Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Today after the close, Tokyo-based <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dear-life-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16879:1" rel="noopener">Dear Life (3245 JP)</a> announced a primary offering to raise approximately ¥7bn through 15% dilution. Implying a 13+% price drop to protect PER.</li>
<li>But the company plans on growing earnings. It has some projects in inventory, but it obviously plans a lot of turnover this year and needs to replenish.</li>
<li>The MTMP "slogan" is <em><strong>"2028 - Ride the Wave!" </strong></em> This is a bit what investing in Tokyo real estate is like now. So one rides it until one doesn't.</li>
</ul>


Today after the close, Tokyo-based Dear Life (3245 JP) announced a primary offering to raise approximately ¥7bn through 15% dilution. Implying a 13+% price drop to protect PER.
But the company plans on growing earnings. It has some projects in inventory, but it obviously plans a lot of turnover this year and needs to replenish.
The MTMP "slogan" is "2028 - Ride the Wave!"  This is a bit what investing in Tokyo real estate is like now. So one rides it until one doesn't.


[Japan Offering] Dear Life (3245 JP) - Unusual Offer Dynamics Are Bullish Despite Dilution

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Dec 12th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,648m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Ci Medical, Toyoda Gosei, SoftBank, Toyota Motor, Lasertec, Skylark, Nintendo, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Tokyo Electron, Ci Medical, Toyoda Gosei.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Dec 12th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,648m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Ci Medical, Toyoda Gosei, SoftBank, Toyota Motor, Lasertec, Skylark, Nintendo, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Tokyo Electron, Ci Medical, Toyoda Gosei.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Dec 12th): Ci Medical, Toyoda Gosei, SoftBank, Toyota Motor, Lasertec

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Dec 5th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,761m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Carta, Toyoda Gosei, Lasertec, Advantest, SoftBank, Mitsui E&amp;S, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Disco, Daihen, Nintendo, Carta, Toyoda Gosei, Lasertec, Advantest, Softbank.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Dec 5th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,761m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Carta, Toyoda Gosei, Lasertec, Advantest, SoftBank, Mitsui E&amp;S, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Disco, Daihen, Nintendo, Carta, Toyoda Gosei, Lasertec, Advantest, Softbank.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Dec 5th): Carta, Toyoda Gosei, Lasertec, Advantest, SoftBank, Mitsui E&S

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 28th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,551m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SBI, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Mizuho Financial, Lasertec, Fujikura, Toyoda Gosei, Mitsubishi Electric, Mitsui E&amp;S, Daihen, Sbi, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Mizuho Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 28th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,551m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SBI, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Mizuho Financial, Lasertec, Fujikura, Toyoda Gosei, Mitsubishi Electric, Mitsui E&amp;S, Daihen, Sbi, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Mizuho Financial.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 28th): SBI, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Mizuho Financial, Lasertec

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pressance-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17783:1" rel="noopener">Pressance Corp (3254 JP)</a> announced a tender offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/open-house-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19550:1" rel="noopener">Open House (3288 JP)</a> at JPY2,390 per share, a 22.1% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>While the offer is below book value, it represents an all-time high and broadly aligns with the mid-point of the target IFA’s DCF valuation range.  </li>
<li>The low minimum acceptance condition (2.3 million or 3.25% ownership ratio) suggests a done deal. The offer runs from 14 January to 26 February (30 business days).</li>
</ul>



Pressance Corp (3254 JP) announced a tender offer from Open House (3288 JP) at JPY2,390 per share, a 22.1% premium to the last close.
While the offer is below book value, it represents an all-time high and broadly aligns with the mid-point of the target IFA’s DCF valuation range.  
The low minimum acceptance condition (2.3 million or 3.25% ownership ratio) suggests a done deal. The offer runs from 14 January to 26 February (30 business days).


Pressance (3254 JP): Open House (3288 JP) JPY2,390 Tender Offer a Done Deal

Japan

DEAR LIFE CO LTD develops, sells, and leases real estate properties mainly in Tokyo and other major city area. The company also provides asset management and real estate brokerage services.

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Dear Life (3245 JP)

[Japan Offering] Dear Life (3245 JP) - Unusual Offer Dynamics Are Bullish Despite Dilution

An equity offering by Dear Life - a Tokyo-based real estate developer - is interesting for 3rd party placement portion. That's bullish. The equity...

Travis Lundy

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Dec 12th): Ci Medical, Toyoda Gosei, SoftBank, Toyota Motor, Lasertec

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Ci Medical (3540 JP), Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP), SoftBank (9984 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Dec 5th): Carta, Toyoda Gosei, Lasertec, Advantest, SoftBank, Mitsui E&S

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Carta (3688 JP), Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP), Lasertec (6920 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 28th): SBI, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Mizuho Financial, Lasertec

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SBI (8473 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Furukawa Electric (5801 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pressance (3254 JP): Open House (3288 JP) JPY2,390 Tender Offer a Done Deal

While the offer is below book value, it represents an all-time high and broadly aligns with the mid-point of the target IFA’s DCF valuation range.

Arun George

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