Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/align-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2817:1" rel="noopener">Align Technology (ALGN US)</a> is better investment idea than its Chinese competitor <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/angelalign-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31480:1" rel="noopener">Angelalign Technology (6699 HK),</a> due to its larger global scale of operation, early mover advantage, and cheaper valuation.    </li>
<li>Align Technology is well-positioned for 20%+ revenue and earnings growth through 2024, driven by large and underpenetrated TAM of 19 million annual ortho starts.</li>
<li>Align Technology shares are trading at a steep discount to Angelalign Technology shares. Price erosion due to the increasing competition remains the key risks for both the companies.</li>
</ul>



Align Technology (ALGN US) is better investment idea than its Chinese competitor Angelalign Technology (6699 HK), due to its larger global scale of operation, early mover advantage, and cheaper valuation.    
Align Technology is well-positioned for 20%+ revenue and earnings growth through 2024, driven by large and underpenetrated TAM of 19 million annual ortho starts.
Align Technology shares are trading at a steep discount to Angelalign Technology shares. Price erosion due to the increasing competition remains the key risks for both the companies.


Align Technology (ALGN US) Vs. Angelalign Technology (6699 HK): Which One Is Better Investment

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Angelalign Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/angelalign-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31480:1" rel="noopener">Angelalign Technology (AAT HK)</a> is a leading clear aligner treatment solution provider in China. It is the second-largest player accounting for 41.0% market share in 2020 as measured by case shipments, according to CIC. </p><p>At the proposed IPO price range of HK$147-173 per share, Angelalign will have a market cap of HK$24.4-28.7 million ($3.1-3.7 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the gross proceeds are $347 million.</p><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/angelalign-ipo-initiation-if-tooth-be-told" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51881" rel="noopener">Angelalign IPO Initiation: If Tooth Be Told</a>, we stated that Angelalign is ideally positioned to benefit from China's clear aligner market opportunity due to its high market share, strong growth, rising margins and prodigious cash generation. We concluded that Angelalign is worth a look.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>On a relative valuation basis, Angelalign looks attractive to its peers on a PEG basis but expensive on a P/E basis. Our base-case DCF value is HK$171.83 per share which is a 7% upside to the mid-point of the IPO price range. Due to the limited upside to our DCF valuation, we think that the IPO price range is full. Overall, while we like Angelalign's fundamentals, due to the full IPO price range and the current weak market sentiment on IPOs, we are inclined to wait on the sidelines for a more attractive entry point.   </p></div>

Angelalign Technology (AAT HK) is a leading clear aligner treatment solution provider in China. It is the second-largest player accounting for 41.0% market share in 2020 as measured by case shipments, according to CIC. At the proposed IPO price range of HK$147-173 per share, Angelalign will have a market cap of HK$24.4-28.7 million ($3.1-3.7 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the gross proceeds are $347 million.In Angelalign IPO Initiation: If Tooth Be Told, we stated that Angelalign is ideally positioned to benefit from China's clear aligner market opportunity due to its high market share, strong growth, rising margins and prodigious cash generation. We concluded that Angelalign is worth a look.On a relative valuation basis, Angelalign looks attractive to its peers on a PEG basis but expensive on a P/E basis. Our base-case DCF value is HK$171.83 per share which is a 7% upside to the mid-point of the IPO price range. Due to the limited upside to our DCF valuation, we think that the IPO price range is full. Overall, while we like Angelalign's fundamentals, due to the full IPO price range and the current weak market sentiment on IPOs, we are inclined to wait on the sidelines for a more attractive entry point.   

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<div>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/angelalign-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31480:1" rel="noopener">Angelalign Technology (AAT HK)</a> is a leading clear aligner treatment solution provider in China. It is the second-largest player accounting for 41.0% market share in 2020 as measured by case shipments, according to CIC. Angelalign is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise $300 million, according to press reports. </div>
<div></div>
</div></div></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/angelalign-ipo-initiation-if-tooth-be-told" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51881" rel="noopener">Angelalign IPO Initiation: If Tooth Be Told</a>, we stated that Angelalign is ideally positioned to benefit from this market opportunity due to high market share, strong growth, rising margins and prodigious cash generation. We concluded that Angelalign is worth a look. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Angelalign's potential valuation range. </p></div></div></div>



Angelalign Technology (AAT HK) is a leading clear aligner treatment solution provider in China. It is the second-largest player accounting for 41.0% market share in 2020 as measured by case shipments, according to CIC. Angelalign is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise $300 million, according to press reports. 

In Angelalign IPO Initiation: If Tooth Be Told, we stated that Angelalign is ideally positioned to benefit from this market opportunity due to high market share, strong growth, rising margins and prodigious cash generation. We concluded that Angelalign is worth a look. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Angelalign's potential valuation range. 

United States

DENTSPLY International Inc. manufactures and distributes dental supplies on a worldwide basis.  The Company's products include dental prosthetics, endodontic instruments, dental sealants, ultrasonic scalers, dental x-ray equipment, and intraoral cameras.  DENTSPLY also provides impression materials, orthodontic appliances, and dental operatory software systems, and other dental products.

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Dentsply International (XRAY US)

Align Technology (ALGN US) Vs. Angelalign Technology (6699 HK): Which One Is Better Investment

This insight has analyzed why Align Technology is a better investment idea than Angelalign Technology and thrown light on former’s fundamental...

Tina Banerjee

Angelalign IPO: Valuation Insights

While we like Angelalign's fundamentals, due to the full IPO price range and the current weak market sentiment on IPOs, we are inclined to wait on...

Arun George

Angelalign IPO: Valuation First-Look

Angelalign is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise $300 million, according to press reports. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the...

Arun George

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