CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Four stocks remain, 10 stocks added into portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 268% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 128%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Four stocks remain, 10 stocks added into portfolio
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 268% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 128%


Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>US is focusing on propelling growth with tax cuts, ignoring the debt problem. The obvious consequence, more USD depreciation, could drive more money from US assets into Asia and Europe.</li>
<li>If 1% of US free float market cap flows into Asia, it would constitute 7.2% of Asia's market cap. That's more than 5x the highest ever annual Asian FII inflow.</li>
<li>Taiwan, Korea and India have seen the biggest FII flow revival. To sidestep the deleterious effect of sharp USD appreciation on Asian exports, investors should play China, India, Indonesia, Philippines.</li>
</ul>


US is focusing on propelling growth with tax cuts, ignoring the debt problem. The obvious consequence, more USD depreciation, could drive more money from US assets into Asia and Europe.
If 1% of US free float market cap flows into Asia, it would constitute 7.2% of Asia's market cap. That's more than 5x the highest ever annual Asian FII inflow.
Taiwan, Korea and India have seen the biggest FII flow revival. To sidestep the deleterious effect of sharp USD appreciation on Asian exports, investors should play China, India, Indonesia, Philippines.


More USD Depreciation on the Cards - Who Wins, Who Loses.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.</li>
<li>$123-$123.50 remains short-term support to watch on ACWI-US (6.5-month base); we would expect support here on a pullback, but a break below it would likely mean a test of $119-$121</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.
$123-$123.50 remains short-term support to watch on ACWI-US (6.5-month base); we would expect support here on a pullback, but a break below it would likely mean a test of $119-$121


Israel TA-125 Remains Bullish; Buys in Norway; All MSCI Global Indexes Above Base Supports

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: All fourteen stocks have changed in the portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 262% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 110%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: All fourteen stocks have changed in the portfolio
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 262% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 110%


<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass when we discussed SPX 5110-5120 as a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against.</li>
<li>Possible that major lows are in at 4800-4820 SPX and $402-$412 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), as discussed in 4/10/25 Int'l Compass. For now we want to remain near-term bullish</li>
<li>200-Day MAs on ACWI-US and SPX are spots where they <em>could</em> roll over. This is just a lean; if we see no reason to sell at those levels, we won't.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass when we discussed SPX 5110-5120 as a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against.
Possible that major lows are in at 4800-4820 SPX and $402-$412 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), as discussed in 4/10/25 Int'l Compass. For now we want to remain near-term bullish
200-Day MAs on ACWI-US and SPX are spots where they could roll over. This is just a lean; if we see no reason to sell at those levels, we won't.


Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO STOXX 50 and TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels

Philippines

DigiPlus Interactive is a digital entertainment company operating in the Philippines, specializing in online and land-based gaming. The company offers a diverse portfolio of products including bingo, e-casino, specialty games, sports betting, and poker through platforms like BingoPlus, ArenaPlus, SpinPlus, and GameZone. Headquartered in Taguig City, Philippines, the company was founded in 1957.

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DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM)

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 50

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Four stocks remain, 10 stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

More USD Depreciation on the Cards - Who Wins, Who Loses.

USD continues to decline against EM currencies. Last month North Asian currencies were up 2-2.5% (notably TWD) & ASEAN currencies 0.6-0.8%. INR was...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Israel TA-125 Remains Bullish; Buys in Norway; All MSCI Global Indexes Above Base Supports

Israel TA-125 Remains Bullish; Buys in Norway; All MSCI Global Indexes Above Base Supports $ACWI, $ACWX, ACWI ex-US Small-Caps, $EEM, and $EFA....

Vermilion Research

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 49

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: All 14 stocks have changed.

A. Stotz Investment Research

Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO STOXX 50 and TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels

Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO $STOXX 50 and $TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels; Still near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass report. Possible...

Vermilion Research

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