ease with 32 GW expected through late 2026.</li><li>EV markets split sharply, China and Europe posted strong October sales, but US demand plunged after tax credits expired. T</li></ul>

Global clean energy trends show accelerating momentum with regional divergences.UBS forecasts a five-year boom in energy storage as AI-driven data center demand surges, while US solar project delays continue to ease with 32 GW expected through late 2026.EV markets split sharply, China and Europe posted strong October sales, but US demand plunged after tax credits expired. T

Sustainable Investing Surveyor : Focus on Darling Ingredients, Inc. - 17 November 2025

<div><ul><li>We are initiating coverage of Darling Ingredients, Inc. (NYSE: DAR), which is a global leader in sustainable solutions. </li><li>The company’s business model is rooted in the circular economy, transforming animal by-products, used cooking oil (UCO), and other waste streams into valuable ingredients for animal and human nutrition, and renewable fuel. </li><li>The company’s Diamond Green Diesel (DGD) joint venture (JV) with Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) is the largest renewable diesel (RD) producer in the US, with 1.2 billion gallons of combined RD and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) capacity.</li></ul></div>

We are initiating coverage of Darling Ingredients, Inc. (NYSE: DAR), which is a global leader in sustainable solutions. The company’s business model is rooted in the circular economy, transforming animal by-products, used cooking oil (UCO), and other waste streams into valuable ingredients for animal and human nutrition, and renewable fuel. The company’s Diamond Green Diesel (DGD) joint venture (JV) with Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) is the largest renewable diesel (RD) producer in the US, with 1.2 billion gallons of combined RD and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) capacity.

DAR: Leveraging "Sustainable Oil Field" For Feed and Food; Renewable Fuels-Led Recovery Ahead

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><ul><li>The Circular Carbon and Environmental Solutions sector offers investors a structural, multi-decade opportunity set.</li><li>This is driven by tightening clean fuel mandates, domestic energy and resource security priorities, and mandatory environmental remediation.</li><li>After a 2024–25 period defined by oversupply, policy uncertainty, and capital discipline, the industry has surfaced in 2026 with a structurally improved setup. </li></ul></div>

The Circular Carbon and Environmental Solutions sector offers investors a structural, multi-decade opportunity set.This is driven by tightening clean fuel mandates, domestic energy and resource security priorities, and mandatory environmental remediation.After a 2024–25 period defined by oversupply, policy uncertainty, and capital discipline, the industry has surfaced in 2026 with a structurally improved setup. 

Primer: Energy Transition : Circular Carbon and Environmental Solutions - 17 June 2026

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>After downgrading our outlook to neutral in our 3/3/26 Compass, we further downgraded our outlook to bearish last week (3/31/26 Compass)...</li>
<li>...with the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) violating major support at 6480-6520, Nasdaq futures (NQ) violating 24,000 support, and the Russell 2000 (IWM) breaking down below crucial $245 support.</li>
<li>Quick reclaims are technically bullish, but we discussed last week how we'd be sellers on rallies to 6480-6520 and the 200-day MA on SPX(currently 6648), and that remains our playbook.</li>
</ul>


After downgrading our outlook to neutral in our 3/3/26 Compass, we further downgraded our outlook to bearish last week (3/31/26 Compass)...
...with the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) violating major support at 6480-6520, Nasdaq futures (NQ) violating 24,000 support, and the Russell 2000 (IWM) breaking down below crucial $245 support.
Quick reclaims are technically bullish, but we discussed last week how we'd be sellers on rallies to 6480-6520 and the 200-day MA on SPX(currently 6648), and that remains our playbook.


Concerns Persist; SPX Testing Resistance at 21-Day EMA and Near 200-Day MA; Bearish Outlook Intact

<ul>
<li>The SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) continue to hold above short-term support at their respective 20-day MAs (currently 5966 on SPX, $526.50 on QQQ, $208.75 on IWM)</li>
<li>As long as 20-day MA supports hold, our near-term bullish outlook that we have had since our 4/22/25 Compass remains intact.</li>
<li>We will need to see breakdowns below 20-day MA supports in order to expect any meaningful near-term downside.</li>
</ul>


The SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) continue to hold above short-term support at their respective 20-day MAs (currently 5966 on SPX, $526.50 on QQQ, $208.75 on IWM)
As long as 20-day MA supports hold, our near-term bullish outlook that we have had since our 4/22/25 Compass remains intact.
We will need to see breakdowns below 20-day MA supports in order to expect any meaningful near-term downside.


20-Day MA Supports Holding on SPX, QQQ, IWM; Bullish Outlook Intact

United States

Darling Ingredients Inc. collects and recycles animal processing by-products and used restaurant cooking oil.  The Company also provides grease trap collection services to restaurants.  Darling processes such raw materials into finished products such as tallow, meat and bone meal, and yellow grease for sale in the United States and overseas.

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Darling Ingredients (DAR US)

Sustainable Investing Surveyor : Focus on Darling Ingredients, Inc. - 17 November 2025

UBS forecasts a five-year boom in energy storage as AI-driven data center demand surges, while US solar project delays continue to ease with 32 GW...

Water Tower Research

DAR: Leveraging "Sustainable Oil Field" For Feed and Food; Renewable Fuels-Led Recovery Ahead

We are initiating coverage of Darling Ingredients, Inc. (NYSE: DAR), which is a global leader in sustainable solutions. The company’s business...

Water Tower Research

Primer: Energy Transition : Circular Carbon and Environmental Solutions - 17 June 2026

After a 2024–25 period defined by oversupply, policy uncertainty, and capital discipline, the industry has surfaced in 2026 with a structurally...

Water Tower Research

Concerns Persist; SPX Testing Resistance at 21-Day EMA and Near 200-Day MA; Bearish Outlook Intact

Concerns Persist; $SPX Testing Resistance at 21-day EMA and Near 200-day MA; Bearish Outlook Intact. Actionable ideas within Staples $XLP and...

Vermilion Research

20-Day MA Supports Holding on SPX, QQQ, IWM; Bullish Outlook Intact

20-Day MA Supports Holding on $SPX, $QQQ, and $IWM. As long as 20-day MA supports hold, our near-term bullish outlook that we have had since our 4...

Vermilion Research

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