HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-micro-corp-5c356907-201f-4bd8-8190-24de284e1329" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50247:1" rel="noopener">SG Micro (3661 HK)</a>, a leading analog IC company, has a solid track record of earnings. Its IPO targets to raise net proceeds of HK$4.5bn, which is reasonably sizeable.</li>
<li>The market is expecting 3-year EPS CAGR of 33.1%, putting the IPO price at 59.3x FY26 PER. The 107% earnings growth in 1Q26 affirms its outlook. </li>
<li>We value it on 2.1x PEG, same as global peers, translating into 70x PER, or 18% upside. Our estimated fair value of HK$100.50 means a H-A discount of 34.1%.  </li>
</ul>



SG Micro (3661 HK), a leading analog IC company, has a solid track record of earnings. Its IPO targets to raise net proceeds of HK$4.5bn, which is reasonably sizeable.
The market is expecting 3-year EPS CAGR of 33.1%, putting the IPO price at 59.3x FY26 PER. The 107% earnings growth in 1Q26 affirms its outlook. 
We value it on 2.1x PEG, same as global peers, translating into 70x PER, or 18% upside. Our estimated fair value of HK$100.50 means a H-A discount of 34.1%.  


SG Micro Corp (3661 HK) IPO: A High-Growth Play

<ul>
<li>With an aim to raise HK$8.2bn of net proceeds, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lingyi-itech-guangdong-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50139:1" rel="noopener">Lingyi iTech (1688 HK)</a>'s H-share IPO is a sizeable one and should attract interest. </li>
<li>Earnings record for this high-precision intelligent manufacturing platform is volatile, but should improve in FY27-28. 1Q26 profit drop is distorted by huge exchange losses.  </li>
<li>Priced at 44.6% discount to its A-share and 27.7x PER, the IPO is inexpensive. Assuming a discount of 26.9%, the fair price (HK$13.43) implies a 32% upside.</li>
</ul>


With an aim to raise HK$8.2bn of net proceeds, Lingyi iTech (1688 HK)'s H-share IPO is a sizeable one and should attract interest. 
Earnings record for this high-precision intelligent manufacturing platform is volatile, but should improve in FY27-28. 1Q26 profit drop is distorted by huge exchange losses.  
Priced at 44.6% discount to its A-share and 27.7x PER, the IPO is inexpensive. Assuming a discount of 26.9%, the fair price (HK$13.43) implies a 32% upside.


Lingyi ITech (1688 HK) IPO: Deserves a Narrower Discount

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Kingboard Laminates / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingboard-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8122:1" rel="noopener">Kingboard (148 HK)</a> is looking to sell around a 4.3% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingboard-laminates-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10276:1" rel="noopener">Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK)</a> to raise up to US$1.5bn via a secondary selldown.</li>
<li>Kingboard Laminates Holdings Limited is a manufacturer of laminates used in printed circuit boards, and is one of the world’s largest suppliers to the electronics industry.</li>
<li>In this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Kingboard (148 HK) is looking to sell around a 4.3% stake in Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK) to raise up to US$1.5bn via a secondary selldown.
Kingboard Laminates Holdings Limited is a manufacturer of laminates used in printed circuit boards, and is one of the world’s largest suppliers to the electronics industry.
In this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Aequitas: Kingboard Laminates Holdings Placement - Recent Deals Haven’t Done Well, US$1.5bn Raising

Dajin Heavy Industry / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dajin-heavy-industry" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50156:1" rel="noopener">Dajin Heavy Industry (1081 HK)</a>'s IPO at HK$66.40 to raise HK$5.6bn is sizable. Its leadership position in providing core offshore wind power equipment globally is a strength.</li>
<li>The market consensus suggests solid growth prospects, with a 3-year earnings CAGR of 44.8%. Its 1Q26 result has showcased its momentum - net profit surged 88.2%.</li>
<li>The IPO price equals a 21.8% discount to A-share <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dajin-heavy-industry-corp-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13598:1" rel="noopener">Dajin Heavy A (002487 CH)</a>, which is not attractive enough. Various valuation scenarios point to single-digit upside only.   </li>
</ul>



Dajin Heavy Industry (1081 HK)'s IPO at HK$66.40 to raise HK$5.6bn is sizable. Its leadership position in providing core offshore wind power equipment globally is a strength.
The market consensus suggests solid growth prospects, with a 3-year earnings CAGR of 44.8%. Its 1Q26 result has showcased its momentum - net profit surged 88.2%.
The IPO price equals a 21.8% discount to A-share Dajin Heavy A (002487 CH), which is not attractive enough. Various valuation scenarios point to single-digit upside only.   


Dajin Heavy Industry (1081 HK) IPO: Not Going to Miss Much

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There were 39 new listings on the Main Board of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> in the first quarter of the calendar year. </li>
<li>Of the 39 new listings, we forecast 7 inclusions to the HSCI Index in June. 6 of those stocks will then be added to Southbound Stock Connect from 8 June.</li>
<li>Over US$15.5bn of cornerstone and pre-IPO shares will unlock in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minimax-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46185:1" rel="noopener">MiniMax Group (100 HK)</a> on 9 July. The stock will then be added to Southbound Stock Connect in August.</li>
</ul>


There were 39 new listings on the Main Board of the HKEX (388 HK) in the first quarter of the calendar year. 
Of the 39 new listings, we forecast 7 inclusions to the HSCI Index in June. 6 of those stocks will then be added to Southbound Stock Connect from 8 June.
Over US$15.5bn of cornerstone and pre-IPO shares will unlock in MiniMax Group (100 HK) on 9 July. The stock will then be added to Southbound Stock Connect in August.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Stock Connect & Index Buying Vs Lock-Up Expiry Selling

Hong Kong

Delton Technology (Guangzhou) Inc. manufactures and distributes printed circuit board products. The Company produces high speed server boards, large data memory circuit boards, high frequency mixing boards, security circuit boards, and more. Delton Technology (Guangzhou) provides its products for communications, automotive electronics, medical, and other areas.

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Delton Technology (1989 HK)

SG Micro Corp (3661 HK) IPO: A High-Growth Play

SG Micro is a leading analog IC company with a solid earnings record, aiming to raise HK$4.5bn in its IPO. With a 33.1% EPS CAGR, the IPO is...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Lingyi ITech (1688 HK) IPO: Deserves a Narrower Discount

Lingyi iTech's H-share IPO aims to raise HK$8.2bn, with potential for faster earnings growth in FY27 and FY28. It deserves a narrower discount to...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Aequitas: Kingboard Laminates Holdings Placement - Recent Deals Haven’t Done Well, US$1.5bn Raising

Kingboard (148 HK) is looking to sell around a 4.3% stake in Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK) to raise up to US$1.5bn via a secondary selldown.

Sumeet Singh

Dajin Heavy Industry (1081 HK) IPO: Not Going to Miss Much

Dajin Heavy's IPO will raise HK$5.6bn at HK$66.40, thanks to its leadership in offshore wind power equipment. Market sees 44.8% 3-year earnings...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Stock Connect & Index Buying Vs Lock-Up Expiry Selling

Announcement after market close tomorrow. There could be last-minute positioning next 2 weeks ahead of inclusion of the stocks in Stock Connect....

Brian Freitas

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SG Micro Corp (3661 HK) IPO: A High-Growth Play

​SG Micro is a leading analog IC company with a solid earnings record, aiming to raise HK$4.5bn in its IPO. With a 33.1% EPS CAGR, the IPO is...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Lingyi ITech (1688 HK) IPO: Deserves a Narrower Discount

​Lingyi iTech's H-share IPO aims to raise HK$8.2bn, with potential for faster earnings growth in FY27 and FY28. It deserves a narrower discount to...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Aequitas: Kingboard Laminates Holdings Placement - Recent Deals Haven’t Done Well, US$1.5bn Raising

Kingboard (148 HK) is looking to sell around a 4.3% stake in Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK) to raise up to US$1.5bn via a secondary selldown.

Sumeet Singh

Dajin Heavy Industry (1081 HK) IPO: Not Going to Miss Much

​Dajin Heavy's IPO will raise HK$5.6bn at HK$66.40, thanks to its leadership in offshore wind power equipment. Market sees 44.8% 3-year earnings...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Stock Connect & Index Buying Vs Lock-Up Expiry Selling

Announcement after market close tomorrow. There could be last-minute positioning next 2 weeks ahead of inclusion of the stocks in Stock Connect....

Brian Freitas

SG Micro is a leading analog IC company with a solid earnings record, aiming to raise HK$4.5bn in its IPO. With a 33.1% EPS CAGR, the IPO is...

Lingyi iTech's H-share IPO aims to raise HK$8.2bn, with potential for faster earnings growth in FY27 and FY28. It deserves a narrower discount to...

Dajin Heavy's IPO will raise HK$5.6bn at HK$66.40, thanks to its leadership in offshore wind power equipment. Market sees 44.8% 3-year earnings...