Market Intelligence, ORTEX

ORTEX Market Intel

Market Intelligence

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Short interest moved sharply across both directions this week.</li><li>FERG and FTV led a burst of new bearish positioning in industrials, while CRWV and PPLC saw heavy short covering.</li><li>Earnings season drove most of the action, with borrow costs and availability swinging hard around report dates.</li></ul>

Short interest moved sharply across both directions this week.FERG and FTV led a burst of new bearish positioning in industrials, while CRWV and PPLC saw heavy short covering.Earnings season drove most of the action, with borrow costs and availability swinging hard around report dates.

Short Sellers Charge Into Industrials, Exit Tech

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>In today's report we highlight key levels and several metrics we are watching that will provide us clues as to where the S&amp;P 500 is headed next. We also highlight several attractive stocks from a relative strength perspective across Sectors.</p>

In today's report we highlight key levels and several metrics we are watching that will provide us clues as to where the S&amp;P 500 is headed next. We also highlight several attractive stocks from a relative strength perspective across Sectors.

U.S. Equities: Upside Momentum Lost, But Not Breaking Down

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>This report looks at SaaS-Software versus Hyperscalers. Which group is getting cheapest and is attractive? Is the steep Software correction justified by SaaSpocalypse? I add FinTech and eComm. </li>
<li>The overall market’s direction says that it’s not time to buy anything. However, we still can think about the merits, risk/reward, valuations/growth of different sectors. </li>
<li>Conclusions 1) SaaS-Software has derated to a level consistent with earnings growth 2) Hyperscalers tend to outperform with lower volatility 3) a couple of FinTechs are interesting.</li>
</ul>


This report looks at SaaS-Software versus Hyperscalers. Which group is getting cheapest and is attractive? Is the steep Software correction justified by SaaSpocalypse? I add FinTech and eComm. 
The overall market’s direction says that it’s not time to buy anything. However, we still can think about the merits, risk/reward, valuations/growth of different sectors. 
Conclusions 1) SaaS-Software has derated to a level consistent with earnings growth 2) Hyperscalers tend to outperform with lower volatility 3) a couple of FinTechs are interesting.


Is Software Getting Cheap? De-Rating, but Not Cheap. Hyperscalers and Some Fintech More Interesting.

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>GitLab Inc. is a complete DevSecOps platform delivered as a single application that empowers organizations to maximize the overall return on software development.</li>
<li>In October 2021, one the largest all-remote companies in the world completed an initial public offering at $77/share, raising $801M at ~$11B valuation.</li>
<li>The stock peaked at $137 in 2021 and fell ~71% over the next 4 years. The underperformance was driven by investor concerns around slowing revenue growth, competition and AI monetization.</li>
</ul>


GitLab Inc. is a complete DevSecOps platform delivered as a single application that empowers organizations to maximize the overall return on software development.
In October 2021, one the largest all-remote companies in the world completed an initial public offering at $77/share, raising $801M at ~$11B valuation.
The stock peaked at $137 in 2021 and fell ~71% over the next 4 years. The underperformance was driven by investor concerns around slowing revenue growth, competition and AI monetization.


2026 High Conviction: GitLab Inc., Undervalued With Duo Agent Platform Growth Upside/M&A Optionality

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 3 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> in September. There are capping changes for the Select Sector indices and the Equal Weight Index too.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade is US$19.6bn with a big chunk from the Equal Weight Index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/communication-services-select-sector-spdr-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27534:1" rel="noopener">Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC US)</a>. </li>
<li>The largest flows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applovin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32989:1" rel="noopener">AppLovin (APP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinhood-markets-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33532:1" rel="noopener">Robinhood Markets (HOOD)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trade-desk-inc-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26467:1" rel="noopener">Trade Desk (TTD)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA (NVDA)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33361:1" rel="noopener">Alphabet (GOOGL)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microsoft-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15273:1" rel="noopener">Microsoft (MSFT US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exxon-mobil-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:811:1" rel="noopener">Exxon Mobil (XOM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chevron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11091:1" rel="noopener">Chevron (CVX)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 constituent changes for the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) in September. There are capping changes for the Select Sector indices and the Equal Weight Index too.
The round-trip trade is US$19.6bn with a big chunk from the Equal Weight Index, Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US) and Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC US). 
The largest flows are expected in AppLovin (APP), Robinhood Markets (HOOD), Trade Desk (TTD), NVIDIA (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), Alphabet (GOOGL), Microsoft (MSFT US), Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX).


Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance: Changes to Drive US$19.6bn Flow

United States

Datadog, Inc. provides software solutions. The Company offers cloud-based monitoring and analytics platform which integrates and automates infrastructure monitoring, application performance monitoring, and log management for real-time observability of customers. Datadog operates worldwide.

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Datadog (DDOG US)

Short Sellers Charge Into Industrials, Exit Tech

Short interest moved sharply across both directions this week. FERG and FTV led a burst of new bearish positioning in industrials, while CRWV and...

ORTEX Market Intel

U.S. Equities: Upside Momentum Lost, But Not Breaking Down

In today's report we highlight key levels and several metrics we are watching that will provide us clues as to where the S&P 500 is headed...

Vermilion Research

Is Software Getting Cheap? De-Rating, but Not Cheap. Hyperscalers and Some Fintech More Interesting.

Analysis of SaaS-Software vs. Hyperscalers: SaaS-Software has corrected to earnings growth levels, Hyperscalers outperform with lower volatility,...

Nicolas Baratte

2026 High Conviction: GitLab Inc., Undervalued With Duo Agent Platform Growth Upside/M&A Optionality

GitLab Inc., the leading DevSecOps platform provider that delivers software faster and efficiently, is my 2026 high conviction idea in the U.S....

Andrei Zakharov

Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance: Changes to Drive US$19.6bn Flow

Constituent changes to the S&P500 Index and capping changes result in a round-trip trade of US$19.6bn. AppLovin, Robinhood and Emcor will have more...

Brian Freitas

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Short Sellers Charge Into Industrials, Exit Tech

Short interest moved sharply across both directions this week. FERG and FTV led a burst of new bearish positioning in industrials, while CRWV and...

ORTEX Market Intel

U.S. Equities: Upside Momentum Lost, But Not Breaking Down

In today's report we highlight key levels and several metrics we are watching that will provide us clues as to where the S&P 500 is headed...

Vermilion Research

Is Software Getting Cheap? De-Rating, but Not Cheap. Hyperscalers and Some Fintech More Interesting.

​Analysis of SaaS-Software vs. Hyperscalers: SaaS-Software has corrected to earnings growth levels, Hyperscalers outperform with lower volatility,...

Nicolas Baratte

2026 High Conviction: GitLab Inc., Undervalued With Duo Agent Platform Growth Upside/M&A Optionality

GitLab Inc., the leading DevSecOps platform provider that delivers software faster and efficiently, is my 2026 high conviction idea in the U.S....

Andrei Zakharov

Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance: Changes to Drive US$19.6bn Flow

Constituent changes to the S&P500 Index and capping changes result in a round-trip trade of US$19.6bn. AppLovin, Robinhood and Emcor will have more...

Brian Freitas

Analysis of SaaS-Software vs. Hyperscalers: SaaS-Software has corrected to earnings growth levels, Hyperscalers outperform with lower volatility,...