Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>One new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:166:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (A) (600837 CH)</a>'s Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-international-securities-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13153:1" rel="noopener">Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nws-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3350:1" rel="noopener">NWS (659 HK)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/imax-china-holding-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:888:1" rel="noopener">IMAX China (1970 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
One new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Haitong Securities Co Ltd (A) (600837 CH)'s Offer for Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK).
Key updates took place for: Origin Energy (ORG AU), Estia Health (EHE AU), Newcrest Mining (NCM AU), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), NWS (659 HK),IMAX China (1970 HK), and Eoflow (294090 KS).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Newcrest Mining, Haitong Int'l, Liontown, NWS, IMAX China

<ul>
<li>I tally 47 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-international-securities-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13153:1" rel="noopener">Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK)</a>'s Scheme; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co (8267 JP)</a>'s partial.  Arguably, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-plantations-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11418:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK)</a>received another offer. </li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">EOFlow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jmdc-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28673:1" rel="noopener">JMDC (4483 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-plantations-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11418:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/symbio-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20292:1" rel="noopener">Symbio Holdings (SYM AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 47 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK)'s Scheme; and Aeon Co (8267 JP)'s partial.  Arguably, Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK)received another offer. 
Key updates took place for: EOFlow (294090 KS), Newcrest Mining (NCM AU), JMDC (4483 JP), Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK), Symbio Holdings (SYM AU), and T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: EOFlow, Newcrest, JMDC, Boustead Plantation, Symbio, Aeon

<ul>
<li>For the month of September 2023, 8 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$2bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in September was 37%. The average YTD is 35%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of September 2023, 8 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$2bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in September was 37%. The average YTD is 35%.
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Sept 2023: JMDC, Pact, Takisawa, Golden Eagle Energy, Dic Corp

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 INDEX</a> is getting WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT after just +1 week up. Rallying further during the next 2-3 weeks may be hard, it could stall or fall.</li>
<li>If the index rallies further this week, it could fall the following week. Alternatively it could stall this week and rally the following week/s, but OVERBOUGHT status won't go away.</li>
<li>34256 is the Q3 resistance target on CC=+3, this should be a hard barrier to breach. An earlier barrier is Q3 resistance on the Gen.Pattern Boxplot = 33835.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 INDEX is getting WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT after just +1 week up. Rallying further during the next 2-3 weeks may be hard, it could stall or fall.
If the index rallies further this week, it could fall the following week. Alternatively it could stall this week and rally the following week/s, but OVERBOUGHT status won't go away.
34256 is the Q3 resistance target on CC=+3, this should be a hard barrier to breach. An earlier barrier is Q3 resistance on the Gen.Pattern Boxplot = 33835.


EQD | Nikkei 225 (NKY) Enters WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT Resistance Area

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 INDEX</a> fell -5.77% during July and August (CC=-2). Currently the index is down for September: this month's negative Close would be = CC=-3, a strong LONG signal.</li>
<li>The index reached a low = 31275.25 in August, right in the middle of the 32391-30600 support price band indicated in our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-nikkei-225-nky-monthly-trajectories" target="_blank" rel="noopener">previous MONTHLY Trajectories Analysis</a>,  50%-75% reversal probability.</li>
<li>LONG Support levels are confirmed, in this insight we will analyze the new, re-calculated Resistance levels, to evaluate how far/how long the index could rise, if it rallies.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 INDEX fell -5.77% during July and August (CC=-2). Currently the index is down for September: this month's negative Close would be = CC=-3, a strong LONG signal.
The index reached a low = 31275.25 in August, right in the middle of the 32391-30600 support price band indicated in our previous MONTHLY Trajectories Analysis,  50%-75% reversal probability.
LONG Support levels are confirmed, in this insight we will analyze the new, re-calculated Resistance levels, to evaluate how far/how long the index could rise, if it rallies.


EQD | Nikkei 225 (NKY) MONTHLY Trajectories Analysis

Japan

DIC Corp. is a chemical company that specializes in printing inks, organic pigments, and thermosetting resins.  The Company also manufactures polymers, specialty plastics and compounds, and others which include building materials, pressure-sensitive adhesives materials, and biochemicals.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Dic Corp (4631 JP)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Newcrest Mining, Haitong Int'l, Liontown, NWS, IMAX China

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: EOFlow, Newcrest, JMDC, Boustead Plantation, Symbio, Aeon

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Sept 2023: JMDC, Pact, Takisawa, Golden Eagle Energy, Dic Corp

For the month of September, 8 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$2bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

EQD | Nikkei 225 (NKY) Enters WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT Resistance Area

The Nikkei 225 Index is WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT after its 1-week up rally (CC=+1), additional gains in the next 2-3 weeks will be hampered down by...

Nico Rosti

EQD | Nikkei 225 (NKY) MONTHLY Trajectories Analysis

The Nikkei 225 INDEX fell in July/August. Currently down also in September, could reach OVERSOLD condition. Newly-generated resistance levels are...

Nico Rosti

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Newcrest Mining, Haitong Int'l, Liontown, NWS, IMAX China

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: EOFlow, Newcrest, JMDC, Boustead Plantation, Symbio, Aeon

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Sept 2023: JMDC, Pact, Takisawa, Golden Eagle Energy, Dic Corp

For the month of September, 8 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$2bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

EQD | Nikkei 225 (NKY) Enters WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT Resistance Area

​The Nikkei 225 Index is WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT after its 1-week up rally (CC=+1), additional gains in the next 2-3 weeks will be hampered down by...

Nico Rosti

EQD | Nikkei 225 (NKY) MONTHLY Trajectories Analysis

​The Nikkei 225 INDEX fell in July/August. Currently down also in September, could reach OVERSOLD condition. Newly-generated resistance levels are...

Nico Rosti

The Nikkei 225 Index is WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT after its 1-week up rally (CC=+1), additional gains in the next 2-3 weeks will be hampered down by...

The Nikkei 225 INDEX fell in July/August. Currently down also in September, could reach OVERSOLD condition. Newly-generated resistance levels are...