IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Golden Energy and Resources / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dian-swastatika-sentosa-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15281:1" rel="noopener">Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ)</a>/DSS EGM to gain shareholder approval will be held on 2 May. The DSS appraiser (unsurprisingly) opines that the Widjaja family <a href="https://www.idx.co.id/StaticData/NewsAndAnnouncement/ANNOUNCEMENTSTOCK/From_EREP/202303/daaf327f5a_aa5a1006ff.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">offer is fair</a>. </li>
<li>The appraiser valued <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a> at S$0.980. However, the valuation approach is sorely lacking, particularly for the value excluding the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-energy-mines-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16150:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy Mines (GEMS IJ)</a> stake.</li>
<li>Our SoTP valuation is S$1.29 per share, 32% above the revised offer. We continue to think another bump is required to get this deal done. </li>
</ul>


The Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ)/DSS EGM to gain shareholder approval will be held on 2 May. The DSS appraiser (unsurprisingly) opines that the Widjaja family offer is fair. 
The appraiser valued Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP) at S$0.980. However, the valuation approach is sorely lacking, particularly for the value excluding the Golden Energy Mines (GEMS IJ) stake.
Our SoTP valuation is S$1.29 per share, 32% above the revised offer. We continue to think another bump is required to get this deal done. 


Golden Energy (GER SP): DSS Vote on 2 May; Appraiser Unconvincingly States that Offer Is Fair

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-trimegah-bangun-persada-tbk-harita-nickel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36826:1" rel="noopener">PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Rakuten Bank (5838 JP), SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP), Trial Holdings (5882 JP) and PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), Estia Health (EHE AU), Healius (HLS AU), Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU).


Weekly Deals Digest (26 Mar) - Toshiba, Toyo, Healius, Mincor, Rakuten Bank, SBI Sumishin, Harita

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>'s revised proposal from the Widjaja family - distribution proposal (1.3936 GEMS share per share or IDR6,500 per GEMS share) and the delisting proposal (S$0.181).</li>
<li>The revised offer addresses the issue around the previous offer’s unattractive distribution cash alternative and unfavourable FX. However, the revised offer remains light but is not declared final.  </li>
<li>The revised offer fails to address the issue concerning the decline in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-energy-mines-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16150:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy Mines (GEMS IJ)</a> share price and the value of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stanmore-coal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15252:1" rel="noopener">Stanmore Coal (SMR AU)</a> stake.</li>
</ul>



Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)'s revised proposal from the Widjaja family - distribution proposal (1.3936 GEMS share per share or IDR6,500 per GEMS share) and the delisting proposal (S$0.181).
The revised offer addresses the issue around the previous offer’s unattractive distribution cash alternative and unfavourable FX. However, the revised offer remains light but is not declared final.  
The revised offer fails to address the issue concerning the decline in Golden Energy Mines (GEMS IJ) share price and the value of Stanmore Coal (SMR AU) stake.


Golden Energy (GER SP): Revised Offer Is Still Not Good Enough

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)</a>'s large offering of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a> shares, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> aims to raise up to US$440 million. </li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gk-goh-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8482:1" rel="noopener">GK Goh Holdings (GKG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pushpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13737:1" rel="noopener">Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ)</a>, OZ Minerals. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)'s large offering of Japan Post Bank (7182 JP) shares, SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) aims to raise up to US$440 million. 
Event-Driven developments - HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK), GK Goh Holdings (GKG SP), Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ), OZ Minerals. 


Weekly Deals Digest (05 Mar) - Japan Post Bank, SBI Sumishin, HKBN, Yashili, GK Goh, Golden Energy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>’s update notes that the Widjaja family’s offer remains conditional on Indonesian regulatory, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dian-swastatika-sentosa-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15281:1" rel="noopener">Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ)</a> shareholder and SGX circular approval.</li>
<li>There are four issues - an unattractive distribution cash alternative, a decline in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-energy-mines-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16150:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy Mines (GEMS IJ)</a> shares, unfavourable FX and an increase in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stanmore-coal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15252:1" rel="noopener">Stanmore Coal (SMR AU)</a> shares.  </li>
<li>The offer remains light. A “fair” delisting price is around S$0.40 (vs S$0.16 current delisting price) and would imply an all-cash offer of S$1.074, 19% above the last close.</li>
</ul>



Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)’s update notes that the Widjaja family’s offer remains conditional on Indonesian regulatory, Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ) shareholder and SGX circular approval.
There are four issues - an unattractive distribution cash alternative, a decline in Golden Energy Mines (GEMS IJ) shares, unfavourable FX and an increase in Stanmore Coal (SMR AU) shares.  
The offer remains light. A “fair” delisting price is around S$0.40 (vs S$0.16 current delisting price) and would imply an all-cash offer of S$1.074, 19% above the last close.


Golden Energy (GER SP): The Disconnect Between the Offer and Underlying Assets

Indonesia

PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk is a diversified Indonesian conglomerate focusing on energy and infrastructure. It operates across core business lines including mining, renewable energy, digital infrastructure and technology, chemical trading, and investments. The company offers a diverse portfolio of products and services such as electricity, coal, internet and pay TV services, data centers, healthcare solutions, pesticides, fertilizers, and industrial chemicals. Headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia, the company was established on August 2, 1996.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ)

Golden Energy (GER SP): DSS Vote on 2 May; Appraiser Unconvincingly States that Offer Is Fair

The DSS appraiser (unsurprisingly) opines that the Widjaja family offer is fair. However, the valuation is flawed. Our SoTP valuation is S$1.29 per...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (26 Mar) - Toshiba, Toyo, Healius, Mincor, Rakuten Bank, SBI Sumishin, Harita

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Essential, Estia, Healius, Mincor, Nitro, Jiangnan, Toshiba, Toyo, Golden Energy) and ECM...

Arun George

Golden Energy (GER SP): Revised Offer Is Still Not Good Enough

The revised offer remains light but has not been declared final. The key issue remains that the revised offer does not reflect the fair value of...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (05 Mar) - Japan Post Bank, SBI Sumishin, HKBN, Yashili, GK Goh, Golden Energy

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Nitro, Norwest, OZ, Pushpay, HKBN, Yashili, GK Goh, Golden Energy, SHL-Japan) and ECM...

Arun George

Golden Energy (GER SP): The Disconnect Between the Offer and Underlying Assets

A bump is warranted due to four factors - an unattractive distribution cash alternative, a decline in GEMS shares, an unfavourable FX trend and an...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)