Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Dell Technologies Inc.'s latest earnings provided a comprehensive overview of the company's financial performance and strategic direction.</li><li>The company ended fiscal year 2025 with strong financial results, highlighting both an 8% increase in annual revenue to $95.6 billion and a 10% rise in earnings per share (EPS) to $8.14.</li><li>The operating income was also notably high at $8.5 billion, underscoring cost efficiency with a 4% reduction in operating expenses.</li></ul>

Dell Technologies Inc.'s latest earnings provided a comprehensive overview of the company's financial performance and strategic direction.The company ended fiscal year 2025 with strong financial results, highlighting both an 8% increase in annual revenue to $95.6 billion and a 10% rise in earnings per share (EPS) to $8.14.The operating income was also notably high at $8.5 billion, underscoring cost efficiency with a 4% reduction in operating expenses.

Dell Technologies Is Betting Big In AI Infrastructure—Are PC Refresh Cycles Next?

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>US and China are fiercely competing in the development of humanoid robots, with China's DeepSeek V3 setting new standards in AI technology on Apple's Mac Studio.</li><li>A Dell executive cautions against the hype surrounding AI, emphasizing the critical need for a strategic approach and proposing a two-question reality check at the AI EXPO 2025.</li><li>Vietnam responds to US trade surplus and tariff concerns by reducing tariffs and approving StarLink, showcasing the country's efforts to address economic challenges.</li></ul>

US and China are fiercely competing in the development of humanoid robots, with China's DeepSeek V3 setting new standards in AI technology on Apple's Mac Studio.A Dell executive cautions against the hype surrounding AI, emphasizing the critical need for a strategic approach and proposing a two-question reality check at the AI EXPO 2025.Vietnam responds to US trade surplus and tariff concerns by reducing tariffs and approving StarLink, showcasing the country's efforts to address economic challenges.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Mar-2025): US and China in robotic race.

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Index Committee's discretion decreases the predictability of index changes. Even when a company passes all eligibility criteria and thresholds, it might still not be selected.</li>
<li>Understanding triggers for index changes, types of additions/deletions and selection patterns, narrows down the pool of candidates and increases conviction of forecasts.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dell-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32189:1" rel="noopener">Dell Technologies (DELL US)</a> is currently the main candidate to be added by transition to the S&amp;P 500 in September 2024 Quarterly Rebalance.</li>
</ul>


Index Committee's discretion decreases the predictability of index changes. Even when a company passes all eligibility criteria and thresholds, it might still not be selected.
Understanding triggers for index changes, types of additions/deletions and selection patterns, narrows down the pool of candidates and increases conviction of forecasts.

Dell Technologies (DELL US) is currently the main candidate to be added by transition to the S&amp;P 500 in September 2024 Quarterly Rebalance.


S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Deriving Forecasts & First Prediction for September

<ul><li>Dell Technologies Inc. recently reported its fiscal year 2025 fourth-quarter financial results, demonstrating a mixed performance that offers both opportunities and challenges for investors.</li><li>The company recorded $95.6 billion in revenue for the fiscal year, reflecting an 8% increase, and achieved an operating income of $8.5 billion.</li><li>Notably, Dell achieved a record EPS of $8.14, an increase of 10%, attributing this success to efficiency improvements and cost reductions, with operating expenses decreasing by 4% year-over-year.</li></ul>

Dell Technologies Inc. recently reported its fiscal year 2025 fourth-quarter financial results, demonstrating a mixed performance that offers both opportunities and challenges for investors.The company recorded $95.6 billion in revenue for the fiscal year, reflecting an 8% increase, and achieved an operating income of $8.5 billion.Notably, Dell achieved a record EPS of $8.14, an increase of 10%, attributing this success to efficiency improvements and cost reductions, with operating expenses decreasing by 4% year-over-year.

Dell Technologies: Is There Going To Be A Robust Impact Of AI and Data Center Solutions Growth In The Coming Years?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> in June but there are capping changes for the Select Sector indices and the Equal Weight Index.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade is US$17.4bn with a big chunk from the Equal Weight Index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/communication-services-select-sector-spdr-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27534:1" rel="noopener">Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/energy-select-sector-spdr-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27537:1" rel="noopener">Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE US)</a>. </li>
<li>The largest flows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exxon-mobil-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:811:1" rel="noopener">Exxon Mobil</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33361:1" rel="noopener">Alphabet</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chevron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11091:1" rel="noopener">Chevron Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visa-inc-class-a-shares" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8707:1" rel="noopener">Visa</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/live-nation-entertainment-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6893:1" rel="noopener">Live Nation Entertainment</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/broadcom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:998:1" rel="noopener">Broadcom</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tko-group-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40463:1" rel="noopener">TKO Group Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dell-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32189:1" rel="noopener">Dell Technologies</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/omnicom-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15775:1" rel="noopener">Omnicom Group</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) in June but there are capping changes for the Select Sector indices and the Equal Weight Index.
The round-trip trade is US$17.4bn with a big chunk from the Equal Weight Index, Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC US) and Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE US). 
The largest flows are expected in Exxon Mobil, Alphabet, Chevron Corp, Visa, Blackstone, Live Nation Entertainment, Meta, Broadcom, TKO Group Holdings, Dell Technologies and Omnicom Group.


Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance Preview: US$17bn Round-Trip Trade

United States

Dell Technologies Inc. provides computer products. The Company offers laptops, desktops, tablets, workstations, servers, monitors, printers, gateways, software, storage, and networking products. Dell Technologies serves customers worldwide.

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Dell Technologies (DELL US)

Dell Technologies Is Betting Big In AI Infrastructure—Are PC Refresh Cycles Next?

Dell Technologies Inc.'s latest earnings provided a comprehensive overview of the company's financial performance and strategic direction. The...

Baptista Research

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Mar-2025): US and China in robotic race.

US and China compete in the cutting-edge AI race as China's DeepSeek V3 raises the bar, while Dell execs caution against AI hype at AI EXPO 2025...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Deriving Forecasts & First Prediction for September

S&P Index Committee's discretion reduces predictability of index changes. Identifying patterns and types of changes, narrows down the addition...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Dell Technologies: Is There Going To Be A Robust Impact Of AI and Data Center Solutions Growth In The Coming Years?

Dell Technologies Inc. recently reported its fiscal year 2025 fourth-quarter financial results, demonstrating a mixed performance that offers both...

Baptista Research

Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance Preview: US$17bn Round-Trip Trade

Capping changes for the Select Sector indices and Equal Weight Index will result in a round-trip trade of US$17.4bn. There are some stocks with...

Brian Freitas

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Dell Technologies Is Betting Big In AI Infrastructure—Are PC Refresh Cycles Next?

Dell Technologies Inc.'s latest earnings provided a comprehensive overview of the company's financial performance and strategic direction. The...

Baptista Research

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Mar-2025): US and China in robotic race.

US and China compete in the cutting-edge AI race as China's DeepSeek V3 raises the bar, while Dell execs caution against AI hype at AI EXPO 2025...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Deriving Forecasts & First Prediction for September

S&P ​Index Committee's discretion reduces predictability of index changes. Identifying patterns and types of changes, narrows down the addition...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Dell Technologies: Is There Going To Be A Robust Impact Of AI and Data Center Solutions Growth In The Coming Years?

Dell Technologies Inc. recently reported its fiscal year 2025 fourth-quarter financial results, demonstrating a mixed performance that offers both...

Baptista Research

Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance Preview: US$17bn Round-Trip Trade

Capping changes for the Select Sector indices and Equal Weight Index will result in a round-trip trade of US$17.4bn. There are some stocks with...

Brian Freitas

S&P Index Committee's discretion reduces predictability of index changes. Identifying patterns and types of changes, narrows down the addition...