Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 15 May, Hanjin KAL Corp (180640 KS) announced that it will contribute 440,044 shares of its treasury stock to the company’s welfare fund, representing 0.7% of its common shares. </li>
<li>This is a clear indication of Hanjin Kal Chairman Cho Won-Tae and his allies launching a management rights defense against Hoban Group which recently increased its stake in Hanjin Kal. </li>
<li>The higher probability scenario is for Hanjin Kal's shares to retrace down to below 100,000 won level as a full blown M&amp;A fight is not likely in the near future. </li>
</ul>


On 15 May, Hanjin KAL Corp (180640 KS) announced that it will contribute 440,044 shares of its treasury stock to the company’s welfare fund, representing 0.7% of its common shares. 
This is a clear indication of Hanjin Kal Chairman Cho Won-Tae and his allies launching a management rights defense against Hoban Group which recently increased its stake in Hanjin Kal. 
The higher probability scenario is for Hanjin Kal's shares to retrace down to below 100,000 won level as a full blown M&amp;A fight is not likely in the near future. 


Hanjin Group Chairman Cho Fights Back Against Hoban Group for Control of Hanjin Kal

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Delta Air Lines reported a strong performance for the December quarter and full year 2024, highlighted by a record pretax profit of $1.6 billion in the fourth quarter and earnings per share of $1.85, topping their own guidance.</li><li>This positive result was achieved against a backdrop of industry leading operational performance, with Delta achieving the highest system completion factor and on time performance among its peers.</li><li>For the full year 2024, Delta's operational achievements included 78 "Brand Perfect" days and recognition with Cirium's Platinum Award for operational excellence for the fourth consecutive year.</li></ul>

Delta Air Lines reported a strong performance for the December quarter and full year 2024, highlighted by a record pretax profit of $1.6 billion in the fourth quarter and earnings per share of $1.85, topping their own guidance.This positive result was achieved against a backdrop of industry leading operational performance, with Delta achieving the highest system completion factor and on time performance among its peers.For the full year 2024, Delta's operational achievements included 78 "Brand Perfect" days and recognition with Cirium's Platinum Award for operational excellence for the fourth consecutive year.

Delta Air Lines’ Strong 2024: Record Profits

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>South Korea is prioritizing enhancing its EDA competitiveness to stay ahead in the technological race.</li><li>China is focusing on consolidating promising chip firms while doubling the terminations of IPOs to control the market.</li><li>Commodity DRAM and NAND chip prices are stalling due to slow demand recovery, affecting Taiwanese companies and PanelSemi's development of mini LEDs. Vietnam PM strengthens South Korea relations and secures investments in display production and clean energy. Taiwan is aiming to lead in floating wind technology with a projected global investment of EUR250 billion by 2035.</li></ul>

South Korea is prioritizing enhancing its EDA competitiveness to stay ahead in the technological race.China is focusing on consolidating promising chip firms while doubling the terminations of IPOs to control the market.Commodity DRAM and NAND chip prices are stalling due to slow demand recovery, affecting Taiwanese companies and PanelSemi's development of mini LEDs. Vietnam PM strengthens South Korea relations and secures investments in display production and clean energy. Taiwan is aiming to lead in floating wind technology with a projected global investment of EUR250 billion by 2035.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (05-Jul-2024): S. Korea boosts EDA competitiveness.

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>With more foreign countries being granted visa-free visits to China, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a> will benefit from more transfer traffic via Hong Kong.</li>
<li>Recovery is decent with passenger traffic rising 37.5% in 5M24. CX's capacity already returned to 80% of pre-pandemic in 2Q24, and this will reach 100% in 1Q25. </li>
<li>YTD, CX is still a laggard relative to many global airlines. Its P/B valuation is not stretched at 0.8x, given ROE of 11% over the next 3 years.  </li>
</ul>


With more foreign countries being granted visa-free visits to China, Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) will benefit from more transfer traffic via Hong Kong.
Recovery is decent with passenger traffic rising 37.5% in 5M24. CX's capacity already returned to 80% of pre-pandemic in 2Q24, and this will reach 100% in 1Q25. 
YTD, CX is still a laggard relative to many global airlines. Its P/B valuation is not stretched at 0.8x, given ROE of 11% over the next 3 years.  


Cathay Pacific (293 HK): Multiple Positive Developments

<ul>
<li>On 14 March, NPS announced that it has decided to vote against the re-appointment of the CEO Cho Won-tae as the executive director of Korean Air Lines.</li>
<li>It was also announced on 14 March that GS Retail purchased a 1% stake in Hanjin Kal. In addition, Korean Air Lines also purchased a 1.2% stake in GS Retail.</li>
<li>One of the growing probabilities of the changing shareholding structures is that KDB may be interested in selling its 10.6% stake in Hanjin Kal.</li>
</ul>


On 14 March, NPS announced that it has decided to vote against the re-appointment of the CEO Cho Won-tae as the executive director of Korean Air Lines.
It was also announced on 14 March that GS Retail purchased a 1% stake in Hanjin Kal. In addition, Korean Air Lines also purchased a 1.2% stake in GS Retail.
One of the growing probabilities of the changing shareholding structures is that KDB may be interested in selling its 10.6% stake in Hanjin Kal.


Another Brewing Fight for the Controlling Shareholding of Hanjin Kal?

United States

Delta Air Lines, Inc. provides scheduled air transportation for passengers, freight, and mail over a network of routes throughout the United States and internationally.

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Delta Air Lines (DAL US)

Hanjin Group Chairman Cho Fights Back Against Hoban Group for Control of Hanjin Kal

On 15 May, Hanjin KAL Corp (180640 KS) announced that it will contribute 440,044 shares of its treasury stock to the company’s welfare fund,...

Douglas Kim

Delta Air Lines’ Strong 2024: Record Profits

Delta Air Lines reported a strong performance for the December quarter and full year 2024, highlighted by a record pretax profit of $1.6 billion...

Baptista Research

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (05-Jul-2024): S. Korea boosts EDA competitiveness.

South Korea, Taiwan, China, and Vietnam are all making moves to enhance their competitiveness in the semiconductor industry through various...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Cathay Pacific (293 HK): Multiple Positive Developments

As more countries gain visa-free access to China, CX will benefit from increased transfer traffic. CX's recovery is on track with passenger...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Another Brewing Fight for the Controlling Shareholding of Hanjin Kal?

On 14 March, NPS announced that it has decided to vote against the re-appointment of the CEO Cho Won-tae as the executive director of Korean Air....

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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Hanjin Group Chairman Cho Fights Back Against Hoban Group for Control of Hanjin Kal

On 15 May, Hanjin KAL Corp (180640 KS) announced that it will contribute 440,044 shares of its treasury stock to the company’s welfare fund,...

Douglas Kim

Delta Air Lines’ Strong 2024: Record Profits

Delta Air Lines reported a strong performance for the December quarter and full year 2024, highlighted by a record pretax profit of $1.6 billion...

Baptista Research

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (05-Jul-2024): S. Korea boosts EDA competitiveness.

South Korea, Taiwan, China, and Vietnam are all making moves to enhance their competitiveness in the semiconductor industry through various...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Cathay Pacific (293 HK): Multiple Positive Developments

​As more countries gain visa-free access to China, CX will benefit from increased transfer traffic. CX's recovery is on track with passenger...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Another Brewing Fight for the Controlling Shareholding of Hanjin Kal?

On 14 March, NPS announced that it has decided to vote against the re-appointment of the CEO Cho Won-tae as the executive director of Korean Air....

Douglas Kim

As more countries gain visa-free access to China, CX will benefit from increased transfer traffic. CX's recovery is on track with passenger...