US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, Ortex

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

Ortex

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Index Committee's discretion decreases the predictability of index changes. Even when a company passes all eligibility criteria and thresholds, it might still not be selected.</li>
<li>Understanding triggers for index changes, types of additions/deletions and selection patterns, narrows down the pool of candidates and increases conviction of forecasts.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dell-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32189:1" rel="noopener">Dell Technologies (DELL US)</a> is currently the main candidate to be added by transition to the S&amp;P 500 in September 2024 Quarterly Rebalance.</li>
</ul>


Index Committee's discretion decreases the predictability of index changes. Even when a company passes all eligibility criteria and thresholds, it might still not be selected.
Understanding triggers for index changes, types of additions/deletions and selection patterns, narrows down the pool of candidates and increases conviction of forecasts.

Dell Technologies (DELL US) is currently the main candidate to be added by transition to the S&amp;P 500 in September 2024 Quarterly Rebalance.


S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Deriving Forecasts & First Prediction for September

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>2024 Taiwan notebooks set for release in 3rd quarter, increasing competition in the tech market.</li><li>TSMC's October revenue surpasses NT$300 billion, fueled by orders from major clients, showcasing the company's strong performance.</li><li>Wafer Works establishes new 12-inch semiconductor fab in Taiwan to cater to AI and EV industries globally, highlighting the industry's growth and development.</li></ul>

2024 Taiwan notebooks set for release in 3rd quarter, increasing competition in the tech market.TSMC's October revenue surpasses NT$300 billion, fueled by orders from major clients, showcasing the company's strong performance.Wafer Works establishes new 12-inch semiconductor fab in Taiwan to cater to AI and EV industries globally, highlighting the industry's growth and development.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (09-Nov-2024): Taiwan notebooks, Q3 2024

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dell-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32189:1" rel="noopener">Dell Technologies (DELL US)</a> is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the 'Multiple Share Classes' criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/williams-sonoma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11383:1" rel="noopener">Williams Sonoma (WSM US)</a> is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations' inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/american-airlines-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3663:1" rel="noopener">American Airlines Group (AAL US)</a> is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.</li>
</ul>



Dell Technologies (DELL US) is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the 'Multiple Share Classes' criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.

Williams Sonoma (WSM US) is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations' inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.

American Airlines Group (AAL US) is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.


S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

<ul><li>Hyundai is competing against the US and China in the global autonomous vehicle market, trying to keep up with the latest technological developments.</li><li>Tesla's new Robotaxi and self-driving bus have been unveiled, but doubts linger about whether they will be commercially successful in the long run.</li><li>TsangYow is planning for growth as Asian markets recover, with a Malaysian plant set to launch in 2027. HK startups are utilizing AI for growth in education and tourism sectors.</li></ul>

Hyundai is competing against the US and China in the global autonomous vehicle market, trying to keep up with the latest technological developments.Tesla's new Robotaxi and self-driving bus have been unveiled, but doubts linger about whether they will be commercially successful in the long run.TsangYow is planning for growth as Asian markets recover, with a Malaysian plant set to launch in 2027. HK startups are utilizing AI for growth in education and tourism sectors.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (17-Oct-2024): Hyundai races to catch up in global AV competition.

<ul>
<li>Apple MR device facing possible upgrade to 1,500 PPI OLED display.</li>
<li>Automotive CIS tech set to advance by 2024. Taiwan offers permanent residence to address talent shortage in AI industry.</li>
<li>UK showcases compound semiconductor strength and collaboration with Taiwan. Henkel expands semiconductor focus in India for market growth.</li>
</ul>


Apple MR device facing possible upgrade to 1,500 PPI OLED display.
Automotive CIS tech set to advance by 2024. Taiwan offers permanent residence to address talent shortage in AI industry.
UK showcases compound semiconductor strength and collaboration with Taiwan. Henkel expands semiconductor focus in India for market growth.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Sep-2024): Apple MR Device Facing Possible Upgrade

United States

Dell Technologies Inc. provides computer products. The Company offers laptops, desktops, tablets, workstations, servers, monitors, printers, gateways, software, storage, and networking products. Dell Technologies serves customers worldwide.

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Dell Technologies (DELL US)

S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Deriving Forecasts & First Prediction for September

S&P Index Committee's discretion reduces predictability of index changes. Identifying patterns and types of changes, narrows down the addition...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (09-Nov-2024): Taiwan notebooks, Q3 2024

Taiwan's semiconductor industry sees growth as TSMC's revenue surpasses NT$300 billion, Wafer Works opens new fab, SMIC targets global chip market,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

Dell Technologies is the biggest candidate for inclusion in the S&P 500 with forecasted demand of ~$7bn and ~4 days of volume. Uncertainty arises...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (17-Oct-2024): Hyundai races to catch up in global AV competition.

Hyundai, Tesla, TsangYow, Foxconn, L&T Semicon, and Samsung make moves in autonomous vehicles, AI, energy markets, and labor disputes.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Sep-2024): Apple MR Device Facing Possible Upgrade

Apple MR device facing possible upgrade to 1,500 PPI OLED display. Taiwan offers permanent residence, UK shows strength in compound semiconductors,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Deriving Forecasts & First Prediction for September

S&P ​Index Committee's discretion reduces predictability of index changes. Identifying patterns and types of changes, narrows down the addition...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (09-Nov-2024): Taiwan notebooks, Q3 2024

Taiwan's semiconductor industry sees growth as TSMC's revenue surpasses NT$300 billion, Wafer Works opens new fab, SMIC targets global chip market,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

​Dell Technologies is the biggest candidate for inclusion in the S&P 500 with forecasted demand of ~$7bn and ~4 days of volume. Uncertainty arises...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (17-Oct-2024): Hyundai races to catch up in global AV competition.

Hyundai, Tesla, TsangYow, Foxconn, L&T Semicon, and Samsung make moves in autonomous vehicles, AI, energy markets, and labor disputes.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Sep-2024): Apple MR Device Facing Possible Upgrade

Apple MR device facing possible upgrade to 1,500 PPI OLED display. Taiwan offers permanent residence, UK shows strength in compound semiconductors,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

S&P Index Committee's discretion reduces predictability of index changes. Identifying patterns and types of changes, narrows down the addition...

Dell Technologies is the biggest candidate for inclusion in the S&P 500 with forecasted demand of ~$7bn and ~4 days of volume. Uncertainty arises...